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Prostate Cancer Phase 3 Binary Endpoint NCT01215513

Long-Term Safety and Tolerability of Degarelix One-Month Dosing Regimen in Korean Patients: Complete Statistical Analysis

This completed phase 3 extension trial evaluated the long-term safety and tolerability of degarelix in Korean patients with prostate cancer. The primary outcome concerned markedly abnormal safety laboratory values, but its numerical result is not reported in the registry record.

Trial start: 2010-09  ·  Enrollment: 127  ·  Sponsor: Ferring Pharmaceuticals
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Long-Term Safety and Tolerability of Degarelix One-Month Dosing Regimen in Korean Patients (NCT01215513), a na phase 3 study. The primary outcome is Number of Participants With Markedly Abnormal Values in Safety Laboratory Variables.

127
Enrollment
Phase 3
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT01215513
PhasePhase 3
ConditionProstate Cancer
AllocationNot applicable (single group)
Design modelSingle Group
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment127
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorFerring Pharmaceuticals
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

Korean patients with prostate cancer who required androgen ablation therapy were the intended population. The registry describes the study population for the primary endpoint as the CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set. Further eligibility criteria and details of how that set was defined are not reported in the registry record.

Intervention

The intervention was degarelix, described as a one-month dosing regimen. The study evaluated long-term safety and tolerability in an open-label extension setting. Dose details and other treatment instructions are not reported in the registry record.

Comparator

There was no concurrent comparator group. The registry identifies the trial as single-group, with allocation recorded as NA and masking as none. Comparisons with an untreated group, another regimen, or a randomized control are therefore not part of the study design.

Primary question

The primary question was how many participants had markedly abnormal values in safety laboratory variables from baseline (day 0) to end of treatment, up to day 364. This is a descriptive safety question, not a randomized test of differences between treatments. The numerical primary outcome result is not reported in the registry record.

3. Trial Design

This was a phase 3, open-label, multi-centre, single-group extension trial of degarelix in Korean patients with prostate cancer requiring androgen ablation therapy. Its stated purpose was to investigate long-term safety and tolerability. The registry lists the trial as completed, with enrollment of 127. The recorded study dates are 2010-09 for start and 2012-04 for primary completion.

Open-label means that masking was not used; the registry records masking as none. Allocation is listed as NA, consistent with the single-group design. There was no randomized comparator, so the study does not support a like-for-like comparison of degarelix against another treatment or against no treatment. Any changes observed over time cannot, from this design alone, be separated from other possible influences.

The primary outcome covers safety laboratory variables from baseline (day 0) to end of treatment, up to day 364. The registry says the descriptive safety population was the CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set, but does not explain the relationship of those sets to enrollment. The specific dosing schedule beyond the one-month regimen description, visit schedule, treatment discontinuation rules, and detailed eligibility criteria are not reported in the registry record.

The registry also lists serum levels of prostate specific antigen (PSA) over time as a secondary outcome. It records four outcome measures overall, but further details of the other measures are not reported in the registry record. The record lists zero analyses. Consequently, it does not document inferential testing or a comparative analysis for the primary safety question.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Overall Study

StageDegarelix
STARTED157
CS42 and CS42A Safety Analysis Set156
CS42 and CS42A Full Analysis Set155
CS42A Safety Analysis Set127
COMPLETED112
NOT COMPLETED45

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonDegarelix
Not completed CS429
Not enrolled from CS42 to CS42A21
Adverse event (CS42A)2
Physician decision (CS42A)6
Withdrawal by subject (CS42A)5
Miscellaneous reasons (CS42A)2

Analysis population for the primary outcome, as defined in the registry: Descriptive statistics provided a view of the 1-year safety of degarelix (CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set).

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

Population: The 156 participants included in the CS42 and CS42A saftey analysis set are included in this baseline analysis population.

CharacteristicUnitDegarelix
Participants analysed156
Age Continuousyears72.6 (SD 8.06)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants0
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants156
Region of Enrollment: Korea, Republic ofparticipants156

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Number of Participants With Markedly Abnormal Values in Safety Laboratory Variables, measured over From baseline (day 0) to end of treatment (up to day 364).

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeNumber
Measure of spreadnot applicable
UnitParticipants
Endpoint classificationBinary Endpoint

The primary endpoint is the number of participants with markedly abnormal values in safety laboratory variables over the period from baseline (day 0) to end of treatment, up to day 364. The registry explains that the figures present participants who had markedly abnormal levels, and that only laboratory variables with at least one participant with an abnormal value are presented; more variables were included in the study. ULN means upper limit of normal.

This kind of endpoint is used to describe laboratory safety during treatment. It focuses on whether participants crossed a threshold for marked abnormality, rather than on the average laboratory value or the size of a change from baseline. In general, counts can make the occurrence of such findings easy to interpret, while the underlying definitions and assessment rules determine what qualifies as markedly abnormal. Those rules are not reported in the registry record.

The record identifies the primary population as the CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set and describes the safety statistics as descriptive. It does not report the primary endpoint count, the laboratory variables’ individual counts, or the denominators for those results. The numerical primary outcome result is therefore not reported in the registry record, and the frequency of markedly abnormal laboratory findings cannot be assessed from the posted primary outcome information.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Not a randomized comparison (allocation: NA); arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry describes a completed, open-label, single-group study intended to characterize the long-term safety and tolerability of degarelix in Korean patients with prostate cancer. Its primary endpoint concerns markedly abnormal safety laboratory values during treatment. However, the registry record does not report the numerical primary outcome result. The endpoint’s clinical frequency and the precision of its estimate therefore cannot be judged from the primary outcome information.

The record specifies the assessment period as baseline (day 0) to end of treatment, up to day 364. It also says only laboratory variables with at least one participant with an abnormal value are presented, although more variables were included. Without the actual counts, denominators, and variable-level results, a reader cannot determine which laboratory findings occurred or how often they occurred. The record’s description of the endpoint should not be mistaken for a reported outcome value.

The registry reports serious adverse event figures for the Degarelix group: 156 at risk and 25 affected. For other adverse events, it reports 156 at risk and 88 affected. The relationship between those at-risk figures and the recorded enrollment of 127 is not explained in the registry record. They should be read as separately reported registry figures, without inferring why their denominators differ from enrollment. The record does not report a death count.

The listed serious adverse event terms include Spinal compression fracture (1.3%), Angina pectoris (0.6%), Angina unstable (0.6%), Atrial fibrillation (0.6%), Coronary artery occlusion (0.6%), and Myocardial ischaemia (0.6%). These entries describe the terms and percentages recorded; they do not by themselves establish whether an event was caused by treatment. The record does not give further details needed to interpret event attribution or the context of each event.

There is no concurrent control group and no reported inferential analysis. As a result, the posted figures are descriptive, not estimates of a comparative treatment effect. A confidence interval would ordinarily communicate the statistical precision around an estimate, but confidence intervals for the primary endpoint are not reported in the registry record. The listed PSA outcome is secondary, and its numerical results are also not reported in the registry record.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The outcome type matters for interpretation. The primary endpoint counts participants with markedly abnormal laboratory values. In general, this is a participant-level event outcome: a participant is counted if the specified condition is met. It differs from a continuous outcome, such as a measured laboratory value, where analysis might focus on a mean or a change in the mean. The registry states that the primary outcome is reported as a number of participants and describes the analysis as descriptive.

What does a descriptive count tell the reader?

A count tells how many participants meet the endpoint definition in the analysis population. To interpret that count as a frequency, the denominator and the rules for determining eligibility for analysis also matter. The primary outcome description names the CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set, but the numerical endpoint count and its denominator are not reported in the registry record. It is therefore not possible to derive or assess a frequency from the primary outcome information. No percentage should be inferred from the record’s description alone.

In general, a confidence interval describes a range of values compatible with the data under a statistical model, and indicates the precision of an estimate. It does not make a non-randomized design comparative, and it does not remove uncertainty about how an endpoint was defined or who was included. Confidence intervals for the primary endpoint are not reported in the registry record. The record also lists zero analyses, so it does not document a model-based estimate or a hypothesis test for this outcome.

Why does the single-group design matter?

The allocation is recorded as NA and the model as single group. With no concurrent control, the trial can describe findings among participants receiving degarelix but cannot estimate a treatment contrast against another group. In general, a before-and-after description can show what was recorded over the observation period, but change over time may also reflect factors other than treatment. A randomized comparison is designed to address some of those interpretive problems; this trial did not use one.

The study was open-label, with masking recorded as none. In general, lack of masking can affect how outcomes are assessed or reported, particularly when judgments are required. Laboratory measurements may be more objective than subjective outcomes, but the registry does not report enough detail about the laboratory assessment process to characterize its susceptibility to assessment effects. This is a general consideration, not evidence that assessment was biased in this trial.

How should planning illustrations be understood?

The planning assumptions describe an illustration based on an observed effect, using a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation. These assumptions describe a hypothetical planning framework, not the trial’s own single-group design. They do not establish that the trial was designed with those assumptions, and they are not observed power. Sample-size planning illustrations are prospective calculations about a hypothetical future study; they are not additional participants or outcomes observed in this trial. No numerical planning results are reported in the registry record used for this analysis.

In general, a normal approximation simplifies the probability model used for a planning calculation. Its suitability depends on the outcome and the expected data pattern. For count outcomes, over-dispersion means that observed variability exceeds what a simple model would expect; if present, it can affect uncertainty estimates and planning. The registry record does not report an over-dispersion assessment or a statistical model for the primary endpoint. No assumption about either should be treated as part of the trial’s documented analysis.

The listed serious and other adverse event figures are also descriptive. Counts and percentages communicate the recorded event experience, but without a concurrent comparator they do not quantify a causal treatment effect. The registry does not report confidence intervals for these figures, nor does it describe an inferential method for comparing event rates. The serious-event term percentages should therefore be interpreted as registry summaries, not as a comparative risk estimate.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry lists four outcome measures and identifies serum levels of prostate specific antigen (PSA) over time as a secondary outcome. It also identifies the laboratory safety measure as primary. The record lists zero analyses, and no multiplicity procedure is reported in the registry record. It is therefore not possible to tell whether several outcomes, time points, or laboratory variables were formally tested or whether any adjustment was planned. Because the primary outcome is described as descriptive, there is no documented family of hypothesis tests to interpret.

Multiplicity is a general concern when many outcomes or repeated tests are considered: the chance of finding an apparently notable result can increase when many tests are performed. Adjustments or a prespecified testing hierarchy can address that issue in some settings, but neither is described in the registry record. This does not establish that multiplicity affected the reported findings; it means the record does not document how it was handled.

Missing-data methods are not reported in the registry record. The record does not state how missing laboratory measurements, missed visits, withdrawal, or incomplete follow-up were handled. It also does not provide a missingness summary for the primary outcome. Without those details, the effect of incomplete observations on the descriptive safety results cannot be assessed.

The primary population is described as the CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set, but inclusion rules and the relationship between that set and enrollment are not reported in the registry record. The registry reports enrollment of 127, while the adverse-event figures list 156 at risk; an explanation of that difference is not reported. No assumptions about the population definitions, data linkage, or counting method should be made from these figures alone.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Degarelix2515616.0%

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 5% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Degarelix88 of 156

Most frequent serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemDegarelix
Spinal compression fractureInjury, poisoning and procedural complications2 of 156
Angina pectorisCardiac disorders1 of 156
Angina unstableCardiac disorders1 of 156
Atrial fibrillationCardiac disorders1 of 156
Coronary artery occlusionCardiac disorders1 of 156
Myocardial ischaemiaCardiac disorders1 of 156
Diabetic retinopathyEye disorders1 of 156
HypermetropiaEye disorders1 of 156
ConstipationGastrointestinal disorders1 of 156
Inguinal herniaGastrointestinal disorders1 of 156

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemDegarelix
Injection site painGeneral disorders39 of 156
HyperhidrosisSkin and subcutaneous tissue disorders19 of 156
Upper respiratory tract infectionInfections and infestations14 of 156
ConstipationGastrointestinal disorders13 of 156
Injection site erythemaGeneral disorders13 of 156
DiarrhoeaGastrointestinal disorders11 of 156
DizzinessNervous system disorders11 of 156
NocturiaRenal and urinary disorders11 of 156
HeadacheNervous system disorders10 of 156
PollakiuriaRenal and urinary disorders9 of 156

Serious events with the highest arm-level rate: spinal compression fracture (1.3%), angina pectoris (0.6%), angina unstable (0.6%), atrial fibrillation (0.6%), coronary artery occlusion (0.6%).

Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry reports 156 at risk and 25 affected for serious adverse events in the Degarelix group. For other adverse events, it reports 156 at risk and 88 affected. These are separate reported categories; the figures should not be added together or treated as a count of unique participants. The record does not explain how the at-risk figures relate to the enrollment of 127, so their relationship should not be inferred.

The serious adverse event terms listed are Spinal compression fracture (1.3%), Angina pectoris (0.6%), Angina unstable (0.6%), Atrial fibrillation (0.6%), Coronary artery occlusion (0.6%), and Myocardial ischaemia (0.6%). These are the terms and percentages the registry reports. The record does not provide event-level narratives, attribution details, or information needed to determine whether terms refer to distinct participants or events.

The deaths field is null, so a death count is not reported in the registry record; null should not be interpreted as zero. As a single-group study, the trial does not provide a concurrent control rate for contextual comparison. These summaries describe recorded events and cannot establish that degarelix caused them.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

This trial’s design and outcome focus are relevant to interpreting its purpose: it was an open-label, single-group extension trial intended to describe long-term safety and tolerability of degarelix in Korean patients with prostate cancer. The primary endpoint was the number of participants with markedly abnormal safety laboratory values over treatment, from baseline (day 0) to end of treatment, up to day 364.

The primary numerical result is not reported in the registry record. This means the posted primary outcome information does not establish how many participants had markedly abnormal laboratory values, which variables accounted for findings, or how precise any estimate was. The endpoint description is not a substitute for those data. The registry’s adverse-event figures and serious-event terms offer separate descriptive information, but do not fill in the missing primary endpoint result.

The design also limits what can be concluded. Without a concurrent comparator, the trial cannot show whether the observed event experience differs from what would have occurred under another treatment or without treatment. The open-label design is another feature to consider when evaluating outcome assessment. Neither feature proves that the reported summaries are inaccurate; they define the scope of conclusions the design can support.

More broadly, descriptive safety data can characterize what was recorded among participants in a study, while causal claims require a design and analysis that can support comparison and address relevant sources of bias. The record does not report a comparative analysis, confidence intervals for the primary endpoint, or details of missing-data handling. Interpretation should therefore remain with the documented design and outcomes rather than extending to unreported effects.

The record lists serum PSA levels over time as a secondary outcome, but its numerical results are not reported in the registry record. No conclusion about that outcome can be drawn from its listing alone. The study’s stated safety focus and the available registry summaries do not establish efficacy or a treatment benefit.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial illustrates an important distinction between a safety question and a comparative treatment question. A single-group extension can describe laboratory abnormalities and adverse events recorded during treatment. It cannot, by itself, separate treatment-associated changes from the background course of illness, other care, or other influences. The registry’s allocation and model fields make this distinction central to interpreting the results.

It also shows why endpoint definitions, denominators, and analysis populations matter. The primary measure is a count of participants with markedly abnormal laboratory values, but its numerical result and denominator are not reported in the registry record. The safety population is named as the CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set, while the adverse-event summaries use at-risk figures whose relationship to enrollment is not explained. Those omissions limit assessment of both frequency and precision.

Safety summaries are not interchangeable. The primary endpoint concerns marked laboratory abnormalities, while the separately reported adverse-event figures concern serious and other adverse events. Each speaks to a different type of observation, and the record does not provide enough detail to merge them or infer causes. The listed serious-event terms and percentages are descriptive entries, not comparative estimates.

Finally, planning calculations should not be confused with study findings. The stated planning assumptions describe an illustration for a two-arm design, while this trial is single-group. Such an illustration is not observed power and does not change the design or supply missing outcome results. This is a useful reminder that a calculation’s assumptions must match the question and design before its interpretation can be meaningful.

14. Limitations

The primary limitation for interpretation is that the numerical result for the primary laboratory endpoint is not reported in the registry record. The record gives the endpoint definition and timeframe but not its count, denominator, or variable-level findings. Consequently, the frequency and precision of markedly abnormal laboratory values cannot be assessed from the primary outcome information.

The trial had a single group, with no randomized or concurrent comparator. Its findings are therefore descriptive and do not estimate a comparative treatment effect. The open-label design may also be relevant to how outcomes were assessed, although details of laboratory measurement, adjudication, and monitoring are not reported in the registry record.

The registry identifies the CS42 and CS42A safety analysis set but does not explain its membership or relationship to enrollment. It reports enrollment of 127, while the adverse event figures list 156 at risk; why these figures differ is not reported in the registry record. The death count is also not reported. Missing-data handling, participant follow-up completeness, and event attribution are not described.

The record lists four outcome measures but reports zero analyses. It does not describe a statistical analysis plan, multiplicity handling, confidence intervals, or methods for missing observations. Although the primary endpoint description says that only laboratory variables with at least one participant with an abnormal value are presented and that more variables were included, the available information does not permit an assessment of all laboratory findings. These limitations constrain interpretation of the registry record, rather than establishing that unreported analyses or findings were absent from the broader study materials.

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18. Record Summary

The registry record describes NCT01215513 as a completed phase 3, open-label, multi-centre, single-group extension trial of degarelix in Korean patients with prostate cancer requiring androgen ablation therapy. Enrollment is listed as 127. The study start is recorded as 2010-09 and primary completion as 2012-04.

The primary outcome is the number of participants with markedly abnormal safety laboratory values from baseline (day 0) to end of treatment, up to day 364. Its numerical result is not reported in the registry record. The record lists PSA levels over time as a secondary outcome and records four outcome measures overall, with zero analyses.

Adverse-event summaries report 156 at risk and 25 affected for serious events, and 156 at risk and 88 affected for other events. The relationship of those figures to enrollment is not explained. The record is descriptive and has no concurrent comparator, so it does not establish a comparative treatment effect.

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