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Hip Dysplasia Phase 4 Continuous Endpoint NCT02365961

Hip Scope Fascia-iliaca (FI) Block Study: Complete Statistical Analysis

This registry record describes a randomized, single-masked, parallel trial of fascia-iliaca block and local injection for people undergoing hip arthroscopy. The posted primary outcome is mean Visual Analog Scale pain at 3 months, reported separately for each arm.

Trial start: 2015-04  ·  Enrollment: 84  ·  Sponsor: The Hawkins Foundation
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Hip Scope Fascia-iliaca (FI) Block Study (NCT02365961), a randomized phase 4 study. The primary outcome is Visual Analog Scale.

84
Enrollment
Phase 4
2
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02365961
PhasePhase 4
ConditionHip Dysplasia, Femoroacetabular Impingement, Acetabular Labrum Tear
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingSingle
Enrollment84
Arms in the primary outcome2
Lead sponsorThe Hawkins Foundation
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

The trial concerns people undergoing a hip scope procedure. The registry lists hip dysplasia, femoroacetabular impingement and acetabular labrum tear among the conditions. It does not give further eligibility criteria or describe the characteristics of the participants who enrolled.

Population

People undergoing hip arthroscopy, with the listed hip conditions. More specific eligibility details are not reported in the registry record.

Intervention

A fascia-iliaca block, described as up to 60 mL of 0.35% ropivacaine at a dose of 3 mg/kg, with clonidine and epinephrine as adjuvants.

Comparator

The arm description specifies local anesthetic in the hip joint: 30cc of 0.5% Noropin. The brief summary instead characterizes the comparison as no nerve block and pain medicine only, so the comparator description is not fully consistent across the record.

Primary question

What mean Visual Analog Scale pain score was recorded at 3 months in each randomized arm? The posted results give arm-specific means and confidence intervals, but do not report an estimated between-arm comparison.

The registry describes postoperative pain and clinical outcomes as being assessed through 3 months. Opioid consumption is listed as a secondary outcome. The primary pain measure is on a scale where 0 is no pain and 10 is the worst possible pain. These data describe the registered outcome and trial arms; they do not establish that either approach caused a particular pain experience.

3. Trial Design

The registry identifies this as a Phase 4, randomized, single-masked, parallel-group trial. A total enrollment of 84 is recorded, with 41 participants listed in the fascia-iliaca block arm and 43 in the local-injection arm for the posted primary outcome. The record does not state the allocation ratio or identify who was masked. It also does not explain how the random sequence was generated or concealed.

The fascia-iliaca block arm is described as receiving up to 60 mL of 0.35% ropivacaine at 3 mg/kg, together with 100 mcg clonidine per 60 mL and epinephrine at 1:400,000. The comparator arm description specifies 30cc of 0.5% Noropin injected locally in the hip joint. The brief summary describes randomization to a nerve block or no nerve block, with pain medicine only in the latter arm. Because these descriptions differ, the precise comparator should be interpreted from the detailed arm description with that record-level inconsistency in mind.

The primary outcome is Visual Analog Scale pain at 3 Months. The record gives the mean and a 95% confidence interval for each arm. It does not give a standard deviation or an adjusted treatment-effect estimate. The trial is marked completed; the recorded start is 2015-04 and primary completion is 2017-06. The sponsor is The Hawkins Foundation. Further details of sites, follow-up procedures, protocol deviations and the analysis population are not reported in the registry record.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Overall Study

StageFI BlockLocal Injection
STARTED4143
COMPLETED4143
NOT COMPLETED00

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitFI BlockLocal InjectionTotal
Participants analysed414384
Age, Categorical: <=18 yearsParticipants000
Age, Categorical: Between 18 and 65 yearsParticipants414384
Age, Categorical: >=65 yearsParticipants000
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants263056
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants151328
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Hispanic or LatinoParticipants134
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Not Hispanic or LatinoParticipants404080
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): American Indian or Alaska NativeParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): AsianParticipants101
Race (NIH/OMB): Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific IslanderParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): Black or African AmericanParticipants257
Race (NIH/OMB): WhiteParticipants373774
Race (NIH/OMB): More than one raceParticipants000
Race (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants112
Region of Enrollment: United Statesparticipants414384

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Visual Analog Scale, measured over 3 Months.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeMean
Measure of spread95% Confidence Interval
Unitunits on a scale
Endpoint classificationContinuous Endpoint

The primary endpoint is pain measured with the Visual Analog Scale (VAS), reported in units on a scale at 3 Months. The registry describes the scale as ranging from 0-10, where 0 is no pain and 10 is the worst possible pain. A score is a numerical summary of a participant’s reported pain at the specified assessment; it is not, by itself, a measure of function, recovery or opioid use.

Pain scales are used in clinical research because they turn a subjective experience into a consistently recorded outcome that can be summarized across participants and compared between randomized groups. Reporting the mean describes the group’s average score. It does not show the full distribution: participants may have different scores, and the registry record does not provide those individual values or a measure of spread such as a standard deviation.

The endpoint’s timing matters. A 3-month score describes pain at that registered follow-up point, not pain immediately after surgery or throughout the entire recovery period. The record says pain and clinical outcomes were assessed through 3 months post-operatively, but further assessment schedules and the procedures used to collect VAS scores are not reported in the registry record.

The posted arm means are accompanied by 95% confidence intervals. Those intervals convey uncertainty around each arm’s mean under the statistical method used to form them. They are not a range containing every participant’s score, and they do not directly provide a confidence interval for the difference between arms.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Values missing or not estimable for a two-arm comparison (continuous endpoint). A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The posted VAS mean is 2.65 in the FI Block arm, with a 95% confidence interval from 1.91 to 3.38. In the Local Injection arm, the mean is 2.5, with a 95% confidence interval from 1.77 to 3.23. These are arm-specific summaries at 3 Months, not an estimated treatment contrast. The registry record does not report a p-value or confidence interval for a between-arm difference.

Accordingly, the values support a description of the recorded means and their uncertainty, but not a definitive inferential statement about whether the arms differ. Comparing two arm means by eye is not a substitute for an analysis of the between-arm contrast. The confidence intervals around individual means quantify uncertainty in those means; they are not the confidence interval for a randomized treatment effect. No standard errors, standard deviations, or participant-level results are reported in the registry record.

The record lists 41 participants for the FI Block outcome and 43 for Local Injection. These are the arm counts associated with the posted outcome. They should not automatically be interpreted as proof that every enrolled participant contributed a measurement, or that there was no missing follow-up. The number assessed at 3 Months, reasons for missing measurements and handling of missing data are not reported in the registry record.

The primary outcome is a continuous measure, and the posted values are means. A mean provides a useful summary but can conceal variation in individual scores. The record does not report the shape of the score distributions or whether the analysis adjusted for any baseline variables. It also does not report an analysis entry for the two-arm comparison; the registry’s note says values were missing or not estimable for a two-arm comparison of the continuous endpoint.

There is one listed secondary outcome, opioid consumption, and five outcome measures are recorded. The primary results presented in the registry do not establish what happened on the secondary outcome. Its definition, measurement period and results are not reported in the registry record. The listed count of outcome measures does not identify which outcomes were prespecified as primary or secondary beyond the information expressly recorded.

Safety counts are reported separately: no serious adverse events and no deaths are recorded in either arm. One other adverse event is listed in each arm. The record does not give event descriptions or enough detail to assess severity beyond the serious-event classification. These counts are descriptive and do not establish whether an event was caused by an intervention.

Overall, the registry offers numerical arm summaries for pain at the stated follow-up, but the posted information does not include the comparative estimate needed to quantify the difference between randomized groups or its precision. Any conclusion about comparative effects would require information not reported in the registry record.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The main statistical distinction in this record is between an arm-specific summary and a randomized comparison. The registry reports a mean VAS score for each arm. A treatment comparison would ordinarily summarize how far apart the arm outcomes are and quantify uncertainty around that contrast. The posted record does not report such an estimate for this continuous outcome; it states that values were missing or not estimable for a two-arm comparison. The arm summaries therefore should not be recast as a test of a treatment effect.

What does a mean summarize?

For a continuous outcome such as a pain score, the mean is the arithmetic average of recorded scores in a group. It gives a concise description of the group’s central level, but it does not describe how clustered or dispersed individual scores are. Two groups can have similar means while differing in their distributions, and the mean alone does not show whether scores were concentrated or widely spread. The registry gives no standard deviation or other direct summary of within-arm variability.

The primary outcome is reported at 3 Months, and the registry describes its scale as 0-10, with lower values corresponding to less pain according to the scale’s anchors. That direction helps readers understand what the measure represents, but it does not supply a clinical threshold for an important difference. Such a threshold is not reported in the registry record.

How should the confidence intervals be read?

A confidence interval expresses statistical uncertainty around an estimate, subject to the method and assumptions used to calculate it. The registry reports a 95% confidence interval for each arm mean: 1.91 to 3.38 for FI Block and 1.77 to 3.23 for Local Injection. In general, a confidence interval is not a range intended to contain most individual participants’ scores. It concerns uncertainty in the estimated group mean. A narrower interval generally indicates greater precision than a wider interval, but precision also depends on the estimand and method being considered.

These intervals are for the separate means. They cannot be treated as the interval for the difference between arms. The uncertainty in a difference depends on the comparison’s statistical model and the variability and relationship of the observations. Since the record does not give the comparison estimate, its confidence interval and test result, those quantities cannot be inferred from the arm intervals alone.

Why does randomization matter?

Random assignment is intended to make treatment groups comparable, on average, with respect to factors that could influence outcomes. It supports a causal comparison when the analysis follows an appropriate design and important sources of bias are controlled. It does not guarantee that groups will be identical, and it does not remove concerns about missing outcomes, deviations from assigned treatment, measurement or analysis choices. The registry identifies the trial as randomized but does not report the sequence-generation or concealment methods, or the analysis population.

Single masking means the record classifies the study as masked at one level, but it does not say which individuals were unaware of treatment assignment. That detail matters when considering the potential for expectations to influence care, outcome assessment or reporting, especially for a participant-reported pain scale. The identity of the masked party and the masking procedures are not reported in the registry record.

What does a planning illustration mean?

In general, sample-size planning asks how many participants would be needed under specified assumptions to detect a chosen effect with a chosen probability, while controlling a stated false-positive rate. The registry’s planning assumptions describe two-sided significance level 0.05, equal allocation, a normal approximation and an effect defined as a fraction of the observed effect. Such calculations are planning illustrations based on an observed effect; they are not evidence of the trial’s original design rationale and are not observed power. The record does not report the trial’s own sample-size justification. No planning result should be read as an observed trial outcome.

Planning calculations can be sensitive to the assumed effect size and variability. If an effect used for planning comes from the same trial’s observed data, it is an uncertain estimate, not a fixed truth. A planning illustration therefore cannot repair the absence of a reported comparative estimate or determine whether the trial was adequately powered. The registry record does not report its protocol assumptions, anticipated effect, variance assumption or design calculation.

Why can over-dispersion matter?

In general, over-dispersion occurs when variability in the data exceeds what a statistical model assumes. If a model underestimates variability, standard errors may be too small and confidence intervals too narrow, making statistical evidence appear more precise than it is. The relevance of over-dispersion depends on the outcome and model. For continuous VAS scores, the registry does not provide enough distributional detail or a model description to assess whether this issue was considered. This is a general statistical point, not a finding about this trial.

Other details needed to reproduce or appraise the analysis—such as whether the comparison was adjusted, how missing scores were handled, and whether assumptions were checked—are not reported in the registry record. The registered means and intervals should therefore be interpreted as the posted summaries, without attributing an unreported model or analysis plan to the investigators.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

Multiplicity arises when multiple outcomes, time points, treatment contrasts or subgroup analyses are tested. When many tests are conducted, the chance of obtaining at least one apparently notable result by chance can increase. In general, a statistical plan may identify a primary outcome and prespecify how multiple comparisons will be handled. The registry identifies Visual Analog Scale pain at 3 Months as the primary outcome and lists opioid consumption as a secondary outcome. It also records five outcome measures. A multiplicity adjustment or strategy is not reported in the registry record.

The registry lists zero analysis entries, and its note says values were missing or not estimable for a two-arm comparison of the continuous endpoint. A between-arm p-value, confidence interval for the contrast and model specification are therefore not reported. This does not mean that no analysis was performed outside the registry; it means the record does not post those analysis details.

Missing-data information is also limited. The arm counts associated with the primary outcome are given, but the record does not explain whether all enrolled participants completed the 3-month assessment, whether any scores were missing, or how missing outcomes were handled. Reasons for missingness, imputation methods and sensitivity analyses are not reported in the registry record.

The analysis population is not specified. The record does not say whether results were based on all randomized participants, participants who received the assigned intervention, or another defined group. It also does not report exclusions after randomization or protocol deviations. These omissions limit assessment of the analysis and make it inappropriate to assume an intention-to-treat or per-protocol approach.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
FI Block0410.0%
Local Injection0430.0%

Deaths

ArmDeaths (participants affected of at risk)
FI Block0 of 41
Local Injection0 of 43

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 0% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
FI Block1 of 41
Local Injection1 of 43

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemFI BlockLocal Injection
Hospital readmissionGeneral disorders1 of 411 of 43
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry reports serious adverse event counts by arm. For FI Block, 0 serious adverse events are listed among 41 at risk; for Local Injection, 0 are listed among 43 at risk. Deaths are recorded as 0 in both arms. The registry also lists 1 other adverse event in each arm. These figures are counts as recorded, not a complete description of what happened to each participant.

The terms and event descriptions for the other adverse events are not reported in the registry record. The record also does not give further details about how adverse events were collected, the observation period for safety, or how events were classified. A zero count for reported serious events means none are recorded in these fields; it does not prove that no adverse experience occurred or exclude uncommon risks.

These arm-specific counts do not establish that an intervention caused or prevented an event. The record does not report a comparative safety analysis or an assessment of event relatedness. Safety interpretation should remain descriptive and limited to the classifications and counts actually posted.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The registry results provide a snapshot of mean pain scores at 3 Months for the two randomized arms. FI Block has a posted mean of 2.65, with a 95% confidence interval from 1.91 to 3.38; Local Injection has a posted mean of 2.5, with a 95% confidence interval from 1.77 to 3.23. These summaries communicate the observed group means and uncertainty around those means. They do not provide the estimated difference between treatment assignments.

Without a reported between-arm estimate, confidence interval for the contrast or p-value, the posted results do not quantify the comparative effect or its statistical precision. They also do not establish that the approaches are equivalent. Similar-looking arm means or intervals are not a formal equivalence or non-inferiority analysis; no such design or margin is reported in the registry record.

The outcome concerns pain at one stated follow-up time. It does not by itself describe pain at other times, overall clinical recovery, function or opioid consumption. Although opioid consumption is listed as a secondary outcome, its result is not reported in the registry record. The record does not specify a threshold for a clinically important VAS difference, so the clinical importance of any contrast cannot be judged from the posted numbers alone.

The safety fields record no serious adverse events and no deaths in either arm, alongside one other adverse event in each. These counts are not proof that either intervention is free of risk, nor do they identify the nature or cause of the events. The trial’s enrollment and registry summaries also do not show whether every randomized participant completed follow-up.

In short, the record describes a randomized study and posts primary-outcome means by arm, but does not post the principal comparative analysis needed to support a precise statement about the difference in pain scores. Missing analysis, follow-up and methods details further constrain interpretation. These results should be read as registry summaries, not as medical advice or a stand-alone basis for choosing care.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial illustrates an important distinction in clinical statistics: reporting outcomes separately by group is not the same as reporting a comparison between groups. Randomization makes the between-arm contrast the central quantity for assessing an intervention. Arm means are useful descriptions, but without a contrast estimate and its uncertainty, readers cannot tell how precisely the trial estimated the comparative outcome.

The example also shows why outcome timing and measurement scale should be made explicit. A VAS score at 3 Months is a specific summary of reported pain at a defined follow-up, on a scale with stated anchors. It is not interchangeable with immediate postoperative pain or with other outcomes such as opioid consumption. The registry’s listed secondary outcome underlines that different outcomes answer different questions.

Confidence intervals are valuable, but their target must be clear. Intervals around each mean describe uncertainty in each mean, not directly the uncertainty in a difference. Readers who interpret arm-level intervals as a formal comparison may overstate what the analysis shows. A clearly posted contrast, with its interval and analysis details, would make the comparative evidence easier to assess.

Finally, transparent reporting of masking, missing outcomes, analysis populations and multiplicity helps readers evaluate potential sources of bias and uncertainty. These items are not reported in the registry record. Their absence does not establish that the trial lacked procedures for addressing them, but it limits what can be concluded from the registry information alone.

14. Limitations

The main limitation for interpretation is that the registry posts arm-specific primary-outcome means and confidence intervals but no estimated between-arm contrast, p-value or confidence interval for the contrast. The record explicitly notes that values were missing or not estimable for a two-arm comparison of the continuous outcome. As a result, comparative precision cannot be assessed from the posted results.

The arm descriptions are not fully aligned with the brief summary. The detailed comparator description specifies local anesthetic injected in the hip joint, while the brief summary describes no nerve block and pain medicine only. This makes the comparator’s characterization less clear than it would be with consistent wording.

Important analysis details are not reported in the registry record: the statistical model, adjustment for baseline characteristics, analysis population, handling of missing outcomes, and treatment of multiple outcomes. The identity of the masked party and the randomization procedures are also not reported. The record does not give the VAS score distribution or a standard deviation, and it provides no participant-level results.

Safety information is limited to event counts. Descriptions of the other adverse events, collection methods, observation period and relatedness assessments are not reported. The listed primary-outcome counts should not be treated as confirmation that all enrolled participants completed follow-up, since the completion and missing-data details are not reported in the registry record.

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18. Record Summary

The record describes NCT02365961, Hip Scope Fascia-iliaca (FI) Block Study, a Phase 4 randomized, single-masked, parallel trial sponsored by The Hawkins Foundation. It is marked completed, with a recorded start of 2015-04 and primary completion of 2017-06. Enrollment is listed as 84.

The primary outcome is mean Visual Analog Scale pain at 3 Months, on a scale from 0-10. The posted means are 2.65 for FI Block and 2.5 for Local Injection, each with a 95% confidence interval. No comparative estimate is posted. Opioid consumption is listed as a secondary outcome, but its result is not reported in the registry record.

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