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ESRD NA Continuous Endpoint NCT02270515

Bringing Care to Patients: Patient-Centered Medical Home for Kidney Disease: Complete Statistical Analysis

This analysis concerns a single-group study of an expanded dialysis care team for people with ESRD. The registry record describes the design and quality-of-life outcome measures, but does not report the primary outcome values.

Trial start: 2013-11  ·  Enrollment: 175  ·  Sponsor: University of Illinois Chicago
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Bringing Care to Patients: Patient-Centered Medical Home for Kidney Disease (NCT02270515), a na na study. The primary outcome is Kidney Disease Quality of Life (KDQOL-36) Mean Scale Scores at Baseline, 6, 12 and 18 Months: Unadjusted.

175
Enrollment
NA
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02270515
PhaseNA
ConditionESRD
AllocationNot applicable (single group)
Design modelSingle Group
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment175
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorUniversity of Illinois Chicago
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

People with ESRD receiving dialysis care. The registry record reports enrollment of 175 participants. For the quality-of-life outcome, the number analyzed was based on participants who completed the KDQOL survey at each visit; those numbers vary slightly because of missing survey data and missing scale items.

Intervention

A patient-centered medical home for kidney disease, abbreviated PCMH-KD. The usual dialysis care team was expanded to include a primary care doctor, nurse coordinator, community health worker, and pharmacist.

Comparator

Participants first received usual dialysis care during an initial baseline period, then received care from the expanded team. This is a before-and-after sequence within a single group, not a randomized comparison between separate treatment and control groups.

Primary question

How did mean scores on the Kidney Disease Quality of Life-36 survey vary from baseline through follow-up at 6, 12, and 18 months after the PCMH-KD intervention commenced? The registry record identifies the scores as unadjusted, but does not report their numerical results.

The central question is therefore about quality-of-life scores over time among participants exposed first to usual dialysis care and then to the expanded care model. The survey assesses general physical health, mental health, disease burden, disease symptoms, and disease effects. Its scales range from 0-100, with higher scores indicating better quality of life. Because there is no separate concurrent control group, changes over time cannot be attributed to the expanded care model alone. The record does not report a randomized or otherwise like-for-like comparison that would help separate intervention-related change from other influences.

3. Trial Design

The registry describes a completed, single-group study of a patient-centered medical home for kidney disease among people with ESRD. Enrollment was 175. The study began in 2013-11, and primary completion was recorded as 2016-08. The registry lists the study as completed. Its allocation is recorded as NA, its masking as NONE, and its model as SINGLE GROUP. These entries are consistent with the described sequence: participants were observed during an initial baseline period under usual dialysis care, after which the dialysis care team was expanded.

The expanded team included a primary care doctor, nurse coordinator, community health worker, and pharmacist. Outcomes were to be assessed at baseline and every 6 months after the PCMH-KD intervention commenced. The primary outcome listing specifies KDQOL-36 mean scale scores at baseline, 6, 12, and 18 months, with unadjusted results. The registry lists 3 outcome measures and 20 analyses. Those counts do not, by themselves, identify the full analysis plan, the specific statistical tests, or how any results were selected for reporting.

This design gives repeated observations from participants across the usual-care period and the intervention period. It is not a randomized trial with an independent control arm. Consequently, the two periods are not a like-for-like comparison: time, changes in participants’ circumstances, and other events could coincide with the intervention. The registry record does not report a protocol for controlling those influences or a statistical plan for doing so. It also does not report a sample-size justification, interim analyses, or a detailed account of the timing and duration of each participant’s exposure.

The registry identifies the intervention as a patient-centered medical home for kidney disease and the arm as PCMH-KD dialysis care. The description makes clear that participants initially received usual dialysis care before the team was expanded; it does not describe a separate group continuing usual care throughout follow-up. This distinction matters when interpreting changes in the repeated scores.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Before assignment: Clinical data (six months prior to enrollment date) was collected from the electronic medical record for all participants to compare the "usual care" for enrolled patients with the care received during the PCMH-KD intervention.

Intervention Period 1: 0-6 Months

StagePCMH-KD Dialysis Care
STARTED175
COMPLETED159
NOT COMPLETED16

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonPCMH-KD Dialysis Care
Withdrawal by Subject1
No longer patient at study site5
Received transplant3
Death7

Intervention Period 2: 6-12 Months

StagePCMH-KD Dialysis Care
STARTED159
COMPLETED127
NOT COMPLETED32

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonPCMH-KD Dialysis Care
Withdrawal by Subject2
No longer patient at study site7
Received transplant1
Death5
Intervention ended before follow-up17

Intervention Period 3: 12-18 Months

StagePCMH-KD Dialysis Care
STARTED127
COMPLETED103
NOT COMPLETED24

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonPCMH-KD Dialysis Care
Withdrawal by Subject1
No longer patient at study site2
Received transplant2
Death3
Intervention ended before follow-up16

Analysis population for the primary outcome, as defined in the registry: Overall number of participants analyzed are the number who completed the KDQOL at each visit. They differ slightly from the number of participants in the flow chart due to missing KDQOL data. Ns are slightly lower for some scale scores due to missing items (see below).

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitPCMH-KD Dialysis Care
Participants analysed175
Age, Continuousyears54.4 (SD 15)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants78
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants97
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Race/Ethnicity – African-AmericanParticipants86
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Race/Ethnicity – Hispanic/otherParticipants89
Region of Enrollment: United Statesparticipants175
Interview language: EnglishParticipants117
Interview language: SpanishParticipants58
Race/ethnicity*language: African-AmericanParticipants86
Race/ethnicity*language: Hispanic/other, English interviewParticipants31
Race/ethnicity*language: Hispanic, Spanish interviewParticipants58
Primary language: EnglishParticipants107
Primary language: Spanish/otherParticipants54
Primary language: Both equallyParticipants14
Marital status: Single, never marriedParticipants70
Marital status: Married/Living with a partnerParticipants62
Marital status: WidowedParticipants22
Marital status: Separated, divorcedParticipants21
Children under 18 yr in household: No children under 18 yr in householdParticipants132
Children under 18 yr in household: 1 child under 18 yr in householdParticipants22
Children under 18 yr in household: ≥ 2 children under 18 yr in householdParticipants21
Education: Not HS graduateParticipants62
Education: HS graduate/GEDParticipants100
Education: Bachelor's degreeParticipants13
Employment: Full-time/Self-employedParticipants16
Employment: Part-timeParticipants15
Employment: Not employedParticipants143
Income: Less than $20,000Participants108
Income: $20,000-$39,999Participants30
Income: ≥ $40,000Participants22
Income: RefusedParticipants15
Dialysis History: Years on dialysisyears4.4 (SD 5.2)
Dialysis History: Years at current centeryears3.3 (SD 4.4)
Primary transportation to clinic: Car (drive or ride)Participants87
Primary transportation to clinic: Transit (L train or bus)Participants14
Primary transportation to clinic: Medicar (Medicaid)Participants42
Primary transportation to clinic: PACE paratransit/door to doorParticipants17
Primary transportation to clinic: OtherParticipants15

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Kidney Disease Quality of Life (KDQOL-36) Mean Scale Scores at Baseline, 6, 12 and 18 Months: Unadjusted, measured over Baseline (0) to 18 months.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeMean
Measure of spreadStandard Deviation
Unitunits on a scale
Endpoint classificationContinuous Endpoint

The primary endpoint is the mean score on the Kidney Disease Quality of Life-36 survey, or KDQOL-36, at baseline and at 6, 12, and 18 months. The registry describes the results as unadjusted means with standard deviations. The survey is a kidney-disease-specific quality-of-life instrument covering five domains: general physical health, mental health, disease burden, disease symptoms, and disease effects. Each domain scale can range from 0-100, and a higher score indicates better quality of life.

Quality of life is relevant to a care model because it captures participants’ reported experience across physical, mental, and disease-related aspects of living with kidney disease. The different domains should be considered separately: a mean for one domain does not stand in for the other domains, and a domain score does not represent every aspect of health or care. The registry record identifies the instrument and domains but does not report numerical mean scores, standard deviations, or the visit-specific participant counts in the outcome results described in the record.

A mean gives a measure of the group’s average score at a visit, while the standard deviation describes the spread of individual scores around that mean. Neither statistic alone indicates how much each individual participant changed. Repeated group means can describe how the observed group scores varied over time, but without a reported comparison group or adjusted analysis they do not establish why any change occurred. No threshold for a clinically important difference is reported in the registry record.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Not a randomized comparison (allocation: NA); arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record identifies a longitudinal, single-group assessment, not a randomized comparison. Participants were observed during a baseline period under usual dialysis care and then received care from an expanded team. The listed primary outcome is unadjusted mean KDQOL-36 scale scores at baseline, 6, 12, and 18 months. However, the registry record does not report numerical values for those means or their standard deviations. It is therefore not possible to describe the direction or size of any observed quality-of-life change from the record’s outcome information.

Even when values at the separate visits are available, a pattern of group means should be interpreted as a description of scores over time. A higher later mean would indicate a higher average score at that visit, and the instrument’s scoring description says higher scores indicate better quality of life. It would not, by itself, show that the intervention caused the difference. In this single-group sequence, time and intervention period coincide, and there is no separate concurrent control group in the record to distinguish the intervention from other explanations for a change.

The means are also not individual trajectories. A group average can change even if some participants’ scores rise, others’ scores fall, or the participants contributing data differ across visits. The registry states that the number analyzed at each visit is the number who completed the KDQOL at that visit, with slight differences from the flow-chart count because of missing KDQOL data. Some scale-score counts are lower still because of missing items. Without visit-specific counts and a description of missingness, the degree to which changes in who contributed data could affect the observed means is not reported in the registry record.

Standard deviations, if considered alongside means, describe variability among scores; they are not confidence intervals and do not quantify uncertainty in the estimated mean. The registry record does not provide confidence intervals, hypothesis tests, or a stated primary contrast between visits in the outcome information described. Accordingly, statistical significance and precision for change over time cannot be assessed from the reported endpoint description alone.

The record lists 20 analyses, but does not describe their hypotheses, adjustment strategy, or which comparisons were intended to be confirmatory. The number of listed analyses is not enough to infer that a particular statistical method was used. Overall, the registry describes what was measured and when, but the numerical primary results and the analysis details needed to assess their magnitude and uncertainty are not reported in the registry record.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The primary outcome is a continuous measure: KDQOL-36 domain scores expressed in units on a scale. The registry lists a mean and standard deviation at each of four visits: baseline, 6, 12, and 18 months. General explanation: a mean describes the average observed score among the participants included in that visit’s analysis. The standard deviation describes how dispersed those observed scores are around the mean. The standard deviation is not a measure of how precisely the mean has been estimated; a confidence interval would address uncertainty in the mean estimate, but confidence intervals are not reported in the registry record.

What does an unadjusted mean describe?

An unadjusted mean is calculated without statistical adjustment for other variables. In general, this makes the summary straightforward to interpret as the average observed score in the analysis group at a visit. It does not account for differences in participant characteristics, changes in the mix of participants contributing data, or other factors that could relate to the outcome. The record labels the KDQOL-36 results unadjusted. It does not report adjusted estimates or identify covariates used in a model.

Repeated measures from one group have a particular structure: scores at different visits come from observations over time in the same study population, and observations from the same participant may be related. General explanation: an analysis that compares repeated measurements can account for this within-participant relationship, whereas treating every measurement as independent may misrepresent uncertainty. The registry outcome description does not state whether the analyses used a repeated-measures model, paired comparisons, or another method. That method is not reported in the registry record, so it should not be inferred from the fact that scores were collected over time.

How should change over time be understood?

Comparing means across visits describes differences between the observed group averages. General explanation: a causal estimate requires a design and analysis that make the intervention contrast credible, including consideration of what would have happened over the same period without the intervention. In a single-group before-and-after sequence, the intervention period is also later in calendar time. Without a concurrent comparison group, a change may reflect the intervention, time-related trends, other events, or a combination of influences. The registry record does not report an approach that separates these possibilities.

A confidence interval, in general, gives a range of values compatible with the data under the assumptions of the statistical method used. It conveys uncertainty around an estimate; it is not a guarantee that the true value lies in that range. The registry record does not report confidence intervals for the primary endpoint. It also does not report p-values or a formal test of change in the outcome description. No conclusion about statistical significance or the precision of a change can be drawn from the mean-and-standard-deviation description alone.

Why do missing observations matter?

The record says that the number analyzed for the quality-of-life outcome is based on the number completing the KDQOL at each visit. It also says those numbers differ slightly from the flow-chart count because of missing KDQOL data, and that some scale-score counts are slightly lower because of missing items. General explanation: when observations are missing, the analyzed participants at one visit may not be exactly the same set as those at another. If participants with missing scores differ systematically from participants with observed scores, the observed means may not represent the full enrolled group in the same way. The pattern and reasons for missingness, any imputation, and sensitivity analyses are not reported in the registry record.

Scale scores can also be missing because a participant completed some, but not all, items needed for a domain score. The record notes this issue but does not describe the scoring rules used when items were missing or the threshold for calculating each scale. Without those details, the exact handling of incomplete questionnaires cannot be assessed.

What does the listed analysis count establish?

The registry lists 3 outcome measures and 20 analyses. General explanation: multiple outcomes or analyses can involve multiple questions and comparisons, and the chance of at least one apparently unusual result can increase when many tests are considered. Researchers may address multiplicity by defining a primary comparison in advance or using an adjustment procedure. The record does not report whether any such approach was used, which comparisons were prespecified, or whether the 20 analyses include all planned or reported tests. The counts alone do not establish the statistical plan.

The study’s design is recorded as single group, with allocation listed as NA and masking as NONE. These details mean the posted design does not describe random assignment or masking. The registry record does not report a sample-size justification or a power calculation for the primary quality-of-life outcome. Any planning illustration based on an observed effect would not be a record of the trial’s original design justification and would not represent observed power. Specific numerical planning estimates are not reported in the registry record.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry record lists 3 outcome measures and 20 analyses, but does not describe which outcomes or comparisons were designated as primary for statistical testing beyond identifying the KDQOL-36 mean scale scores as the primary outcome. It does not report a multiplicity adjustment, a hierarchy for testing outcomes, or whether the listed analyses reflect prespecified or exploratory questions. General explanation: when several outcomes or comparisons are examined, interpreting each result as though it were the only test can make chance findings more likely. Without a stated strategy, the extent to which multiplicity was addressed is not reported in the registry record.

Missing outcome data are directly noted. The number analyzed at each visit is based on the participants who completed the KDQOL survey, and those counts differ slightly from the flow-chart count because of missing KDQOL data. Counts are slightly lower for some scale scores because of missing items. The registry record does not report the visit-specific analysis counts in the outcome description, reasons for missingness, whether missingness differed across visits, or how incomplete scale items were handled.

General explanation: missingness can affect both precision and interpretation. If people with missing scores have different quality-of-life scores from those with observed scores, the observed mean may not reflect the full group. Methods such as imputation or sensitivity analyses can examine the consequences of missing data, but neither their use nor their assumptions are reported in the registry record.

The population analyzed is described as participants completing the questionnaire at each visit, rather than a single fixed analysis count across all visits. The registry record does not state whether analyses followed an intention-to-treat principle, how participants who discontinued or missed visits were handled, or whether any analysis population was defined in a protocol. Those details are not reported in the registry record.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
PCMH-KD Dialysis Care01750.0%

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 0% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
PCMH-KD Dialysis Care0 of 175
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The safety entry lists the PCMH-KD dialysis care group with 175 participants at risk for serious adverse events and 0 affected. It also lists 175 at risk for other adverse events and 0 affected. These figures are registry entries for the reported group; they do not describe a comparison with a separate control group.

The record does not list any serious adverse event terms among the top serious terms. The deaths field is null, which is not the same as a reported count of zero deaths. The registry record therefore does not establish a death count from that field. It also does not report the safety observation window, event definitions, how events were collected, or whether events were assessed as related to the intervention.

General explanation: an adverse-event count is a summary of events recorded under the study’s reporting procedures. A zero in a posted count means no affected participants were entered in that category in the registry result; it does not, on its own, establish that no events occurred outside the reporting window or that all possible events were captured. The figures should be read as registry reporting, not as a comparison of safety between interventions.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The registry record establishes that this completed study enrolled 175 participants and evaluated a patient-centered medical home for kidney disease in a single-group sequence. Participants were initially observed under usual dialysis care, after which the team was expanded to include a primary care doctor, nurse coordinator, community health worker, and pharmacist. The primary outcome was KDQOL-36 mean scale scores at baseline, 6, 12, and 18 months, described as unadjusted means with standard deviations.

The record does not report the numerical primary outcome results. As a result, the direction and magnitude of score changes, the variability in observed scores, and the precision of any differences cannot be characterized from the outcome information in the registry record. The measure’s interpretation is stated: scores range from 0-100 and higher scores indicate better quality of life. That scoring direction does not supply the missing observed scores or determine whether any change was clinically important.

Even if a difference between visit means is available elsewhere, the design described in the registry does not support treating that difference alone as an effect caused by PCMH-KD. There is no separate concurrent control group in the record, and the intervention follows the baseline period. General explanation: in a before-and-after design, changes over time can be associated with the intervention period without demonstrating that the intervention caused them.

The posted safety entries report 0 affected participants for serious adverse events and 0 for other adverse events among 175 at risk in each category. The death field is null rather than a reported zero. These entries should be interpreted as registry reporting and do not provide a detailed account of event definitions, observation time, or ascertainment.

In short, the record describes the study structure, the measure, and the assessment schedule. It does not report the primary numerical results or enough statistical detail to judge the size, uncertainty, or cause of changes over time.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This study is statistically notable as an evaluation of a care model using repeated quality-of-life measurements in a single group. The baseline period followed by an expanded care team creates a useful description of how measured scores were intended to be tracked over time. It also illustrates why the design behind an outcome matters: repeated observations can show patterns, but a before-and-after sequence without a concurrent control group cannot by itself isolate the intervention’s contribution to those patterns.

The KDQOL-36 covers several distinct domains rather than reducing quality of life to a single general measure. Reporting domain means can help distinguish which aspects of participants’ reported experience are being measured. At the same time, each domain requires its own result and interpretation. A broad description of quality of life should not be substituted for the specific scores, their uncertainty, or the number of participants contributing data at each visit.

The record also notes that questionnaire completion and missing items affect analysis counts. This is a practical statistical issue for longitudinal studies: different observed samples at different visits can complicate comparisons of group averages. Transparent reporting of visit-specific counts, missing-data handling, and uncertainty would help readers judge how robust those comparisons are.

Finally, the registry lists multiple outcome measures and analyses but does not report the associated multiplicity strategy or detailed analysis plan. This makes the distinction between descriptive monitoring and confirmatory testing important. The study record supplies meaningful design context, but the primary numerical results and key analysis details are not reported in the registry record. That limits the statistical conclusions that can be drawn from the record.

14. Limitations

The main limitation for interpretation is that the registry describes a single-group before-and-after design. Participants were observed under usual dialysis care first and then received the expanded PCMH-KD team. There is no separate concurrent control group in the record, so temporal changes cannot be separated from intervention-associated changes using the design description alone. The registry does not report an adjustment strategy intended to address this limitation.

The primary outcome results themselves are not reported in the registry record. Although the endpoint, scale range, direction of scoring, and assessment visits are described, no visit-specific means, standard deviations, or analysis counts are given in the outcome information. Therefore, the observed pattern and its precision cannot be assessed.

Outcome completion varied by visit, and some scale scores had lower counts because of missing items. The record does not report reasons for missing surveys or items, how incomplete scales were scored, whether missingness was related to participant characteristics or outcomes, or whether sensitivity analyses were performed. This leaves uncertainty about the representativeness of the observed scores at each visit.

The registry lists 20 analyses but does not describe the statistical methods, prespecified comparisons, multiplicity handling, or analysis populations. A sample-size justification, interim analyses, and detailed protocol information are not reported in the registry record. Safety reporting is also limited: the record does not specify event definitions, ascertainment, or the observation window, and its deaths field is null rather than a reported count.

These limitations concern what can be concluded from the registry record; they do not establish that unreported procedures were or were not performed. The record’s completed status and enrollment figure do not resolve the absent outcome and analysis details.

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18. Record Summary

The registry record describes NCT02270515, a completed, single-group study of a patient-centered medical home for kidney disease among people with ESRD. Enrollment was 175. The study began in 2013-11, with primary completion recorded in 2016-08. Participants received usual dialysis care during an initial baseline period, followed by an expanded team that included a primary care doctor, nurse coordinator, community health worker, and pharmacist.

The primary outcome was unadjusted mean KDQOL-36 scale scores at baseline, 6, 12, and 18 months. The instrument assesses five quality-of-life domains, with scores from 0-100 and higher scores indicating better quality of life. The registry record does not report numerical results for these scores or the detailed statistical analysis plan. It notes missing survey data and missing items that affected analysis counts.

The safety entry reports 0 participants affected by serious adverse events and 0 affected by other adverse events among 175 at risk in each category. The deaths field is null. The single-group design does not provide a concurrent control comparison.

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