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Glabellar Lines Phase 4 Binary Endpoint NCT02718118

Comparison of Dysport Reconstitution at 1.5 mL and 2.5 mL for the Treatment of Moderate to Severe Glabellar Lines: Complete Statistical Analysis

This analysis examines a randomized comparison of Dysport reconstituted at 1.5 mL or 2.5 mL for moderate to severe glabellar lines. It focuses on the Day 30 composite-responder endpoint, its statistical uncertainty, and the registry’s secondary and safety results.

Trial start: 2016-04  ·  Enrollment: 60  ·  Sponsor: Galderma R&D
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Comparison of Dysport Reconstitution at 1.5 mL and 2.5 mL for the Treatment of Moderate to Severe Glabellar Lines (NCT02718118), a randomized phase 4 study. The primary outcome is Proportion of Composite Responders Who Achieve at Least a 1-point Reduction From Baseline in Glabellar Line Severity Score (GLSS) at Maximum Frown..

60
Enrollment
Phase 4
2
Arms
In the primary outcome
-3.3 pts
Risk difference
2.5 mL Reconstitution
-19.6 to 12.9 pts
95% CI
Two-sided
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02718118
PhasePhase 4
ConditionGlabellar Lines, Wrinkles
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingDouble
Enrollment60
Arms in the primary outcome2
Lead sponsorGalderma R&D
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

Participants with moderate to severe glabellar lines. The trial enrolled 60 participants, with 30 assigned to each reconstitution group.

Intervention

Dysport reconstituted at 1.5 mL, administered as 0.05 mL per injection. The arm description states that participants received a single treatment session of 50 units at the Day 1 visit.

Comparator

Dysport reconstituted at 2.5 mL, administered as 0.08 mL per injection. The arm description also states a single treatment session of 50 units at the Day 1 visit.

Primary question

At Day 30, what proportion in each group achieved at least a 1-point reduction from baseline in glabellar line severity score at maximum frown, based on both subject and blinded-evaluator assessments?

The comparison concerns the reconstitution volume and injection volume, not the stated total treatment dose: both arm descriptions specify 50 units. The primary endpoint is a composite response, meaning that response is based on assessments by the subject and a blinded evaluator. The main statistical contrast is the risk difference for the 2.5 mL group relative to the 1.5 mL group. A negative risk difference indicates a lower observed response proportion in the 2.5 mL group; a positive value indicates a higher one.

The registry also describes evaluation of glabellar line severity at maximum frown and at rest, onset of effect, satisfaction, psychological well-being, age appraisal, and adverse events. These are additional questions rather than substitutes for the specified primary comparison. The posted primary result is a comparison of observed responses at Day 30; it does not by itself answer every question about these other outcomes or assessments over time.

3. Trial Design

This was a Phase 4, randomized, parallel-group trial with double masking, described in the official title as subject- and evaluator-blinded. The registry identifies Galderma R&D as sponsor and lists the study status as completed. Enrollment was 60. The start is listed as 2016-04 and primary completion as 2016-10.

Participants were assigned to one of two Dysport reconstitution groups: 1.5 mL or 2.5 mL. The arm descriptions specify corresponding injection volumes of 0.05 mL and 0.08 mL per injection, respectively, and state that each participant received a single treatment session of 50 units at the Day 1 visit. The record describes the study as multi-center. Details about the number or location of centers are not reported in the registry record.

The primary outcome was the proportion of composite responders at maximum frown on Day 30. A responder had to achieve at least a 1-point reduction from baseline in glabellar line severity score, based on subject and blinded-evaluator assessment. The registry lists 15 outcome measures and 14 secondary outcomes posted. Secondary assessments include responder outcomes reported separately by subject, blinded evaluator, or treating investigator, and combination-responder outcomes involving subject and blinded-evaluator assessments. The specified secondary time frame for the detailed outcomes is 120 days.

The original sample-size justification, the trial’s planned statistical analysis, details of allocation concealment, and the handling of deviations from assigned treatment are not reported in the registry record. The reported design features establish the broad comparison but do not establish how the sponsor planned every statistical decision.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Overall Study

Stage1.5 mL Reconstitution2.5 mL Reconstitution
STARTED3030
COMPLETED2829
NOT COMPLETED21

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnit1.5 mL Reconstitution2.5 mL ReconstitutionTotal
Participants analysed303060
Age, Continuousyears45.1 (SD 10.93)46.5 (SD 11.73)45.8 (SD 11.26)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants262652
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants448
Race (NIH/OMB): American Indian or Alaska NativeParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): AsianParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific IslanderParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): Black or African AmericanParticipants112
Race (NIH/OMB): WhiteParticipants292958
Race (NIH/OMB): More than one raceParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants000
Region of Enrollment: United Statesparticipants303030

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Proportion of Composite Responders Who Achieve at Least a 1-point Reduction From Baseline in Glabellar Line Severity Score (GLSS) at Maximum Frown., measured over 30 days.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeCount Of Participants
Measure of spreadnot applicable
UnitParticipants
Endpoint classificationBinary Endpoint

The primary endpoint is the proportion of participants who met a composite response definition at maximum frown on Day 30. To qualify, a participant had to have at least a 1-point reduction from baseline in glabellar line severity score, with the response based on both subject and blinded-evaluator assessments. The registry describes the measure as a count of participants, with the outcome expressed as a proportion.

A responder endpoint translates a continuous or graded clinical assessment into a yes-or-no outcome according to a prespecified threshold. General statistical context: this can make a result easier to interpret as the share of participants meeting a defined response criterion, but it also means that differences within the responder and nonresponder groups are not represented in the binary outcome. The threshold and assessment time matter because they define what counts as response and when it is evaluated.

Using a composite based on both the subject and a blinded evaluator incorporates two perspectives into the primary response definition. The registry’s description does not specify the detailed rule for resolving any disagreement between those assessments, nor does it report the complete scoring instructions. Those details are not reported in the registry record. The endpoint therefore supports interpretation of the posted composite responder counts, but it should not be read as a complete account of every aspect of line severity, satisfaction, or change over the whole study period.

7. Results Posted in the Registry

Risk difference: 2.5 mL Reconstitution

-3.3

95% CI: -19.6 to 12.9 percentage points

Recalculated from the posted summary statistics

Primary outcome by arm, with 95% confidence intervals
Primary outcome by arm with 95% confidence intervals67.774.080.386.692.999.21.5 mL Reconstitution (n=30)2.5 mL Reconstitution (n=30)% of participants (95% CI)
Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)2.5 mL Reconstitution-22-15-7.100.437.9615risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)

8. Secondary Efficacy Endpoints

The registry also posts results for secondary outcomes. For each outcome below, the endpoint type, the test applied to the posted summary statistics, the result and its interpretation are given in turn. Secondary endpoints are usually not adjusted for multiple testing, so they support rather than confirm the primary finding.

Secondary outcomeTypeEffect measureEstimate (95% CI)Planning size, 80% power
Proportion of Responders, at Maximum Frown (Subject)Binary EndpointRisk difference+10.0 pts (-15.2 to 35.2)391 per arm
Proportion of Responders, at Maximum Frown (Blinded Evaluator)Binary EndpointRisk difference-3.3 pts (-26.9 to 20.2)3,056 per arm
Proportion of Responders, at Maximum Frown (Treating Investigator)Binary EndpointRisk difference-10.0 pts (-34.8 to 14.8)381 per arm

Proportion of Responders, at Maximum Frown (Subject)

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)2.5 mL Reconstitution-19-7.514.16162839risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)

Proportion of Responders, at Maximum Frown (Blinded Evaluator)

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)2.5 mL Reconstitution-31-20-8.792.121324risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)

Proportion of Responders, at Maximum Frown (Treating Investigator)

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)2.5 mL Reconstitution-39-27-16-4.247.2819risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)

The secondary results do not form a single consistent pattern pointing toward one reconstitution volume. At maximum frown, the subject-assessed responder count is higher in the 2.5 mL group, while the blinded-evaluator and treating-investigator counts are higher in the 1.5 mL group. The estimates are uncertain, and the reported intervals for these detailed comparisons include zero. They therefore do not establish clear differences between groups.

The primary outcome combines subject and blinded-evaluator assessments at Day 30. The secondary outcomes separate assessor perspectives and are listed at a 120-day time frame. Those distinctions matter: the outcomes are related through assessment of glabellar lines, but they are not identical replications of the primary endpoint. A different assessor or assessment time can yield a different responder pattern without resolving the primary comparison.

The registry identifies 14 secondary outcomes, including outcomes at rest and combination-responder outcomes. Detailed results for every listed secondary outcome are not reported in the registry record. The secondary findings that are detailed should not be used to override the primary result or to infer a general pattern across all listed measures.

General statistical context: testing many outcomes increases the chance that at least one comparison may look unusual by chance. The registry record does not report a multiplicity adjustment or a prespecified testing sequence, and the detailed secondary results are unadjusted. This makes them less persuasive as confirmatory evidence than a single outcome analyzed according to a documented, prespecified plan. Their best use is descriptive: they show how the observed results vary by assessor and outcome, while leaving substantial uncertainty about group differences.

Secondary outcomes registered for this trial, for reference (only those above were recalculated):

9. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

At Day 30, 27 of 30 participants in the 1.5 mL group and 26 of 30 in the 2.5 mL group were reported as composite responders. The posted risk difference, defined as the 2.5 mL group relative to the 1.5 mL group, is -0.033. The reported 95% confidence interval runs from -0.196 to 0.129, and the unadjusted p-value is 0.688.

These figures describe a small observed difference in this sample, with the 2.5 mL group’s observed responder proportion lower than that of the 1.5 mL group. The confidence interval spans values on both sides of zero: it is compatible with a lower response proportion in the 2.5 mL group, little or no difference, or a higher response proportion. The result therefore does not pin down the direction or size of the difference with precision. The unadjusted p-value does not provide evidence of a clear difference under a conventional significance-testing interpretation, but it is not a probability that either treatment is better or that the observed result is due to chance.

The comparison is based on 30 participants per group, so the estimates are sensitive to the outcomes of a small number of participants. The posted confidence interval communicates that uncertainty; the point estimate alone would conceal it. No adjusted analysis is reported in the registry record, and the planned statistical approach is not reported. The displayed comparison is therefore best interpreted as the stated unadjusted contrast rather than as a complete account of all analyses that may have been planned or performed.

These results concern the composite responder definition at the specified Day 30 assessment. They do not establish how the groups compare on every other measure, at every visit, or for each assessor considered separately. The trial also lists outcomes related to satisfaction, psychological well-being, age appraisal, onset, and safety. Those outcomes address different questions and should not be treated as interchangeable with the primary endpoint.

There is no discrepancy flag for the posted primary comparison. As a result, no distinction is indicated between the reported comparison and a recalculation from the posted summary counts. The primary result remains a summary of this trial’s observed groups and statistical uncertainty; it is not, on its own, a basis for claims about treatment effectiveness or for individual treatment decisions.

10. Statistical Methods Explained

What does the risk difference express?

General statistical context: a risk difference subtracts the event proportion in one group from the event proportion in another group. Here, the reported contrast is for 2.5 mL relative to 1.5 mL, so a negative estimate means the observed responder proportion was lower in the 2.5 mL group. The registry reports the primary estimate as -0.033. This estimate describes the observed group contrast; it does not adjust for other variables.

What does the confidence interval add?

General statistical context: a confidence interval gives a range of values compatible with the data under the method used to construct it. It conveys uncertainty around an estimate rather than identifying a range containing the true value with certainty. For the primary risk difference, the reported interval is -0.196 to 0.129. Because this interval spans zero, the data do not clearly distinguish a difference favoring either group. The interval is also wide enough to include differences in either direction, so the point estimate should not be treated as a precise estimate of the underlying contrast.

How should the p-value be read?

General statistical context: a p-value measures how unusual data at least as extreme as the observed data would be under a specified null hypothesis and model. It does not measure the probability that the null hypothesis is true, nor does it measure the probability that the finding is due to chance. The reported primary p-value is 0.688 and is unadjusted. The registry record does not report a sponsor analysis plan that would clarify the intended testing framework or any adjustment for multiple outcomes.

What does an unadjusted comparison mean?

General statistical context: an unadjusted comparison contrasts the groups without an adjustment for other characteristics or covariates. The posted primary comparison gives a risk difference, confidence interval, and unadjusted p-value. The registry record does not report a model-based adjusted estimate for this endpoint. The absence of a reported adjusted result does not establish that no additional analysis was conducted outside the registry; it means such an analysis is not reported in the registry record.

Why does the endpoint definition matter?

The primary measure is binary: each participant is counted as a composite responder or not, according to the criterion of at least a 1-point reduction from baseline at maximum frown on Day 30, based on subject and blinded-evaluator assessment. General statistical context: converting a graded score into a responder outcome makes the threshold central to interpretation. Participants just above and well above the threshold are both counted as responders, while participants just short of it are counted as nonresponders. The posted counts therefore answer the threshold-based question, not every question about the amount of score change.

The record describes the composite assessment but does not provide all operational details of how assessor ratings were combined. That rule, the original analysis population, and the treatment of missing endpoint observations are not reported in the registry record. Consequently, the posted counts can be interpreted as recorded results, while finer judgments about the endpoint’s implementation require information not reported in the record.

How do the secondary outcomes fit the analysis?

Several secondary outcomes use binary responder counts, with the assessment attributed to the subject, blinded evaluator, or treating investigator. General statistical context: multiple outcomes create multiple opportunities to observe an apparently notable result, even when there is no true difference. Methods for controlling this issue can include prespecified testing sequences or multiplicity adjustments. The registry record does not report whether either approach was planned or applied. The detailed secondary comparisons are identified as unadjusted, so they should be read as exploratory descriptions rather than as a set of independent confirmatory tests.

For all such comparisons, the count and group size provide the basic observed result, while a risk difference and its interval describe the contrast and uncertainty. The endpoint, assessor, and assessment time should be kept in view when comparing results: an outcome at maximum frown assessed by the subject is not the same measurement as one at rest or one assessed by an investigator. Similarity or difference among these secondary results does not replace the primary analysis.

What information about the analysis plan is missing?

The registry reports no analyses in the analysis listing. It does not report the original sample-size justification, the planned significance threshold for the trial, interim analyses, a missing-data strategy, or analysis-population definitions. The planning assumptions used for the sample-size illustration are separately described and should not be mistaken for the trial’s own design assumptions. General statistical context: prespecified methods help distinguish planned confirmatory analyses from exploratory findings, but the registry record does not contain enough detail to assess those decisions for this trial.

11. Confidence Intervals and Precision

The primary risk difference is -0.033, with a reported 95% confidence interval from -0.196 to 0.129. In plain terms, the interval includes a range of plausible contrasts that extends from a lower response proportion in the 2.5 mL group to a higher one. It includes zero, which represents no difference in the risk-difference scale. The data therefore do not estimate the direction of the group difference precisely.

The sample size for the primary comparison is 30 participants in each group. With these group sizes, the confidence interval is an important part of the result: the point estimate alone would give an incomplete impression of the evidence. The interval is consistent with a range of effects, rather than narrowly locating the difference. This imprecision limits how strongly the observed point estimate can be generalized to the underlying group contrast.

General statistical context: a confidence interval reflects sampling uncertainty under the calculation method and assumptions; it does not account automatically for every possible source of bias or uncertainty. The registry record does not report details of the interval-construction method or an analysis plan for the primary endpoint. The interval should therefore be read as the reported statistical precision, not as a guarantee that other uncertainties are absent.

The secondary comparisons also have uncertainty intervals, and those intervals span zero. Their small group sizes likewise limit precision. Intervals from different secondary outcomes should not be used to select a preferred finding without regard to the distinct assessors, outcomes, time frames, and multiplicity of comparisons. The primary and secondary intervals describe the observed data; none establishes a definitive difference or equivalence between the reconstitution groups.

12. Planning a Similar Trial: Sample Size

This is a planning illustration, not a re-evaluation of the original trial. It asks: if a new study wanted to detect a difference like the one observed, or a smaller one, how large would it need to be? It is deliberately not “observed power” of the finished trial, which is not a meaningful quantity.

Effect to detectParticipants per arm, 80% powerParticipants per arm, 90% power
100% of the observed effect1,4551,948
75% of the observed effect2,5073,356
50% of the observed effect5,4587,306
Sample size needed versus the size of the effect to detect
Sample size needed versus size of effect to detect1,0002,0005,00010,00020,00040%60%80%100%80% power90% powersize of effect to detect, as % of the effect observed (log vertical scale: participants per arm)
Treat these figures cautiously. The observed difference is imprecise: its confidence interval includes no difference at all. A sample size built on a noisy estimate can be far too small or too large, so the smaller-effect rows are the more cautious guide.
Method and assumptions. Two-sided α = 0.05, 1:1 allocation, pooled-variance normal approximation for two proportions (control proportion held at the observed value). Calculated for the comparison: 2.5 mL Reconstitution.

The sample-size table and curve are planning illustrations based on the observed effect, not on a reported original design justification. The listed assumptions are a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between the two arms, and a normal approximation. The effect to detect is set to the stated fraction of the observed effect. For binary outcomes in these results, figures are participants per arm, not total events. The special total-events convention for time-to-event outcomes does not apply to this trial’s binary responder endpoint.

The 80% power column gives the number of participants per arm estimated to yield an 80% chance of detecting the specified effect under those assumptions, if that effect and the other assumptions hold. The 90% power column uses a higher target chance of detecting that effect, so its planning requirement is larger. These are design calculations, not observed trial outcomes.

For the primary endpoint, the row planning for 100% of the observed effect lists 1,455 participants per arm for 80% power and 1,948 participants per arm for 90% power. Planning for 75% of the observed effect lists 2,507 and 3,356 participants per arm, respectively. Planning for 50% of the observed effect lists 5,458 and 7,306 participants per arm, respectively. The pattern illustrates the general principle that smaller effects require more participants to detect under otherwise unchanged assumptions.

These planning figures are not observed power for the completed trial. They are illustrations based on the observed effect and stated calculation assumptions; the trial’s own original design assumptions are not reported in the registry record. They should not be read as evidence that the study was designed or conducted with these sample sizes.

13. How the Sample Size Is Derived

Power is the probability that a study of a given size rejects the null hypothesis when a specific true effect exists. It depends on four things: the effect to detect, the variability of the outcome, the significance level (here a two-sided α of 0.05, so z1−α/2 = 1.960) and the desired power (z1−β = 0.842 for 80% and 1.282 for 90%).

Formula

n = [ z1−α/2 √(2p̄(1−p̄)) + z1−β √(p0(1−p0) + p1(1−p1)) ]2 / (p1 − p0)2

n is the number of participants in each arm, p0 and p1 are the control and treatment proportions, and p̄ is their average.

Worked calculation for this trial

  1. Control proportion p0 = 0.900; treatment proportion p1 = 0.867; average p̄ = 0.883.
  2. First term: z1−α/2 × √[2p̄(1−p̄)] = 1.96 × 0.4540 = 0.8898.
  3. Second term: z1−β × √[p0(1−p0) + p1(1−p1)] = 0.842 × 0.4534 = 0.3816.
  4. n = (0.8898 + 0.3816)2 / (-0.0333)2 = 1,454.8, rounded up to 1,455 participants per arm for 80% power.

The smaller-effect rows in the table above repeat the same calculation with the effect multiplied by 0.75 and 0.5 (for ratios, applied to the logarithm of the ratio).

R code

alpha <- 0.05
z_a   <- qnorm(1 - alpha / 2)          # two-sided
p0 <- 0.9                          # control proportion
p1 <- 0.866666666666667                          # treatment proportion
n_per_arm <- function(power, frac = 1) {
  q1 <- p0 + (p1 - p0) * frac               # smaller effect = fraction of the observed difference
  pbar <- (p0 + q1) / 2
  z_b <- qnorm(power)
  ceiling(round((z_a * sqrt(2 * pbar * (1 - pbar)) + z_b * sqrt(p0 * (1 - p0) + q1 * (1 - q1)))^2 / (q1 - p0)^2, 6))
}
for (f in c(1, 0.75, 0.5))
  cat(sprintf("%3.0f%% of observed effect: n per arm = %s (80%% power), %s (90%% power)\n", 100 * f,
              format(n_per_arm(0.80, f), big.mark = ","), format(n_per_arm(0.90, f), big.mark = ",")))

# Check against R's built-in function (unrounded n per arm)
cat("power.prop.test:", round(power.prop.test(p1 = p0, p2 = p1, power = 0.80)$n, 1), "\n")

# Simulation: how often does the z-test reject at the 80%-power sample size?
set.seed(2718118)
n    <- n_per_arm(0.80)
reps <- 20000
x0 <- rbinom(reps, n, p0); x1 <- rbinom(reps, n, p1)
ph <- (x0 + x1) / (2 * n)
z  <- ((x1 - x0) / n) / sqrt(ph * (1 - ph) * 2 / n)
cat(sprintf("Simulated power at n = %s per arm: %.3f (%d replicates)\n", format(n, big.mark = ","), mean(abs(z) > z_a, na.rm = TRUE), reps))

Output from running the code

100% of observed effect: n per arm = 1,455 (80% power), 1,948 (90% power)
 75% of observed effect: n per arm = 2,507 (80% power), 3,356 (90% power)
 50% of observed effect: n per arm = 5,458 (80% power), 7,306 (90% power)
power.prop.test: 1454.8 
Simulated power at n = 1,455 per arm: 0.801 (20000 replicates)

The simulation draws many pairs of event counts at the planned sample size and counts how often the two-proportion z-test rejects the null. It should land close to the target power; at very small required sample sizes it can fall below it, because the normal approximation is rough there.

14. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry lists a primary endpoint and multiple secondary outcomes, including separate responder assessments by subject, blinded evaluator, and treating investigator, as well as outcomes at maximum frown and at rest. Examining multiple outcomes creates a multiplicity issue: the more comparisons considered, the greater the chance that one or more may appear notable even when there is no underlying group difference.

The registry record does not report a multiplicity adjustment, a prespecified testing hierarchy, or a statistical analysis plan explaining how the primary and secondary endpoints were to be interpreted together. The posted secondary comparisons are unadjusted. They therefore should be treated cautiously and should not be considered independent confirmations of the primary endpoint.

The record lists no analyses in its analysis listing. This does not establish that no analyses were performed; it means analyses beyond the posted results are not reported in the registry record. The original sample-size justification and any interim-analysis plan are also not reported in the registry record. No such methods should be inferred from the completed status or the sample-size planning illustration.

The analysis population used for each outcome is not reported in the registry record. Details about whether all randomized participants were included, how treatment discontinuations were handled, or whether participants were analyzed according to assigned group are not reported. Missing-data handling for the primary and secondary endpoints is likewise not reported. These omissions limit assessment of how the posted counts relate to the randomized groups and whether missing observations could affect the estimates.

General statistical context: a complete interpretation of randomized comparisons benefits from transparent reporting of the analysis population, missing-data procedures, and multiplicity plan. Without those details, the observed counts and unadjusted comparisons remain interpretable as posted, but the full inferential framework cannot be reconstructed from the registry record.

15. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
1.5 mL Reconstitution0300.0%
2.5 mL Reconstitution0300.0%

Deaths

ArmDeaths (participants affected of at risk)
1.5 mL Reconstitution0 of 30
2.5 mL Reconstitution0 of 30

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 5% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
1.5 mL Reconstitution2 of 30
2.5 mL Reconstitution0 of 30

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan system1.5 mL Reconstitution2.5 mL Reconstitution
HeadacheNervous system disorders2 of 300 of 30
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry reports no serious adverse events in either group: 0 of 30 participants at risk in the 1.5 mL group and 0 of 30 at risk in the 2.5 mL group. Deaths are reported as 0 in both groups. The registry does not list serious adverse-event terms.

For other adverse events, the record reports 2 in the 1.5 mL group among 30 at risk and 0 in the 2.5 mL group among 30 at risk. These counts describe the registry’s posted safety figures; they do not by themselves establish that the groups differ in safety. With no serious events recorded in either group, the trial results also cannot establish that serious events are absent beyond the observation captured in this study.

General statistical context: safety counts are most informative when considered alongside event definitions, follow-up, severity, and completeness of reporting. The registry record does not provide further detail about the two other adverse events or a more detailed safety analysis. The figures should therefore be read as the reported counts, not as a comprehensive assessment of all possible harms.

16. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The primary result shows that the observed Day 30 composite-responder counts were similar in size across the two groups: 27 of 30 in the 1.5 mL group and 26 of 30 in the 2.5 mL group. The estimated risk difference is -0.033, and the reported 95% confidence interval is -0.196 to 0.129. The interval spans zero and permits differences in either direction, so the observed contrast is not precise enough to establish a clear group difference.

This result does not demonstrate that the reconstitution approaches are equivalent. Equivalence requires a suitable prespecified margin and analysis, neither of which is reported in the registry record. Nor does the result establish that there is no difference: the interval includes a range of possible contrasts. A nonsignificant unadjusted p-value is not proof that the groups are identical.

The endpoint addresses a specific threshold-based composite response at maximum frown on Day 30. It does not directly summarize the amount of score change for every participant, the response at rest, each assessor’s result separately, satisfaction, onset, psychological well-being, or safety over time. Those are separate outcomes with their own results and uncertainties. The secondary findings do not provide a clear consistent pattern that resolves the primary uncertainty, and the registry record does not report a multiplicity plan.

General statistical context: trial estimates describe the enrolled study population and depend on the design, measurements, and analysis. The record does not report enough detail about analysis populations, missing data, or the original statistical plan to assess every possible source of uncertainty. The results should be interpreted as the posted evidence from this completed randomized comparison, not as a definitive statement about all participants or settings.

The safety figures report no serious adverse events or deaths in either group, and report other adverse events in the 1.5 mL group but not the 2.5 mL group. Those counts are limited observations from the study and do not establish a broad safety comparison. Overall, the registry results describe observed outcomes and their uncertainty; they do not support medical advice or a conclusion that one approach works or does not work.

17. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial illustrates why a treatment comparison should be read through both its estimated contrast and its uncertainty. The primary point estimate is close to zero on the risk-difference scale, but the confidence interval is broad enough to include differences in either direction. The small observed difference is not, by itself, evidence that the groups are equivalent or that a meaningful difference has been ruled out.

The comparison also highlights the distinction between an endpoint and the broader clinical question. A composite responder definition at maximum frown on Day 30 is a clear, threshold-based measure, but it is only one way to describe outcomes. Subject, blinded-evaluator, and treating-investigator assessments can produce different observed patterns, and outcomes at rest or at another time frame ask different questions. Keeping those distinctions visible helps prevent one result from being generalized to all measures.

The trial’s 60 participants are far fewer than the planning illustrations based on the observed primary effect. Those illustrations show how sample requirements can rise when the effect to detect is smaller, but they are not evidence about the original design or observed power. The original sample-size justification and analysis plan are not reported in the registry record.

Finally, multiple secondary outcomes make transparent reporting of prespecification and multiplicity important. Without those details, secondary comparisons are useful as descriptive context but carry less confirmatory weight. The record’s combination of randomized allocation, masked assessment, posted event counts, and uncertainty estimates supports a structured reading of what was observed, while the unreported analysis details constrain stronger conclusions.

18. Limitations

The total enrollment was 60, with 30 participants in each group. This limits precision for the primary comparison, as reflected by the reported confidence interval. The study results do not establish whether smaller group differences are present or absent.

The registry describes a multi-center study but does not report the number or locations of centers. It does not report participant characteristics beyond the condition, so the composition of the enrolled population cannot be assessed from this record. Further eligibility and baseline details are not reported in the registry record.

Although the title describes subject- and evaluator-blinding, the record does not provide further operational details about masking or allocation procedures. It also does not report the original sample-size justification, the trial’s statistical analysis plan, the analysis populations, or the approach to missing data. These omissions limit assessment of how the posted estimates were planned and derived.

The primary outcome is a threshold-based composite response at one stated assessment time. The registry does not report the detailed rule used to combine the subject and blinded-evaluator assessments. The secondary outcomes involve different assessors and measures, and detailed results for every listed secondary outcome are not reported in the registry record. The record also does not report whether multiplicity was addressed.

The safety summary lists no serious adverse events or deaths and gives limited detail on other adverse events. No serious adverse-event terms are listed. These registry figures cannot characterize rare events or provide a complete safety account beyond the recorded observations.

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21. Sources

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22. Record Summary

NCT02718118 is a completed Phase 4 randomized, double-masked, parallel comparison sponsored by Galderma R&D. It compared Dysport reconstituted at 1.5 mL with Dysport reconstituted at 2.5 mL for moderate to severe glabellar lines. The registry lists enrollment of 60, with 30 participants in each group.

The primary outcome was the proportion of composite responders at maximum frown on Day 30, defined by at least a 1-point reduction from baseline in glabellar line severity score based on subject and blinded-evaluator assessment. The registry reports 27 responders in the 1.5 mL group and 26 in the 2.5 mL group. The risk difference for 2.5 mL relative to 1.5 mL is -0.033, with a 95% confidence interval of -0.196 to 0.129 and an unadjusted p-value of 0.688.

The registry also reports secondary outcomes and safety counts. No serious adverse events or deaths were reported in either group. The original sample-size justification, analysis plan, missing-data approach, and multiplicity strategy are not reported in the registry record.

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