Estrogen Receptor Positive Breast Cancer
Phase 1
NCT02414776

ABC-01: Complete Statistical Analysis of Hydroxychloroquine in Metastatic ER-Positive Breast Cancer

An independent statistical review of ABC-01, a phase 1 single-group study evaluating orally administered hydroxychloroquine with hormonal therapy in metastatic estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer progressing on hormonal therapy.

Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record.

1. Trial at a Glance

ABC-01 was a phase 1 treatment study evaluating hydroxychloroquine in combination with hormonal therapy for metastatic estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer progressing on hormonal therapy.

3
Enrollment
1
Study Arm
18 months
Primary Endpoint Time Frame
2014-07
Study Start
FeatureABC-01
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02414776
StatusTERMINATED
PhasePhase 1
ConditionEstrogen Receptor Positive Breast Cancer
Lead sponsorWestern Regional Medical Center
Design modelSingle group
MaskingNone
InterventionHydroxychloroquine (drug)

2. Clinical Question

Population

Patients with estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer with metastatic disease progressing on hormonal therapy.

Intervention

Orally administered hydroxychloroquine with hormonal therapy.

Comparator

No comparator arm; the study used a single-group design.

Primary question

What is the safety profile of hydroxychloroquine with hormonal therapy at the study dose?

3. Trial Design

The registry describes ABC-01 as a single-group, open-label phase 1 treatment study. The study included one intervention arm and enrolled 3 participants.

Design featureDescription
AllocationNA
Design modelSINGLE_GROUP
MaskingNONE
Primary purposeTREATMENT
Number of arms1

4. Endpoints

EndpointDefinitionTime Frame
Number of Participants with Adverse Events as a Measure of the Safety Profile of Orally Administered Hydroxychloroquine with Hormonal TherapyAssess dose-limiting side effects such as neutropenia, anemia, or thrombocytopenia, and non-hematologic side effects including nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, or vision problems at the study dose.18 months

5. Planned Analysis

The registry identifies safety as the primary endpoint. For a phase 1 safety study, adverse events are typically summarized descriptively, including the number of participants experiencing adverse events, the type of events observed, severity, and relationship to study treatment.

The ClinicalTrials.gov record does not report posted statistical analyses or trial results for the primary endpoint.

6. Statistical Methodology

Descriptive safety analysis

Early-phase safety studies generally focus on characterizing tolerability rather than estimating comparative treatment effects. With a single-group design, analyses are centered on observed participant-level outcomes rather than between-group hypothesis testing.

Key statistical principle

Without a comparator arm, the study design cannot estimate a randomized treatment effect. Safety findings are interpreted within the context of observed events among treated participants.

7. Statistical Methods Explained

Why was a single-group design used?

Phase 1 studies frequently use single-group designs when the primary objective is initial assessment of safety and tolerability rather than confirmation of efficacy compared with another treatment.

Why are adverse events the primary endpoint?

Safety endpoints are central in early development because they characterize whether further evaluation of a treatment approach is appropriate.

How are adverse events usually summarized?

Safety analyses commonly use counts and percentages of participants experiencing events, along with descriptions of severity and timing.

Why is there no treatment-effect estimate?

A treatment-effect estimate requires a comparison framework. A single-arm study does not contain a randomized control group for such a comparison.

8. Limitations

9. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

ABC-01 illustrates important statistical principles in early-phase clinical research.

ConceptApplication
Single-arm designSafety assessment without randomized comparison
Descriptive statisticsPrimary framework for adverse event summaries
Sample sizeImportant determinant of precision in early studies
Endpoint selectionSafety profile as the primary measurement objective

10. Limitations and Interpretation

Statistical interpretation: ABC-01 is structured as a safety-focused phase 1 study. The available registry information describes the design and endpoint but does not provide posted statistical analyses or outcome estimates.

Clinical interpretation: Findings from early-phase safety studies are generally considered exploratory and inform decisions about future investigation.

11. Sources