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Mucopolysaccharidosis IV A Phase 3 Continuous Endpoint NCT01415427

Long-Term Efficacy and Safety Extension Study of BMN 110 in Patients With Mucopolysaccharidosis IVA (Morquio A Syndrome): Complete Statistical Analysis

This Phase 3 extension study examined long-term BMN 110 dosing in patients with mucopolysaccharidosis IVA. The registry record identifies change in the 6-minute walk test as the primary outcome, but does not report its numerical results or an analysis.

Trial start: 2011-07  ·  Enrollment: 173  ·  Sponsor: BioMarin Pharmaceutical
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Long-Term Efficacy and Safety Extension Study of BMN 110 in Patients With Mucopolysaccharidosis IVA (Morquio A Syndrome) (NCT01415427), a randomized phase 3 study. The primary outcome is Change From Baseline in 6-minute Walk (6MW) Test - ITT.

173
Enrollment
Phase 3
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT01415427
PhasePhase 3
ConditionMucopolysaccharidosis IV A, Morquio A Syndrome, MPS IVA
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingQuadruple
Enrollment173
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorBioMarin Pharmaceutical
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

Patients with mucopolysaccharidosis IVA, also called Morquio A Syndrome. The registry record reports enrollment of 173 patients. The primary outcome population is the intent-to-treat population, defined as all enrolled patients who received patient IDs, whether or not they received study drug.

Intervention

BMN 110, described in the study summary as 2.0 mg/kg/week and/or 2.0 mg/kg/every other week. The arm descriptions specify intravenous infusion of 2.0 mg/kg once a week or every other week. In the every-other-week description, placebo infusions are given on alternating weeks.

Comparator

The registry describes randomized groups and includes group labels PBO-QOW, PBO-QW, QOW-QOW, and QW-QW in its safety record. It does not report a single comparator definition that maps these labels to all study periods or to the primary outcome comparison.

Primary question

What change from baseline in the 6-minute walk test was observed from baseline to week 168 in the intent-to-treat population? The registry record names this outcome but does not report a numerical estimate or an analysis result.

The clinical question is about change in walking performance during a long-term extension study, not a reported head-to-head estimate that can be interpreted from the record. The registry describes a Phase 3, randomized, quadruple-masked, parallel study of BMN 110 in people with mucopolysaccharidosis IVA. It also lists change in the 3-minute stair climb test and urine keratan sulfate among secondary outcomes, with intent-to-treat and modified per-protocol populations named for those outcomes. Those entries provide context for the study’s outcome scope, but they do not fill in the missing primary outcome result.

3. Trial Design

The registry identifies this as a Phase 3 extension study with randomized allocation, quadruple masking, and a parallel model. Its official title describes a multicenter, multinational study. The stated purpose is to evaluate long-term efficacy and safety of BMN 110 in patients with mucopolysaccharidosis IVA, also known as Morquio A Syndrome. The registry reports enrollment of 173.

The study summary describes BMN 110 at 2.0 mg/kg/week and/or 2.0 mg/kg/every other week. The arm descriptions state that the weekly regimen is an intravenous infusion administered over approximately 4 hours once a week. The every-other-week regimen is an intravenous infusion over approximately 4 hours every other week, with placebo infusions on alternating weeks. These details describe the regimens in Part 1; the registry record does not explain how every treatment period or group label relates to the extension’s full sequence.

The primary outcome timeframe is baseline to week 168. The record gives a start date of 2011-07 and a primary completion date of 2016-06-16, and lists the study status as completed. These dates describe registry milestones; they do not establish the duration of follow-up for each individual participant.

The safety record uses four group labels: PBO-QOW, PBO-QW, QOW-QOW, and QW-QW. Definitions connecting those labels to treatment histories are not reported in the registry record. Nor are details of the randomization procedure, masking procedures, treatment adherence, discontinuations, or protocol changes reported. The design labels therefore offer a broad outline but not enough information to reconstruct the full conduct of the extension study or the precise treatment contrasts for every outcome.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Overall Study

StagePBO-QOWPBO-QWQOW-QOWQW-QW
STARTED29295956
COMPLETED0010
NOT COMPLETED29295856

Analysis population for the primary outcome, as defined in the registry: ITT-intent-to-treat population, defined as all patients enrolled in the study who received patient IDs regardless of whether they received study drug or not.

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitPBO-QOWPBO-QWQOW-QOWQW-QWTotal
Participants analysed29295956173
Age, Continuousyears16.7 (SD 13.66)13.5 (SD 8.50)15.3 (SD 10.79)12.8 (SD 8.01)14.4 (SD 10.20)
Age, Customized: 5 - 11participants1515313293
Age, Customized: 12 - 18participants77161646
Age, Customized: >=19participants7712834
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants1418253087
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants1511342686
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Hispanic or LatinoParticipants4816937
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Not Hispanic or LatinoParticipants25214347136
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants00000
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: American Indian or Alaska Nativeparticipants00000
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Asianparticipants47151440
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islanderparticipants00000
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Black or African Americanparticipants00224
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Whiteparticipants25183535113
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Otherparticipants047516
Region of Enrollment: Argentinaparticipants01102
Region of Enrollment: Brazilparticipants2310520
Region of Enrollment: Canadaparticipants315514
Region of Enrollment: Colombiaparticipants02226
Region of Enrollment: Denmarkparticipants00011
Region of Enrollment: Franceparticipants255820
Region of Enrollment: Germanyparticipants225110
Region of Enrollment: Italyparticipants314210
Region of Enrollment: Japanparticipants00426
Region of Enrollment: Korea, Southparticipants21137

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Change From Baseline in 6-minute Walk (6MW) Test - ITT, measured over Baseline to week 168.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeMean
Measure of spreadStandard Deviation
Unitmeters
Endpoint classificationContinuous Endpoint

The primary endpoint is change from baseline in the 6-minute walk test, measured in meters, from baseline to week 168. The registry says efficacy was assessed by changes from baseline in the 6-minute walk test. This test measures the distance a participant can walk during a timed assessment; as a continuous measure, its result can be expressed as a mean change for a defined analysis population.

Walking performance is relevant to a study of mucopolysaccharidosis IVA because it provides a functional measure that can be followed over time. In general, a repeated functional assessment can describe whether the measured capacity changes during follow-up. Its interpretation depends on the observed change, the variation among participants, the analysis population, and the handling of missing follow-up measurements.

The registry specifies the intent-to-treat population as all patients enrolled who received patient IDs, regardless of whether they received study drug. It identifies standard deviation as the dispersion measure. However, the record does not report a mean change, standard deviation, confidence interval, or test result for the primary endpoint. Without those results, the direction, magnitude, and precision of the observed change cannot be assessed from the registry record.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Primary outcome has several categories or time points; not reduced to one comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record identifies a long-term functional outcome and its analysis population, but does not provide the numerical primary outcome result. It names change from baseline in the 6-minute walk test in meters, over baseline to week 168, for the intent-to-treat population. It does not report the mean change or its standard deviation, nor does it report a confidence interval or a statistical test result. Consequently, the size and precision of the observed change cannot be described from this record.

This absence also prevents a direct interpretation of whether the posted primary outcome estimate is compatible with little change, improvement, or decline. Such interpretations require the actual estimate and a clear account of the analysis. The endpoint title alone does not show the result. The study’s completion status likewise does not supply evidence about the size or direction of an outcome.

The registry lists secondary outcomes for change in the 3-minute stair climb test and urine keratan sulfate, each with intent-to-treat and modified per-protocol labels. It reports six outcome measures in total, but the record lists no outcome analyses. Numerical results for the listed secondary outcomes are therefore not reported in the registry record either. A list of planned or registered outcomes should not be mistaken for results.

The safety record does contain counts of participants affected by serious and other adverse events, along with a short list of serious adverse event terms and percentages. These figures describe reported events in the registry record. They do not establish that BMN 110 caused an event, and they do not provide a comparison adjusted for treatment exposure or follow-up duration. The record reports one death overall, assigned to the QOW-QOW group; it does not give a cause in the information.

Because treatment-group definitions and the primary outcome analysis are not fully available, the registry does not support a clear quantitative comparison between dosing schedules for the primary endpoint. The interpretation should remain limited to what is recorded: study design labels, dosing descriptions, outcome definitions, and safety counts. The effect estimate, its uncertainty, and any inferential conclusion for the primary outcome are not reported in the registry record.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The registry describes the primary endpoint as a mean change in a continuous measure and identifies standard deviation as its dispersion measure. It does not report an analysis result, so the statistical concepts below explain how such results are generally interpreted rather than describing a completed analysis from this trial.

What does a mean change represent?

In general, a mean change summarizes the average difference between participants’ baseline measurements and their later measurements. It is a summary of the group, not a description of every participant’s individual course. Participants can have different starting values and different changes, so a group mean does not show the full distribution of responses. For this study, the endpoint is change in the 6-minute walk test measured in meters, with the stated timeframe running from baseline to week 168.

The registry calls the outcome an intent-to-treat analysis and defines that population as all enrolled patients who received patient IDs, regardless of whether they received study drug. An analysis population determines which participants contribute to a result. The registry does not report how participants without a week 168 measurement were handled, or whether the stated population definition was applied consistently to an actual analysis.

What does standard deviation describe?

In general, a standard deviation describes the spread of individual measurements around their mean. A larger spread means participants’ measurements vary more widely around the average; it is not itself a measure of uncertainty in the estimated mean. The uncertainty of an estimate is commonly described with a confidence interval. The registry identifies standard deviation as the dispersion measure for the primary outcome but does not report its value or a confidence interval.

Why is a confidence interval useful?

In general, a confidence interval gives a range of values compatible with the data and the method used to calculate it. It conveys precision as well as the central estimate: a narrower interval indicates greater precision under the method’s assumptions, while a wider interval indicates less precision. It does not remove concerns about bias, missing data, or whether the analysis matches the study question. No confidence interval for the primary outcome is reported in the registry record, so its precision cannot be evaluated.

What can a significance test tell a reader?

In general, a significance test assesses how compatible observed data are with a specified statistical null model. A p-value is not the probability that a treatment is effective, nor does it quantify the size or practical importance of an effect. It should be read alongside an effect estimate and an interval estimate. The registry record gives no primary outcome p-value or analysis, so there is no reported test result to interpret.

How should the planning illustration be understood?

In general, a sample-size illustration based on an observed effect is a hypothetical planning exercise. It asks how many participants per arm might be needed under stated assumptions to detect an effect of a chosen fraction of that observed effect. It is not an account of the trial’s original design, and it is not observed power. The record describes an illustration using a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation. It also states that the effect to detect is a stated fraction of the observed effect. The record does not report the trial’s own sample-size justification, and no primary effect estimate is reported from which such an illustration could be interpreted. The illustration should therefore not be treated as evidence about the study’s achieved power or design adequacy.

Why can over-dispersion matter?

In general, over-dispersion means that observed variability is greater than a statistical model expects. If a model underestimates variability, uncertainty estimates may be too small and inferential results may appear more precise than warranted. This is a general consideration for statistical modeling; the registry record does not report an over-dispersion assessment or a model for the primary continuous outcome.

The study record does not report the primary outcome estimates, confidence intervals, hypothesis tests, model specification, or handling of missing measurements. The statistical concepts above therefore explain what such information would mean, not what the trial’s unreported analysis found.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry lists a primary outcome and several secondary outcomes, but does not report analyses for them. It identifies change in the 6-minute walk test as primary and lists change in the 3-minute stair climb test and urine keratan sulfate for intent-to-treat and modified per-protocol populations among secondary outcomes. It reports six outcome measures in total and zero analyses. The primary outcome also has several categories or time points and is not reduced in the record to one comparison.

When a study examines multiple outcomes, populations, time points, or treatment contrasts, the chance of at least one apparently notable result can increase if each is tested separately without accounting for multiplicity. In general, statistical plans may address this through a prespecified hierarchy, adjustment method, or clear distinction between confirmatory and exploratory analyses. The registry record does not report a multiplicity strategy, a testing hierarchy, or which outcomes were intended as confirmatory.

Missing data are also important for a change-from-baseline outcome measured at a later visit. In general, participants may lack a follow-up measurement for many reasons, and the method used to handle those missing values can affect both the estimate and its uncertainty. The record does not report the amount or pattern of missing primary outcome data, or the method used to handle missingness.

The intent-to-treat definition is stated, but that definition alone does not establish how every enrolled participant’s data entered a particular analysis. A modified per-protocol population is named for secondary outcomes, but its membership criteria are not reported in the registry record. Without analyses, population counts, and missing-data methods, it is not possible to assess whether the results were robust to alternative analysis choices.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
PBO-QOW172958.6%
PBO-QW152951.7%
QOW-QOW265944.1%
QW-QW315655.4%
Total8917351.4%
Participants with at least one serious adverse event
Serious adverse events by armPBO-QOW58.6%PBO-QW51.7%QOW-QOW44.1%QW-QW55.4%Total51.4%% of participants with at least one serious adverse event

Deaths

ArmDeaths (participants affected of at risk)
PBO-QOW0 of 29
PBO-QW0 of 29
QOW-QOW1 of 59
QW-QW0 of 56
Total1 of 173

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 5% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
PBO-QOW29 of 29
PBO-QW29 of 29
QOW-QOW59 of 59
QW-QW56 of 56
Total173 of 173

Most frequent serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemPBO-QOWPBO-QWQOW-QOWQW-QWTotal
Knee deformityMusculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders6 of 298 of 297 of 598 of 5629 of 173
Poor venous accessVascular disorders0 of 292 of 295 of 595 of 5612 of 173
Joint instabilityMusculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders2 of 290 of 291 of 592 of 565 of 173
Central venous catheterisationSurgical and medical procedures1 of 290 of 293 of 591 of 565 of 173
Medical device removalSurgical and medical procedures1 of 290 of 290 of 594 of 565 of 173
VomitingGastrointestinal disorders0 of 290 of 291 of 593 of 564 of 173
Lower respiratory tract infectionInfections and infestations1 of 290 of 290 of 593 of 564 of 173
Spinal cord compressionNervous system disorders1 of 290 of 290 of 593 of 564 of 173
Developmental hip dysplasiaCongenital, familial and genetic disorders1 of 290 of 291 of 591 of 563 of 173
Device dislocationGeneral disorders0 of 291 of 291 of 591 of 563 of 173

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemPBO-QOWPBO-QWQOW-QOWQW-QWTotal
PyrexiaGeneral disorders22 of 2919 of 2938 of 5939 of 56118 of 173
VomitingGastrointestinal disorders20 of 2917 of 2939 of 5938 of 56114 of 173
HeadacheNervous system disorders23 of 2916 of 2939 of 5936 of 56114 of 173
ArthralgiaMusculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders20 of 2916 of 2940 of 5929 of 56105 of 173
CoughRespiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders21 of 2914 of 2937 of 5928 of 56100 of 173
Pain in extremityMusculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders16 of 2912 of 2927 of 5931 of 5686 of 173
NasopharyngitisInfections and infestations13 of 2913 of 2929 of 5928 of 5683 of 173
NauseaGastrointestinal disorders15 of 2910 of 2926 of 5928 of 5679 of 173
Oropharyngeal painRespiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders13 of 2911 of 2923 of 5927 of 5674 of 173
DiarrhoeaGastrointestinal disorders11 of 2911 of 2925 of 5923 of 5670 of 173

Serious events with the highest arm-level rate: knee deformity (27.6%), poor venous access (8.9%), medical device removal (7.1%), joint instability (6.9%), vomiting (5.4%).

Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry safety record lists 173 participants at risk for serious adverse events and 89 affected. It reports one death in total, with that death assigned to the QOW-QOW group; the other listed groups have zero deaths. The record also lists participants at risk and affected by other adverse events. These are descriptive registry counts and should not be read as proof that study treatment caused an event.

The listed serious adverse event terms and percentages are knee deformity, 27.6%; poor venous access, 8.9%; medical device removal, 7.1%; joint instability, 6.9%; vomiting, 5.4%; and lower respiratory tract infection, 5.4%. The denominator and calculation details for these term-specific percentages are not reported in the registry record. They should not be treated as treatment-attributable risks or compared across groups without further information.

The group labels are PBO-QOW, PBO-QW, QOW-QOW, and QW-QW. The registry record does not fully define those labels or provide exposure-adjusted comparisons, timing, severity grades, or causal assessments for the listed events. The figures therefore describe recorded safety experience, not a complete comparative safety analysis.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The record establishes that a Phase 3 extension study was conducted to evaluate long-term efficacy and safety of BMN 110 in patients with mucopolysaccharidosis IVA. It identifies randomized allocation, quadruple masking, a parallel model, and enrollment of 173. It also names the primary functional outcome, defines the intent-to-treat population, and describes weekly and every-other-week dosing in Part 1. These details help characterize the study question and its broad design.

What the record does not establish is the size or direction of the primary outcome change. No mean change, standard deviation, confidence interval, or test result is reported. It is therefore not possible to quantify the reported walking-test result, describe its precision, or interpret it as evidence for a particular treatment contrast. The study’s completed status cannot substitute for those missing outcome results.

The safety record reports counts of affected participants and lists serious adverse event terms with percentages. These data are descriptive and do not establish causation. The record does not provide the event timing, treatment exposure, term-specific denominators, or a detailed comparison between regimens. A count recorded during a trial is not, by itself, an estimate of the effect of treatment on event risk.

More generally, a registry record is not necessarily a complete account of the protocol, analysis plan, or study report. Here, the treatment-group labels and the full relationship between treatment periods are not explained. The record also does not report the primary analysis, how missing measurements were handled, or how multiple outcomes were addressed. Those gaps limit the strength of any statistical conclusion drawn from the registry entry.

The appropriate reading is therefore narrow: the registry documents the trial’s stated objective, design labels, dosing descriptions, outcome definitions, and selected safety counts, while leaving the main efficacy result and its uncertainty unreported. No conclusion about the efficacy of BMN 110 follows from the endpoint title or from the fact that the study was completed.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This study raises several statistical issues common to long-term clinical trials. The endpoint is a continuous functional measure collected over an extended timeframe, and the registry identifies an intent-to-treat population. To interpret a mean change, readers need both the estimate and a measure of its uncertainty, together with a clear account of which participants contributed data. The registry record does not report those primary outcome results.

The design labels also matter. Randomized allocation and masking are relevant features for limiting some forms of bias, but labels alone do not explain how the extension’s treatment sequences worked or how the primary comparison was formed. Group labels appear in the safety record, while their full definitions are not reported. This makes it difficult to connect the listed safety counts to a clearly specified regimen contrast.

Long-term follow-up brings questions about missing measurements, treatment exposure, and changes in participant availability over time. In general, these factors can affect the meaning and precision of a change-from-baseline estimate. The registry does not report the missing-data pattern or method, so readers cannot evaluate how those issues were handled.

Multiplicity is another concern because the record names outcomes across different measures and populations. Without an analysis plan or reported results, readers cannot determine which comparisons were prioritized or how multiple testing was addressed. The sample-size material is described as a planning illustration based on an observed effect, not as the trial’s original design justification. Since the primary effect estimate is not reported, that illustration does not provide a basis for interpreting the study’s power.

The statistical importance of this record lies both in the stated design and in the limits of the available results. It shows what the study set out to assess, while also illustrating why outcome estimates, uncertainty, analysis populations, and missing-data methods are necessary for a useful quantitative interpretation.

14. Limitations

The principal limitation is that the registry record does not report a numerical result or an analysis for the primary endpoint. Although the outcome, unit, timeframe, dispersion measure, and intent-to-treat definition are stated, there is no mean change, standard deviation, confidence interval, or test result. The direction, size, and precision of the primary outcome therefore cannot be assessed.

The record reports zero analyses despite listing six outcome measures. It names several secondary outcomes and populations, but does not provide numerical results for them. It also does not report a multiplicity plan, a statistical model, or whether analyses were prespecified. The record’s note that the primary outcome has several categories or time points and is not reduced to one comparison further limits a single-comparison interpretation.

Important design and analysis details are not reported in the registry record. These include the sample-size justification, interim analyses, randomization and masking procedures, missing-data methods, and criteria for the modified per-protocol population. The safety group labels are listed, but their full relationship to treatment history is not explained. Consequently, the safety counts cannot be interpreted as a complete comparative analysis by clearly defined regimen.

The adverse event information is also limited: it includes counts, a total death count, and selected serious event terms with percentages, but does not report event timing, exposure-adjusted rates, term-specific denominators, severity detail, or causal assessments. These gaps mean the figures should be read descriptively. They do not establish that treatment caused or prevented an event.

15. Related Tutorials

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17. Sources

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18. Record Summary

The registry record describes NCT01415427, a completed Phase 3 extension study of BMN 110 in patients with mucopolysaccharidosis IVA, also called Morquio A Syndrome. It reports randomized allocation, quadruple masking, a parallel model, and enrollment of 173. The study summary describes weekly and every-other-week dosing, with placebo infusions on alternating weeks in the every-other-week regimen description.

The primary outcome is change from baseline in the 6-minute walk test, measured in meters from baseline to week 168, in the intent-to-treat population. The record does not report a numerical primary outcome result or an analysis. It lists secondary outcomes for the 3-minute stair climb test and urine keratan sulfate, but reports zero analyses.

The safety record reports 89 participants affected by serious adverse events among 173 at risk, and one death overall. It lists selected serious adverse event terms and percentages. The definitions of safety group labels and the details needed for comparative interpretation are not fully reported.

Clinical Biostats