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Septic ShockRandomizedCompletedNCT01945983

CENSER: Complete Statistical Analysis of Early Norepinephrine in Septic Shock Resuscitation

An independent statistical review of the CENSER randomized trial evaluating early norepinephrine compared with placebo during septic shock resuscitation.

ClinicalTrials.gov record: NCT01945983
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record.

1. Trial at a Glance

CENSER was a randomized, parallel-design, quadruple-masked clinical trial evaluating early norepinephrine in patients with septic shock and severe sepsis.

310
Enrollment
2
Arms
2013-10-03
Start date
2017-08
Primary completion
FeatureCENSER
ConditionSeptic Shock; Severe Sepsis
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingQuadruple
Primary purposeTreatment
Lead sponsorMahidol University

2. Clinical Question

Population

Patients with septic shock and severe sepsis.

Intervention

Early norepinephrine.

Comparator

Placebo.

Primary question

Does early norepinephrine improve achievement of the therapeutic goal within 6 hours?

3. Trial Design

Randomization
310 patients
Early norepinephrine
or placebo
Resuscitation period
6-hour endpoint assessment
Outcome comparison

Early norepinephrine

Drug intervention arm.

Placebo

Placebo comparator arm.

4. Endpoints

EndpointTime frameDefinition
Therapeutic goal achievement6 hoursMean arterial blood pressure ≥ 65 mmHg and evidence of adequate tissue perfusion including urine output ≥ 0.5 ml/kg/hour for 2 hours or decreasing serum lactate ≥ 10 percent in 1 to 2 hours.

5. Planned Analysis

The registry identifies therapeutic goal achievement at 6 hours as the primary endpoint. This endpoint is a binary clinical outcome: whether the prespecified therapeutic goal is achieved within the assessment period.

A typical analysis for this type of endpoint would compare the proportion of patients achieving the goal in each randomized group using methods for binary outcomes, such as a risk difference, risk ratio, odds ratio, or hypothesis test comparing proportions. The registry does not report posted results or formal statistical analyses for this endpoint.

6. Statistical Methodology

Randomization

Randomization creates treatment groups intended to be comparable at baseline. The treatment comparison should preserve the randomized allocation when estimating efficacy effects.

Binary endpoint analysis

Treatment effect = Outcome proportion in early norepinephrine group − Outcome proportion in placebo group

For a therapeutic goal achieved/not achieved endpoint, the absolute difference in proportions directly describes the difference in observed achievement rates between groups.

Masking

The quadruple-masked design reduces the potential influence of expectations from participants, clinicians, investigators, and outcome assessors.

7. Statistical Methods Explained

Why use a randomized design?

Randomization helps separate treatment effects from differences between patient groups by allocating treatment assignment using chance.

Why is the primary endpoint measured at 6 hours?

The registry defines the therapeutic goal assessment at 6 hours, creating a prespecified time point for comparing early resuscitation response.

Why is a binary endpoint different from survival analysis?

A binary endpoint asks whether an event occurred by a specified time. Survival methods are used when the timing of events throughout follow-up is the main focus.

Why does masking matter?

Masking can reduce bias in treatment administration, clinical decisions, and assessment of outcomes.

What does a treatment proportion difference show?

A difference in proportions describes the absolute change in the probability of achieving the endpoint between randomized groups.

8. Limitations

9. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

ConceptHow it appears in CENSER
RandomizationTwo-arm randomized comparison.
MaskingQuadruple-masked design.
Binary outcomesTherapeutic goal achievement measured at 6 hours.
Clinical endpointsComposite physiologic criteria define response.

10. Sources