Clinical Trial Results
COVID-19 Phase 2 NCT04357808

SAR-COVID: Complete Statistical Analysis of Sarilumab in Hospitalised COVID-19

An independent statistical review of the randomized phase 2 SAR-COVID trial evaluating subcutaneous sarilumab versus standard of care in hospitalised patients with moderate-severe COVID-19 infection.

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04357808
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record.

1. Trial at a Glance

SAR-COVID was a randomized phase 2 parallel-group trial evaluating subcutaneous sarilumab in hospitalised patients with moderate-severe COVID-19 infection.

30
Enrollment
2
Arms
Phase 2
Study phase
2020-04-13
Start date
FeatureSAR-COVID
ConditionCovid-19
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingNone
Primary purposeTreatment
Lead sponsorMaria del Rosario Garcia de Vicuña Pinedo

2. Clinical Question

Population

Hospitalised patients with moderate-severe COVID-19 infection.

Intervention

Subcutaneous sarilumab.

Comparator

Standard of care.

Primary question

Does sarilumab improve clinical outcomes compared with standard of care?

3. Trial Design

Randomization

Patients were assigned using a randomized parallel-group design.

Masking

The registry reports no masking.

ArmIntervention
Arm 1Sarilumab (drug)
Arm 2Standard of care (other)

4. Endpoints

EndpointTime frameDefinition
Mean change in clinical status assessment using the 7-point ordinal scale at day 7 after randomisation7 days from enrolmentScore ranges 1-7: 1. Death; 2. Hospitalized requiring invasive mechanical ventilation or ECMO; 3. Hospitalized requiring non-invasive ventilation or high flow oxygen devices; 4. Hospitalized requiring supplemental oxygen; 5. Hospitalized not requiring supplemental oxygen requiring ongoing medical care; 6. Hospitalized not requiring supplemental oxygen no longer requiring ongoing medical care; 7. Not hospitalized.
Duration of hospitalisation (days)30 days from enrolmentDays from the date of enrolment to the date of discharge.
Death30 days from enrolmentNumber of deaths.

5. Planned Analysis

The registry lists the primary endpoints but does not report posted statistical analyses or trial results on ClinicalTrials.gov.

The clinical status ordinal scale endpoint is commonly analysed using methods appropriate for ordered categorical outcomes or changes over time, depending on the prespecified analysis plan. Duration of hospitalisation is a time-to-discharge measure and may be evaluated using methods that account for time until discharge. Death is a binary outcome over the defined follow-up period and is typically summarized using event counts and comparative measures between randomized groups.

6. Statistical Methodology

Randomization

Randomization creates comparable treatment groups in expectation and allows differences in outcomes to be interpreted as treatment comparisons rather than simple associations.

Ordinal clinical status outcomes

The 7-point ordinal scale captures increasing levels of clinical recovery and severity. Analysis of such endpoints must account for the ordered nature of the categories rather than treating them as unrelated groups.

Time-to-discharge outcomes

Duration of hospitalisation represents time from enrolment until discharge. Statistical approaches for these outcomes must consider patients who have not yet experienced discharge at the analysis time.

7. Statistical Methods Explained

Why use a 7-point ordinal scale?

An ordinal scale preserves clinically meaningful progression from death and intensive respiratory support requirements through recovery and discharge.

Why does randomization matter?

Randomization helps balance known and unknown prognostic factors between treatment groups, supporting unbiased treatment comparisons.

Why is duration of hospitalisation not simply a continuous outcome?

Hospitalisation duration is a time-to-event measure because discharge occurs at different times and some patients may remain hospitalized at assessment.

Why are results separated from planned analysis?

A statistical analysis requires both endpoint definitions and observed outcome data. The registry identifies planned measurements but does not report posted statistical analyses for SAR-COVID.

8. Limitations

9. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

ConceptHow it appears in SAR-COVID
Randomized designParallel randomized comparison of two treatment approaches.
Ordinal outcomesClinical status measured using a 7-point ordinal scale.
Time-to-event analysisDuration of hospitalisation measured from enrolment to discharge.
Clinical endpointsMortality and clinical recovery outcomes evaluated over defined time frames.

10. Related Tutorials

Learn more about the methods used in this trial:

No related tutorials are currently available.

11. Related Calculators

No related calculators are currently available.

12. Sources