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Thoracoabdominal Aortic Aneurysm NA Binary Endpoint NCT03728985

Evaluation of the GORE® EXCLUDER® Thoracoabdominal Branch Endoprosthesis in the Treatment of Thoracoabdominal and Pararenal Aortic Aneurysms: Complete Statistical Analysis

An analysis of the prospective, non-randomized evaluation of the GORE EXCLUDER Thoracoabdominal Branch Endoprosthesis for thoracoabdominal and pararenal aortic aneurysms. The registry record describes two independent study arms, but does not report the primary endpoint result.

Trial start: 2019-06-17  ·  Enrollment: 102  ·  Sponsor: W.L.Gore & Associates
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Evaluation of the GORE® EXCLUDER® Thoracoabdominal Branch Endoprosthesis in the Treatment of Thoracoabdominal and Pararenal Aortic Aneurysms (NCT03728985), a non-randomized na study. The primary outcome is Percent of Subjects With Uncomplicated Technical Success and Freedom From Procedural Safety Composite Event.

102
Enrollment
NA
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT03728985
PhaseNA
ConditionThoracoabdominal Aortic Aneurysm
AllocationNon-Randomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment102
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorW.L.Gore & Associates
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The primary study arm concerns people with Crawford Type IV thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms or pararenal aneurysms requiring only the TAMBE System. The secondary arm concerns people with Crawford Type I-III thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms requiring the TAMBE System and CTAG device or devices. The registry record describes the primary arm as n= 102 and the secondary arm as n= 20 - 100.

Intervention

The intervention is the GORE EXCLUDER Thoracoabdominal Branch Endoprosthesis. The registry describes a prospective, multicenter evaluation. The primary arm uses the TAMBE System alone; the secondary arm also uses CTAG device or devices.

Comparator

There is no randomized control group described. The two arms address different aneurysm groups and device configurations, so the secondary arm is not a like-for-like control for the primary arm. The record identifies the allocation as non-randomized and masking as none.

Primary question

The primary endpoint is the percent of participants with uncomplicated technical success and freedom from a procedural safety composite event. It covers the index procedure through 59 days post procedure. Technical success concerns access and delivery, deployment, and withdrawal; the safety composite concerns specified events during 30 days of the index procedure. The endpoint result is not reported in the registry record.

3. Trial Design

This is a prospective, non-randomized, multicenter study with two independent arms. The registry lists a parallel model, no masking, and allocation as non-randomized. Its phase is recorded as NA. W.L.Gore & Associates is the sponsor. The status is active, not recruiting. The recorded start date is 2019-06-17 and the primary completion date is 2023-01-04.

The primary study arm includes Crawford Type IV thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms and pararenal aneurysms requiring only the TAMBE System. The registry describes this arm as n= 102 and says its analysis is hypothesis-driven. The secondary arm includes Crawford Type I-III thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms requiring the TAMBE System and CTAG device or devices; its stated range is n= 20 - 100. Its analysis is described as non-hypothesis-driven. These arm descriptions indicate different clinical groups and device configurations, not a treatment group and a comparable control group.

The brief summary states a minimum of 122 implanted participants and a maximum of 202 implanted participants, with up to 65 additional participants implanted in a continued access phase under the primary arm only. The separate enrollment field records 102. These are different registry statements and should not be treated as interchangeable measures of enrollment or of the analyzed population. The record does not reconcile them.

The intervention is a device evaluation, rather than a randomized comparison of alternative treatments. No allocation procedure, masking process, or detailed recruitment approach is reported in the registry record. The primary endpoint is an early procedural composite, with its timeframe extending from the start of the index procedure to 59 days post procedure. The record lists 33 outcome measures and two analyses but does not provide a full statistical analysis plan.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Before assignment: Subjects went through Screening after Enrollment. Subjects available and eligible for Primary Arm were implanted.

Overall Study

StagePrimary Study Arm
STARTED102
Primary Endpoint Determined102
COMPLETED102
NOT COMPLETED0

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitPrimary Study Arm
Participants analysed102
Age, Continuousyears73.3 (SD 3.39)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants18
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants84
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Hispanic or LatinoParticipants2
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Not Hispanic or LatinoParticipants92
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants5
Race (NIH/OMB): American Indian or Alaska NativeParticipants2
Race (NIH/OMB): AsianParticipants4
Race (NIH/OMB): Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific IslanderParticipants1
Race (NIH/OMB): Black or African AmericanParticipants4
Race (NIH/OMB): WhiteParticipants84
Race (NIH/OMB): More than one raceParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants4
Region of Enrollment: United Statesparticipants99
Region of Enrollment: United Kingdomparticipants3

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Percent of Subjects With Uncomplicated Technical Success and Freedom From Procedural Safety Composite Event, measured over From start of Index Procedure to 59 Days Post Procedure.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeCount Of Participants
Measure of spreadnot applicable
UnitParticipants
Endpoint classificationBinary Endpoint

The primary endpoint is the percent of participants with uncomplicated technical success and freedom from a procedural safety composite event. It combines successful access and delivery, successful and accurate deployment, and successful withdrawal during the index procedure with freedom from specified procedural safety events. The safety component includes stented segment aortic rupture, lesion-related mortality, permanent paraplegia, permanent paraparesis, new onset renal failure requiring dialysis, severe bowel ischemia, and disabling stroke. The registry defines the endpoint timeframe as from the start of the index procedure to 59 days post procedure, while describing the procedural safety events as occurring during 30 days of the index procedure.

A composite endpoint brings several clinically important events or technical requirements into a single outcome. In general, that can capture a broader view of procedural performance than a measure focused on a single event. It also means the composite result depends on all of its components: a reported composite alone would not establish how often each component occurred, or which component most influenced the overall result. Component-specific results would be needed to assess that pattern.

The endpoint is recorded as a participant count measure, with the stated result concept being a percent of participants. However, the primary endpoint result, its numerator and denominator, and any estimate of precision are not reported in the registry record. The definition therefore describes what was intended to be assessed, but does not establish the observed frequency of success or safety events.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Not a randomized comparison (allocation: non-randomized); arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record describes the clinical question and endpoint but does not report the primary endpoint result. Consequently, the central measure—participants meeting the combined technical-success and procedural-safety definition—cannot be interpreted as an observed frequency from this record. No confidence interval, test result, or component-level primary endpoint result is reported in the registry record either. The endpoint definition alone is not evidence about the result.

The study design also limits what can be learned by comparing arms. Allocation is non-randomized, and the arms represent different aneurysm types and different device configurations. A difference between their outcomes, if reported, could reflect differences in the clinical groups, the use of CTAG devices, or other factors, rather than a causal effect of one device configuration relative to another. The record does not describe an adjusted between-arm comparison. The arm results should therefore not be read as though they came from equivalent groups assigned at random.

Some adverse-event information is recorded for the primary arm. The serious-adverse-event fields list 52 affected among 102 at risk, and the other-adverse-event fields list 92 affected among 102 at risk. The record also lists 6 deaths, without specifying a cause or giving a corresponding analysis in the registry record for this interpretation. These counts are descriptive safety information; they do not establish whether an event was caused by the device or procedure, nor whether events overlap. The top serious terms include acute kidney injury at 5.9%, non ST segment elevation myocardial infarction at 3.9%, and spinal cord ischemia at 3.9%, with further listed terms at 2.9%. These listed percentages should be read as recorded, not as a comparison with another treatment.

The record does not report the duration or completeness of follow-up for these adverse-event summaries, the event-specific denominators for the listed terms, or details that would clarify how repeated events were counted. It also does not provide a control group. As a result, these data describe events recorded in the study arm but do not quantify excess risk or relative safety.

For any estimate reported elsewhere alongside this record, precision matters: a point estimate gives a central value, while a confidence interval indicates the range of values compatible with the data under the method used. A wider interval represents greater uncertainty. No confidence interval for the primary endpoint is reported in the registry record, so its precision cannot be judged from the endpoint result. Overall, the record supports description of the study design and some safety counts, but does not support a conclusion about the primary endpoint or comparative effects.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

What does a binary endpoint represent?

In general, a binary endpoint classifies each participant according to whether a defined event or composite occurred. For this trial, the primary endpoint is described as a percent of participants meeting a combined definition: technical success together with freedom from the procedural safety composite. A participant-level outcome can be summarized as a count and a proportion, but interpretation requires knowing the exact analysis population, the number with an evaluable outcome, and how missing endpoint information was handled. Those analysis details and the primary result are not reported in the registry record.

The composite definition combines procedural technical requirements with safety events. In general, combining components can make a broad outcome easier to summarize, but components can differ in severity and frequency. A composite estimate does not show whether its result is mainly driven by technical success or by any particular safety event. Component results and clear definitions of the analysis population help readers understand what the combined measure represents. Component-specific primary endpoint results are not reported in the registry record.

How should precision be judged?

In general, a confidence interval expresses uncertainty around an estimated effect or event frequency. Its width reflects how precisely the data estimate that quantity under the chosen statistical method. A narrow interval conveys greater precision than a wide interval, but neither an interval nor a point estimate alone resolves biases from study design. The registry record does not report a confidence interval for the primary endpoint, so the precision of that endpoint cannot be assessed from the recorded details.

For proportions, methods for calculating intervals can differ, especially when event counts are sparse or proportions are near a boundary. The registry record does not identify the interval method for the primary endpoint. It also does not report whether the endpoint was analyzed as a proportion, with a formal hypothesis test, or using another model. No method should be inferred from the endpoint label alone.

Why does the non-randomized design matter?

In general, random allocation helps balance measured and unmeasured participant characteristics between groups, on average. A non-randomized study does not have that protection. Differences between groups can reflect baseline characteristics, clinical selection, treatment configuration, or other factors as well as the intervention under study. Here the two arms are explicitly different: the primary arm concerns Crawford Type IV and pararenal aneurysms treated with the TAMBE System alone, whereas the secondary arm concerns Crawford Type I-III aneurysms treated with TAMBE and CTAG device or devices. This makes a direct arm-to-arm treatment contrast especially difficult to interpret as a causal comparison.

The record calls the arms independent and describes hypothesis-driven analysis for the primary arm and non-hypothesis-driven analysis for the secondary arm. It does not give the exact hypotheses, the estimand, adjustment variables, or the statistical model. An estimand is the precise quantity an analysis aims to estimate, including the population, outcome, and handling of events such as missing observations. Without that definition, the analysis target cannot be reconstructed from the arm descriptions.

What can sample-size planning illustrations tell readers?

In general, a sample-size calculation estimates how much information a future study might need under stated assumptions. The registry's planning assumptions describe a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, a normal approximation, and an effect to detect expressed as a fraction of the observed effect. The record characterizes these as planning illustrations computed from the observed effect, not as the trial's own design. They are not observed power, and they do not establish that the study was planned with those assumptions.

Sample-size illustrations depend on the assumed effect and analysis conditions. If the observed effect is imprecisely estimated, using it as a planning basis can make the illustration uncertain as well. A planning value is not a new trial result and should not be used as evidence that a study had a particular probability of detecting an effect after the fact. The record does not report numerical planning estimates in the registry record, nor does it report the original design's sample-size justification.

The record notes a normal approximation for planning. In general, approximations simplify calculations and may be less reliable when their conditions are not well met; whether that matters depends on the outcome, event frequency, and sample size. The available record does not provide enough detail to assess those conditions for a particular calculation. No additional calculation can be inferred from the assumptions alone.

How should adverse-event summaries be read?

In general, an adverse-event count is a descriptive summary, not automatically an estimate of treatment-caused harm. Interpretation depends on how events were defined, collected, timed, and adjudicated, along with the population under observation and the follow-up period. Serious adverse events and other adverse events may overlap, and a person may experience more than one event. The registry's figures are participant-based fields, but the record does not provide further detail on overlap, event recurrence, adjudication, or event-specific observation time.

A percentage attached to a listed safety term should be understood in the context of its denominator and collection rules. The available record lists percentages for the top serious terms but does not provide additional denominator or timing details for each term. These percentages describe the registry entries; they do not establish comparative risk, causal attribution, or the likelihood of an event for an individual.

Across the record, the distinction between a prespecified endpoint, an observed outcome, and an exploratory or descriptive safety summary is important. A protocol or statistical analysis plan would clarify planned analyses and conventions, but those details are not reported in the registry record. The listed endpoint definition and safety counts can be described, while unreported inferential methods and results must remain unresolved.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry record lists 33 outcome measures and two analyses. It describes the primary-arm analysis as hypothesis-driven and the secondary-arm analysis as non-hypothesis-driven, but does not report how the primary hypothesis was specified or how any additional outcome tests were handled. A multiplicity strategy—such as an ordering of hypotheses or an adjustment to control false-positive findings across multiple tests—is not reported in the registry record. The number of outcomes alone does not establish that all were tested or that an adjustment was required or applied.

The record does not report an analysis plan addressing missing endpoint information, loss to follow-up, exclusions, or the handling of participants who do not have an evaluable outcome. It does not identify the analysis populations, such as whether participants are analyzed according to enrollment, implantation, or availability of endpoint data. These definitions matter because they determine who contributes to each estimate and how missing observations affect the interpretation. They cannot be inferred from the enrollment field or arm descriptions.

The registry record also does not report a protocol-defined interim analysis schedule, stopping rules, or the handling of repeated looks at accumulating data. Their presence or absence should not be assumed. The primary endpoint result and its precision are not reported, so no inference about missingness or multiplicity can be made from that endpoint's estimate.

In general, multiplicity concerns arise when multiple outcomes, groups, or repeated tests are considered, because the chance of at least one apparently notable result can depend on the analysis strategy. Missing-data methods likewise require assumptions about why data are absent and how that absence relates to outcomes. Neither issue can be resolved by the outcome count alone. The registry record does not provide the details needed to evaluate these aspects of the analysis.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Primary Study Arm5210251.0%

Deaths

ArmDeaths (participants affected of at risk)
Primary Study Arm6 of 102

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 5% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Primary Study Arm92 of 102

Most frequent serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemPrimary Study Arm
Acute kidney injuryRenal and urinary disorders6 of 102
Non ST segment elevation myocardial infarctionCardiac disorders4 of 102
Spinal cord ischemiaNervous system disorders4 of 102
Atrial fibrillationCardiac disorders3 of 102
Chronic systolic heart failureCardiac disorders3 of 102
Congestive cardiac failure aggravatedCardiac disorders3 of 102
Lower gastrointestinal bleedingGastrointestinal disorders3 of 102
Urinary tract infectionInfections and infestations3 of 102
Renal artery dissectionRenal and urinary disorders3 of 102
Renal artery stenosisRenal and urinary disorders3 of 102

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemPrimary Study Arm
Stent-graft endoleak type IIGeneral disorders59 of 102
Back painMusculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders8 of 102
COVID-19Infections and infestations7 of 102
Acute kidney injuryRenal and urinary disorders7 of 102
Abdominal painGastrointestinal disorders6 of 102
Shortness of breathRespiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders6 of 102

Serious events with the highest arm-level rate: acute kidney injury (5.9%), non st segment elevation myocardial infarction (3.9%), spinal cord ischemia (3.9%), atrial fibrillation (2.9%), chronic systolic heart failure (2.9%).

Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

For the primary study arm, the serious-adverse-event fields record 52 affected among 102 at risk, and the other-adverse-event fields record 92 affected among 102 at risk. The registry also records 6 deaths. The record does not specify in the registry entries whether deaths were related to the device or procedure, or how they relate to the adverse-event fields. These values are descriptive entries, not a comparison with another treatment.

The listed top serious terms are acute kidney injury at 5.9%, non ST segment elevation myocardial infarction at 3.9%, spinal cord ischemia at 3.9%, atrial fibrillation at 2.9%, chronic systolic heart failure at 2.9%, and congestive cardiac failure aggravated at 2.9%. They identify terms recorded in the registry, but their percentages do not by themselves indicate causation or severity beyond the term classification. The record does not provide event-specific timing, adjudication details, or additional denominators for these terms.

Serious and other adverse-event categories may include overlapping participants, and a participant can experience more than one event. The registry entries do not clarify overlap or repeated events. The figures should therefore be read as registry safety summaries, not added together or interpreted as unique people or a measure of comparative risk.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The record establishes that a prospective, non-randomized, multicenter study evaluated the GORE EXCLUDER Thoracoabdominal Branch Endoprosthesis in two independent arms. It defines a primary composite endpoint that combines technical success with freedom from specified procedural safety events. It also records adverse-event summaries for the primary study arm. These details help explain what the study set out to assess and what safety information was recorded.

The record does not report the primary endpoint result. It therefore does not establish the proportion meeting the composite definition, the precision of that proportion, or the frequency of each component of the primary endpoint. Without those results, the endpoint's observed performance cannot be assessed from this record. The endpoint definition describes a measurement target, not a finding.

The safety counts and listed event percentages describe events recorded in the primary arm, but they do not show whether those events were caused by the device or procedure. The record does not describe a comparable control group. It also does not provide enough information to interpret the listed counts as a comparative safety effect or to determine whether event rates differ from another treatment or population.

The two arms are not interchangeable comparison groups. They concern different aneurysm types and different device configurations, and allocation is non-randomized. A difference between arms, were one reported, could not be attributed to the device configuration alone without a suitable analysis and assumptions addressing those differences. The registry record does not report such a comparative analysis.

In general, a study's result is best interpreted alongside its design, endpoint definition, analysis population, estimate, and uncertainty. Here, the design and endpoint are described, but the primary result, analysis populations, missing-data approach, and detailed statistical plan are not reported in the registry record. The study details and descriptive safety entries can be stated, but they do not support a conclusion that the intervention is effective or ineffective, or that its risks are higher or lower than those of an alternative.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial is statistically notable because its primary endpoint joins procedural technical success with freedom from a collection of safety events. That structure makes the outcome clinically broad, but also means a single composite result would need component-level context. Without the component results, readers could not tell whether the combined outcome was shaped chiefly by technical requirements or by a particular safety event. The registry record does not report the primary endpoint result or component-level results.

The non-randomized design is central to interpretation. The two independent arms address different aneurysm groups and use different device configurations. Those features make the arms unsuitable as a simple treated-versus-control comparison. Statistical adjustment can sometimes address measured differences, but it cannot automatically remove unmeasured confounding, and the registry record does not describe an adjusted comparative analysis.

The record also distinguishes a hypothesis-driven primary-arm analysis from a non-hypothesis-driven secondary-arm analysis. That distinction signals different analytical purposes, but the hypotheses, statistical methods, and multiplicity strategy are not reported. The listing of 33 outcome measures and two analyses does not by itself reveal which results were confirmatory or how uncertainty across analyses was handled.

Finally, the record contains meaningful descriptive safety entries while leaving key interpretive details unavailable, including event timing, analysis populations, and missing-data handling. This illustrates why event counts should be read together with denominators, follow-up definitions, and attribution methods. The study provides a framework for evaluating an endovascular device in distinct clinical groups; the registry information available does not supply the primary outcome evidence needed to judge its observed performance.

14. Limitations

The primary limitation for interpreting efficacy or procedural performance is that the primary endpoint result is not reported in the registry record. Neither an estimate of the composite outcome nor its uncertainty is available in the registry record described. The endpoint components are defined, but component-specific outcomes are not reported.

The study is non-randomized and has no described control arm. Its two arms differ by aneurysm type and device configuration, so they cannot be treated as equivalent groups for a causal comparison. The record does not describe adjustment for baseline differences or provide a comparative effect estimate.

There is a difference between the registry's enrollment field, which records 102, and the brief summary's statement of a minimum of 122 implanted participants and a maximum of 202 implanted participants, including up to 65 additional participants in continued access under the primary arm. The arm descriptions also state n= 102 for the primary arm and n= 20 - 100 for the secondary arm. The record does not reconcile these statements. Enrollment, implanted participants, and analyzed participants should not be assumed to be the same population.

Further limitations are the absence of reported analysis populations, missing-data methods, detailed statistical methods, and multiplicity strategy. The adverse-event summaries lack additional details in the registry entries about event timing, overlap, adjudication, and attribution. The registry status is active, not recruiting, but that status does not fill in the missing outcome or analysis information. These limitations restrict interpretation to the recorded design features and descriptive safety information.

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18. Record Summary

NCT03728985 is a prospective, non-randomized, multicenter evaluation sponsored by W.L.Gore & Associates. It evaluates the GORE EXCLUDER Thoracoabdominal Branch Endoprosthesis in two independent arms: a primary arm for Crawford Type IV thoracoabdominal and pararenal aneurysms using the TAMBE System alone, and a secondary arm for Crawford Type I-III aneurysms using TAMBE with CTAG device or devices. The record lists no masking and a parallel model.

The primary endpoint is the percent of participants with uncomplicated technical success and freedom from a procedural safety composite event, with a timeframe from the start of the index procedure to 59 days post procedure. The primary endpoint result is not reported in the registry record. Descriptive primary-arm safety fields list 52 affected among 102 at risk for serious adverse events, 92 affected among 102 at risk for other adverse events, and 6 deaths. The record does not provide a randomized comparator or enough detail to interpret these entries as comparative effects.

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