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Atrial Fibrillation Randomized Trial Treatment Study NCT01203748

STAR AF II: Complete Statistical Analysis of Ablation Strategies in Atrial Fibrillation

An independent statistical review of the randomized STAR AF II study evaluating different ablation approaches for atrial fibrillation, including pulmonary vein isolation alone and additional substrate-based ablation strategies.

ClinicalTrials.gov status: Completed · Enrollment: 589
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record.

1. Trial at a Glance

STAR AF II was a randomized, parallel-group treatment study evaluating three catheter ablation strategies in patients with atrial fibrillation.

589
Enrollment
3
Arms
18 months
Primary endpoint time frame
2010–2014
Study period
FeatureSTAR AF II
NCT IDNCT01203748
StatusCompleted
ConditionAtrial Fibrillation
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingSingle
Primary purposeTreatment
Lead sponsorAbbott Medical Devices

2. Clinical Question

Population

Patients with atrial fibrillation enrolled in a randomized ablation study.

Intervention

Additional ablation strategies combined with pulmonary vein isolation.

Comparator

Pulmonary vein isolation alone.

Primary question

Does adding additional ablation strategies improve freedom from documented atrial fibrillation?

3. Trial Design

01
Randomize
589 patients
02
Assign
3 treatment arms
03
Perform
Ablation procedures
04
Follow
18 months
05
Assess
AF freedom
ARM 1

PVI + Lines ablation

ARM 2

PVI

ARM 3

PVI + CFE ablation

4. Endpoints

EndpointDefinitionTime frame
Freedom from AFFreedom from documented AF episodes >30 seconds after one or two ablation procedures with/without antiarrhythmic medications.18 months

5. Planned Analysis

The registry identifies freedom from atrial fibrillation as the primary endpoint. No formal statistical analyses were posted to ClinicalTrials.gov.

Time-to-event and binary outcome considerations

Freedom from documented AF is commonly summarized as the proportion of participants meeting the success definition by a specified follow-up period. Depending on the prespecified statistical analysis plan, time-to-event methods may also be considered when recurrence timing and censoring are incorporated.

Primary endpoint concept: AF-free status at 18 months after ablation

6. Statistical Methodology

Randomized treatment comparison

Randomization creates the framework for comparing ablation strategies while reducing systematic differences between treatment groups. The treatment groups are interpreted according to their randomized assignments.

Endpoint definition matters

The primary endpoint definition specifies both the event threshold and the assessment window. AF episodes longer than 30 seconds are included in the registry definition, making endpoint classification dependent on documented rhythm monitoring.

Censoring and follow-up

For outcomes involving recurrence over time, statistical analysis must account for participants who have incomplete observation periods. Censoring assumptions affect interpretation of estimated event-free outcomes.

7. Statistical Methods Explained

Why does the endpoint specify AF episodes longer than 30 seconds?

A prespecified duration threshold creates a consistent definition of recurrence. Without a fixed definition, comparisons between treatment groups can be affected by differences in event classification.

Why compare PVI alone with additional ablation strategies?

The randomized design allows investigators to evaluate whether additional procedural components change the measured outcome relative to a simpler ablation approach.

Why is the 18-month time frame important?

The follow-up period defines when the primary endpoint is evaluated. Longer or shorter observation windows can answer different clinical questions.

Why are multiple arms statistically important?

Three treatment groups create multiple pairwise comparisons. The interpretation of those comparisons depends on the prespecified statistical analysis plan and any adjustment for multiplicity.

8. Limitations

9. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

ConceptHow it appears in STAR AF II
RandomizationThree-arm randomized comparison
Multiple treatment groupsComparison of different ablation strategies
Composite procedural decisionsDifferent combinations of ablation approaches
Endpoint definitionFreedom from documented AF episodes >30 seconds
Follow-up window18-month primary endpoint assessment

10. Sources