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Acute Pain Phase 3 Continuous Endpoint NCT01902134

Oral Treatment for Orthopaedic Post-operative Pain With Dexketoprofen Trometamol and Tramadol Hydrochloride: Complete Statistical Analysis

This analysis examines a phase 3 randomized study of dexketoprofen, tramadol, their fixed combination, and placebo for acute pain after elective unilateral total hip arthroplasty. It focuses on pain-relief outcomes, uncertainty in the posted comparisons, planning illustrations, and the reported adverse-event counts.

Trial start: 2013-04  ·  Enrollment: 641  ·  Sponsor: Menarini Group
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Oral Treatment for Orthopaedic Post-operative Pain With Dexketoprofen Trometamol and Tramadol Hydrochloride (NCT01902134), a randomized phase 3 study. The primary outcome is SPID8 (Sum of Pain Intensity Differences Over 8 Hours).

641
Enrollment
Phase 3
4
Arms
In the primary outcome
95.80
Mean difference
DKP/TRAM
61.29–130.31
95% CI
Two-sided
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT01902134
PhasePhase 3
ConditionAcute Pain
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingTriple
Enrollment641
Arms in the primary outcome4
Lead sponsorMenarini Group
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The study enrolled patients with moderate to severe acute pain after elective primary unilateral total hip arthroplasty. The registry summary says eligible male and female patients had to experience moderate to severe pain on the day after surgery. The registry record does not report further eligibility details or the characteristics of the analyzed participants.

Intervention

The study evaluated oral dexketoprofen trometamol and tramadol hydrochloride as a fixed combination, as well as the individual agents. The registry describes single-dose and multiple-dose treatment groups. For the primary endpoint, the reported analysis combined randomized arms into groups for the combination, dexketoprofen, tramadol, and placebo.

Comparator

For the primary endpoint, each active-treatment group is compared with placebo. The single-dose phase included placebo; the registry summary describes comparison with single agents and placebo for that phase. In the multiple-dose phase, the posted secondary comparisons use the combination as the reference group for dexketoprofen and tramadol.

Primary question

The primary question is whether the groups differed in SPID8, the sum of pain-intensity differences over 8 hours after the first dose. Pain intensity was measured on a 0-100 visual analogue scale, with higher SPID indicating greater pain relief. The posted group means and unadjusted comparisons describe the observed differences and their precision; the registry record does not report the sponsor’s detailed analysis plan.

3. Trial Design

This was a phase 3, randomized, triple-masked, parallel-group study, listed as completed. Its title describes a placebo- and active-controlled evaluation of the analgesic efficacy and safety of oral dexketoprofen and tramadol as a fixed combination after elective unilateral total hip arthroplasty. The registry reports enrollment of 641. The study started in 2013-04, and primary completion was in 2014-02.

The interventions included placebo, single-dose tramadol, single-dose dexketoprofen, and a single dose of the fixed combination, as well as multiple-dose versions of the active treatments. Arm descriptions also specify sequences in which a single dose was followed by multiple doses. Some sequences began with placebo and then continued with an active treatment. The primary-endpoint description says the randomization arms, including placebo, were combined into four analysis groups: DKP/TRAM, dexketoprofen, tramadol, and placebo.

The primary outcome was SPID8 over 8 hours after the first dose. The registry also posts SPID48 and two responder outcomes for later or different assessment periods. These measures do not all address the same time window or outcome scale, so their comparisons should be read in their own context.

The registry record does not report details of the randomization procedure, allocation concealment, the exact masking arrangements, the original sample-size justification, or the protocol’s planned statistical analysis. Although triple masking is recorded, the registry does not specify which roles were masked. It also does not report a participant flow account or the analysis population definitions. Those omissions limit how fully the conduct and analysis can be evaluated from the registry entry alone.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Overall Study

StageDKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAMDKP Followed by DKPTRAM Followed by TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKP/TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKPPlacebo Followed by TRAM
STARTED159161160545354
Single-dose Phase159161160545354
Multiple-dose Phase159160160545352
COMPLETED151150145524645
NOT COMPLETED81115279

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonDKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAMDKP Followed by DKPTRAM Followed by TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKP/TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKPPlacebo Followed by TRAM
Adverse Event312113
Lack of Efficacy002001
Physician Decision010000
Protocol Violation000001
Withdrawal by Subject489154
no compliance100000
Other012010

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

Population: Intention-to-treat (ITT) population (which includes all patients randomized).

Only the first 6 of 7 groups are shown.

CharacteristicUnitDKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAMDKP Followed by DKPTRAM Followed by TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKP/TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKPPlacebo Followed by TRAM
Participants analysed159161160545354
Age, Continuousyears61.3 (SD 10.43)63.3 (SD 9.01)61.3 (SD 9.68)63.9 (SD 9.0)61.0 (SD 11.10)59.8 (SD 11.30)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants868680373324
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants737580172030
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Asianparticipants023002
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Whiteparticipants159159157545352
Region of Enrollment: Serbiaparticipants151814555
Region of Enrollment: Taiwanparticipants023002
Region of Enrollment: Czech Republicparticipants9108243
Region of Enrollment: Hungaryparticipants495754171611
Region of Enrollment: Spainparticipants101000
Region of Enrollment: Polandparticipants1088223
Region of Enrollment: Ukraineparticipants151313663
Region of Enrollment: Lithuaniaparticipants2219216511
Region of Enrollment: Germanyparticipants112000
Region of Enrollment: Latviaparticipants373336161516
Weightkg83.3 (SD 15.37)81.4 (SD 15.63)83.5 (SD 17.25)82.4 (SD 15.91)81.7 (SD 13.77)82.1 (SD 15.27)
Heightcm168.8 (SD 8.99)167.9 (SD 9.14)169.1 (SD 9.20)166.1 (SD 8.47)168.0 (SD 9.49)169.9 (SD 7.94)

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as SPID8 (Sum of Pain Intensity Differences Over 8 Hours), measured over over 8 hours after the first dose.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeMean
Measure of spreadStandard Deviation
Unitunits on a scale
Endpoint classificationContinuous Endpoint

The primary endpoint, SPID8, is a continuous summary of changes in pain intensity during the 8 hours after the first dose. Pain intensity was assessed using a 0-100 visual analogue scale, where 0 means no pain and 100 means the worst pain imaginable. Measurements were taken at 0.5h, 1h, 1.5h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, and 8h after dosing. The differences from the initial pain-intensity assessment were weighted and summed across the period.

A higher SPID indicates greater pain relief. The endpoint therefore condenses repeated assessments over the first post-dose period into one continuous measure for each analysis group. This can make a treatment comparison more informative about the pattern of relief across the period than a single assessment at one time point. It also means the result depends on the specified measurement schedule and weighting method. The registry describes the calculation in general terms but does not report the precise weighting formula or how missing assessments were handled.

For the posted primary comparison, the combination group’s mean SPID8 was 246.9, compared with 151.1 for placebo. The unadjusted mean difference was 95.8, with a 95% confidence interval from 61.29 to 130.3. These summaries describe the average difference in the endpoint between the groups; they do not show how every participant’s pain changed, nor do they establish the clinical importance of a particular difference. The registry does not report a threshold defining a clinically important SPID8 difference.

7. Results Posted in the Registry

Mean difference: DKP/TRAM

95.80

95% CI: 61.29 to 130.31

Recalculated from the posted summary statistics

Primary outcome by arm, with 95% confidence intervals
Primary outcome by arm with 95% confidence intervals112147182216251286DKP/TRAM (n=159)DEXKETOPROFEN (n=161)TRAMADOL (n=160)PLACEBO (n=161)units on a scale (95% CI)
Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of mean difference vs control (95% CI)DKP/TRAMDEXKETOPROFENTRAMADOL-10205080111141mean difference vs control (95% CI)

8. Secondary Efficacy Endpoints

The registry also posts results for secondary outcomes. For each outcome below, the endpoint type, the test applied to the posted summary statistics, the result and its interpretation are given in turn. Secondary endpoints are usually not adjusted for multiple testing, so they support rather than confirm the primary finding.

Secondary outcomeTypeEffect measureEstimate (95% CI)Planning size, 80% power
SPID48 (Sum of Pain Intensity Differences Over First 48 Hours of the Multiple-dose Phase)Continuous EndpointMean difference-266.20 (-462.77 to -69.63)238 per arm
Percentage of Responders According to PI-VAS (Pain Intensity - Visual Analogue Scale)Binary EndpointRisk difference-13.5 pts (-20.4 to -6.6)119 per arm
Percentage of Responders According to 50% Max TOTPAR (Total Pain Relief)Binary EndpointRisk difference+20.0 pts (9.2 to 30.7)98 per arm

SPID48 (Sum of Pain Intensity Differences Over First 48 Hours of the Multiple-dose Phase)

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of mean difference vs control (95% CI)DEXKETOPROFENTRAMADOL-500-391-282-173-6346mean difference vs control (95% CI)

Percentage of Responders According to PI-VAS (Pain Intensity - Visual Analogue Scale)

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)DEXKETOPROFENTRAMADOL-22-17-13-7.85-3.111.64risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)

Percentage of Responders According to 50% Max TOTPAR (Total Pain Relief)

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)DKP/TRAMDEXKETOPROFEN-2.464.6712192633risk difference (percentage points) vs control (95% CI)

Across the posted secondary outcomes, the general pattern is that the fixed combination has higher observed values than the single agents on the multiple-dose responder endpoint and SPID48 summaries, while the corresponding uncertainty differs by endpoint and comparison. These outcomes provide additional context for the primary SPID8 result, but they address different periods or definitions of pain relief. They should not be treated as interchangeable replications of the primary endpoint.

The secondary results have limitations as evidence about the overall study question. The registry lists three secondary outcomes, but the analysis details field reports no analyses. The displayed pairwise comparisons are unadjusted, and the record does not state how many hypotheses were prespecified, whether a testing hierarchy was used, or whether any multiplicity adjustment was applied outside the posted information. When multiple outcomes and contrasts are examined, the chance of at least one apparently unusual result can increase. This is a general statistical concern, not proof that any particular result is spurious.

Consequently, the secondary estimates are best read as descriptive and exploratory evidence unless additional analysis details are available. Their confidence intervals communicate uncertainty for individual contrasts, but unadjusted intervals do not necessarily provide simultaneous coverage across all outcomes and comparisons. The pattern can be considered alongside the primary outcome, while keeping the primary endpoint’s 8-hour period distinct from the multiple-dose phase outcomes.

The secondary findings cannot establish that the combination is superior to either single agent without an appropriate direct comparison and an analysis plan that supports that claim. The registry posts comparisons of dexketoprofen and tramadol against the combination for SPID48 and the PI-VAS responder outcome, but these are unadjusted. Interpretation should therefore focus on the stated contrasts, their scales, and their uncertainty rather than extrapolating to an overall ranking of treatments.

Secondary outcomes registered for this trial, for reference (only those above were recalculated):

9. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The primary endpoint summaries show higher mean SPID8 in each active-treatment group than in placebo. The combination group had a mean of 246.9, dexketoprofen had a mean of 208.8, tramadol had a mean of 204.6, and placebo had a mean of 151.1. Because higher SPID indicates greater pain relief, the direction of these observed mean differences favors the active groups on this measure. The posted comparisons with placebo are unadjusted: the mean difference was 95.8 for the combination, 57.7 for dexketoprofen, and 53.5 for tramadol.

The confidence intervals for these primary mean differences are entirely above zero: 61.29 to 130.3 for the combination, 23.49 to 91.91 for dexketoprofen, and 20.19 to 86.81 for tramadol. The unadjusted p-values are <0.001, <0.001, and 0.002, respectively. In statistical terms, these results are inconsistent with a zero mean difference under the assumptions behind these unadjusted comparisons. They do not, on their own, address multiplicity, missing data, or any adjusted analysis that may have been conducted outside what is posted in the registry.

The observed mean difference is largest for the combination versus placebo. That is a description of the posted group summaries, not a direct test that the combination differs from either single agent. The registry’s primary comparisons are each against placebo, and no direct combination-versus-single-agent comparison is reported in the primary results. It would be inappropriate to infer a statistically established ranking among active treatments from these placebo comparisons alone.

The primary endpoint is a continuous summary with considerable variation within groups: the reported standard deviations range from 145.8 to 158.5. Confidence intervals convey uncertainty about the mean differences, while the standard deviations describe participant-level spread. The two quantities answer different questions. The estimates and their intervals indicate the direction and precision of average group contrasts, but they do not describe every participant’s response.

These results concern one endpoint over 8 hours after the first dose in patients with postoperative acute pain following elective hip arthroplasty. The registry record does not report a clinically important difference threshold, the sponsor’s detailed analysis method, or whether the posted results were adjusted for the several outcomes and comparisons. Accordingly, the numerical evidence is best read as a set of endpoint-specific, unadjusted group summaries with uncertainty, rather than as a complete account of all prespecified analyses or a broad conclusion about treatment effects in other settings.

10. Statistical Methods Explained

The primary endpoint is continuous: SPID8 is reported as a mean with a standard deviation for each group. A mean describes the group’s average endpoint value, while a standard deviation describes how much individual values vary around that average. A standard deviation is not the uncertainty interval for the mean. The mean difference compares the active group’s mean with the placebo group’s mean, with positive values indicating higher SPID8 in the active group. Since higher SPID indicates greater pain relief, a positive difference points toward greater average relief on this endpoint.

A confidence interval gives a range of values compatible with the observed data under the calculation’s assumptions. The 95% intervals reported for the primary mean differences are 61.29 to 130.3 for the combination, 23.49 to 91.91 for dexketoprofen, and 20.19 to 86.81 for tramadol. For each, the full interval is on the positive side of zero. This is one way to understand the direction and statistical precision of the posted comparisons. An interval is not a guarantee that the true value lies within its endpoints, and its width does not describe participant-to-participant variability; the standard deviations address that latter feature.

The p-values are reported as unadjusted. In general, a p-value measures how compatible the observed data are with a specified null hypothesis, given a statistical model. It does not measure the probability that the null hypothesis is true, the size of an effect, or whether an effect is clinically important. Here, the primary comparisons have unadjusted p-values of <0.001, <0.001, and 0.002. The registry record does not report a multiplicity procedure or the sponsor’s full statistical model, so these p-values should not be treated as evidence that accounts for every endpoint or comparison in the study.

The posted comparisons use placebo as the reference for the primary endpoint. The primary description states that the analysis combined randomization arms, including placebo, into four groups. The record does not report whether covariates were included, how deviations from the analysis population were handled, or whether the displayed comparisons match a prespecified primary analysis. The registry record does not report those details, so the displayed contrasts are most safely interpreted as the endpoint-specific group summaries and unadjusted comparisons available in the registry.

General statistical explanation: repeated measures can produce a useful summary endpoint, but the calculation depends on the timing and weighting of measurements. A summary such as SPID8 captures information from across the assessment period, but it can obscure whether differences were concentrated at particular times. The registry gives the assessment times and says the differences were weighted and summed. It does not report the detailed weighting formula or the approach to missing values within the repeated assessments.

General statistical explanation: unequal or unusually large variability can affect the precision of a comparison. When a continuous endpoint has substantial spread relative to the difference between group means, the estimated group contrast is less precise than it would be with less spread, all else equal. The posted standard deviations indicate appreciable variation in each group, while the confidence intervals show uncertainty in the estimated mean differences. The registry record does not report diagnostics for distributional assumptions, whether a transformation was considered, or whether any robust methods were used.

There are also binary secondary outcomes, reported as percentages of participants meeting responder definitions. For these, a risk difference expresses the difference between two proportions on the probability scale. A positive difference means a higher observed responder percentage in the group named in the comparison than in its reference group; a negative difference means a lower percentage. Confidence intervals communicate the uncertainty around that difference. The posted secondary comparisons are unadjusted, and no formal analyses are listed in the registry for those outcomes. General statistical explanation: binary-outcome summaries and continuous-outcome summaries use different scales, so the magnitudes should not be compared directly across endpoints.

The registry also reports planning illustrations based on observed effects. They use a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between the two arms, a normal approximation, and effects set at stated fractions of the observed effect. For outcomes other than time-to-event outcomes, the figures represent participants per arm. These are planning scenarios rather than a report of the trial’s original design calculation. The registry record does not report the original sample-size assumptions or justification.

11. Confidence Intervals and Precision

Precision concerns how narrowly the data locate an estimated group difference. The primary mean-difference intervals provide one direct indication. For DKP/TRAM versus placebo, the estimate is 95.8 and the 95% confidence interval is 61.29 to 130.3. For dexketoprofen versus placebo, the estimate is 57.7 and the interval is 23.49 to 91.91. For tramadol versus placebo, the estimate is 53.5 and the interval is 20.19 to 86.81. Each interval is entirely above zero, but each still covers a range of possible mean differences rather than a single known value.

The interval for the combination is wider in absolute units than the intervals for the single agents, and the estimated difference is also larger. Width alone is not a measure of whether an effect is important. It reflects uncertainty in the estimated contrast, and it should be considered alongside the endpoint scale, group variability, and the range of values compatible with the data. The registry does not report a clinically important difference threshold for SPID8, so the confidence intervals cannot be classified against such a threshold from the record.

The group standard deviations, from 145.8 to 158.5, describe spread among observed SPID8 values. They are not confidence intervals. A confidence interval for a mean difference addresses uncertainty about the average contrast, whereas a standard deviation describes variation among individual endpoint values. Both are useful, but they answer distinct questions.

The secondary confidence intervals also show varying precision. For SPID48, the dexketoprofen-versus-combination mean difference is -266.2, with a 95% interval from -462.8 to -69.63; the tramadol-versus-combination difference is -178.1, with an interval from -364.4 to 8.226. For the responder outcomes, the posted risk-difference intervals likewise give a range of compatible contrasts. Because these are secondary, unadjusted comparisons, their intervals should be read as endpoint-specific rather than as a complete family-wise account of uncertainty.

Confidence intervals do not account automatically for every source of uncertainty in trial conduct or analysis. The registry record does not report detailed missing-data methods, the prespecified analysis populations, or multiplicity handling. Those omissions matter when judging how precisely the posted results answer the broader set of study questions.

12. Planning a Similar Trial: Sample Size

This is a planning illustration, not a re-evaluation of the original trial. It asks: if a new study wanted to detect a difference like the one observed, or a smaller one, how large would it need to be? It is deliberately not “observed power” of the finished trial, which is not a meaningful quantity.

Effect to detectParticipants per arm, 80% powerParticipants per arm, 90% power
100% of the observed effect4357
75% of the observed effect76101
50% of the observed effect170228
Sample size needed versus the size of the effect to detect
Sample size needed versus size of effect to detect5010020050040%60%80%100%80% power90% powersize of effect to detect, as % of the effect observed (log vertical scale: participants per arm)
Method and assumptions. Two-sided α = 0.05, 1:1 allocation, two-sample comparison of means with the pooled standard deviation. Calculated for the comparison: DKP/TRAM.

The sample-size figures are planning illustrations, not a record of the study’s original design calculation. For these outcomes, the displayed quantities are participants per arm, not total participants across the study. The planning assumptions are a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between the two arms, a normal approximation, and an effect to detect set at the stated fraction of the observed effect. The registry record does not report the trial’s original sample-size assumptions or justification.

The 80% power column gives the illustrated participants per arm for a design intended to have an 80% chance of detecting the specified effect under the listed assumptions, if that effect and the assumptions are correct. The 90% column gives the corresponding illustration for a design intended to have a 90% chance. These are planning concepts: power is calculated before observing the results and depends on the assumptions used. The figures are not observed power.

Each row changes the assumed effect size relative to the effect observed in the trial. Planning for 75% of the observed effect or 50% of the observed effect represents a smaller target difference than planning for 100% of the observed effect. Smaller effects generally require more participants to detect, if other assumptions remain the same. The values therefore increase as the assumed fraction of the observed effect decreases. A curve can be read as another way to trace how the planning requirement changes as the target effect changes; it does not add evidence about the treatment effect itself.

The illustrations are useful for understanding how assumptions about effect size and desired power influence study size. They should not be interpreted as validating the trial’s original enrollment, because the registry does not state the original design assumptions. They also do not establish that a future study will reproduce the observed effect.

13. How the Sample Size Is Derived

Power is the probability that a study of a given size rejects the null hypothesis when a specific true effect exists. It depends on four things: the effect to detect, the variability of the outcome, the significance level (here a two-sided α of 0.05, so z1−α/2 = 1.960) and the desired power (z1−β = 0.842 for 80% and 1.282 for 90%).

Formula

n = 2 (z1−α/2 + z1−β)2 σ2 / Δ2

n is the number of participants in each arm, Δ is the difference in means to detect and σ is the common standard deviation.

Worked calculation for this trial

  1. Observed difference Δ = 95.800; pooled standard deviation σ = 157.515.
  2. n = 2 × (1.96 + 0.842)2 × 157.5152 / 95.8002 = 42.4, rounded up to 43 participants per arm for 80% power.

The smaller-effect rows in the table above repeat the same calculation with the effect multiplied by 0.75 and 0.5 (for ratios, applied to the logarithm of the ratio).

R code

alpha <- 0.05
z_a   <- qnorm(1 - alpha / 2)          # two-sided
delta <- 95.8                      # observed difference in means
sigma <- 157.514526793383                     # pooled standard deviation
n_per_arm <- function(power, frac = 1) {
  ceiling(round(2 * (z_a + qnorm(power))^2 * sigma^2 / (delta * frac)^2, 6))
}
for (f in c(1, 0.75, 0.5))
  cat(sprintf("%3.0f%% of observed effect: n per arm = %s (80%% power), %s (90%% power)\n", 100 * f,
              format(n_per_arm(0.80, f), big.mark = ","), format(n_per_arm(0.90, f), big.mark = ",")))

# Check against R's built-in function (t-based, so very slightly larger)
cat("power.t.test:", round(power.t.test(delta = delta, sd = sigma, power = 0.80)$n, 1), "\n")

# Simulation: exact two-sample t-test using simulated means and variances
set.seed(1902134)
n    <- n_per_arm(0.80)
reps <- 20000
m_diff <- rnorm(reps, delta, sigma * sqrt(2 / n))             # difference in sample means
s2     <- sigma^2 * rchisq(reps, 2 * (n - 1)) / (2 * (n - 1))   # pooled sample variance
tstat  <- m_diff / sqrt(s2 * 2 / n)
cat(sprintf("Simulated power at n = %s per arm: %.3f (%d replicates)\n", format(n, big.mark = ","), mean(abs(tstat) > qt(0.975, 2 * (n - 1))), reps))

Output from running the code

100% of observed effect: n per arm = 43 (80% power), 57 (90% power)
 75% of observed effect: n per arm = 76 (80% power), 101 (90% power)
 50% of observed effect: n per arm = 170 (80% power), 228 (90% power)
power.t.test: 43.4 
Simulated power at n = 43 per arm: 0.797 (20000 replicates)

The simulation draws many sets of group means and variances at the planned sample size and counts how often the two-sample t-test rejects the null. It should land close to the target power; at very small required sample sizes it can fall below it, because the normal approximation is rough there.

14. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry reports one primary endpoint and three secondary outcomes. Several groups and contrasts appear in the posted results. When a study evaluates multiple endpoints or makes multiple comparisons, interpreting each unadjusted p-value as if it were the only test can overstate the strength of the combined evidence. A multiplicity strategy may control the overall chance of false-positive findings, prioritize a testing sequence, or define which comparisons are confirmatory. The registry record does not report whether such a strategy was prespecified or used.

The primary comparisons are posted with unadjusted p-values. The secondary comparisons are also unadjusted, and the reported analyses field is empty for those outcomes. The record does not identify a hierarchical testing plan, family of hypotheses, or adjusted p-values. This absence does not establish that the study had no such plan; it means the approach is not reported in the registry record. Therefore, the nominal p-values and confidence intervals should be understood as results for individual comparisons, not as evidence adjusted for the full set of possible analyses.

Missing-data handling is also not reported. The registry gives group sizes for each posted endpoint, but it does not explain whether all randomized participants contributed to every analysis, why any observations were unavailable, or how missing pain assessments were handled when calculating SPID. For repeated measurements, missing assessments may affect a summed endpoint, and different assumptions about unavailable values can produce different estimates. The record does not report imputation procedures, sensitivity analyses, or the extent of missing outcome data.

Analysis populations are not defined in the registry entry. It does not specify whether the primary analysis followed an intention-to-treat principle, used a modified intention-to-treat population, or followed another definition. The record also does not report a participant flow account or details of exclusions from each analysis. These omissions prevent a full assessment of whether the displayed group summaries preserve the benefits of randomization and how robust they are to missingness or exclusions. They should be treated as limits of the registry information, not as evidence that any specific analysis choice was made.

15. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
DKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAM21591.3%
DKP Followed by DKP31611.9%
TRAM Followed by TRAM11600.6%
Placebo Followed by DKP/TRAM1541.9%
Placebo Followed by DKP0530.0%
Placebo Followed by TRAM0540.0%
Participants with at least one serious adverse event
Serious adverse events by armDKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAM1.3%DKP Followed by DKP1.9%TRAM Followed by TRAM0.6%Placebo Followed by DKP/TRAM1.9%Placebo Followed by DKP0.0%Placebo Followed by TRAM0.0%% of participants with at least one serious adverse event

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 5% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
DKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAM15 of 159
DKP Followed by DKP18 of 161
TRAM Followed by TRAM24 of 160
Placebo Followed by DKP/TRAM9 of 54
Placebo Followed by DKP2 of 53
Placebo Followed by TRAM5 of 54

Most frequent serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemDKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAMDKP Followed by DKPTRAM Followed by TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKP/TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKPPlacebo Followed by TRAM
Bone operationSurgical and medical procedures0 of 1591 of 1611 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Heart valve replacementSurgical and medical procedures1 of 1590 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Vascular graftSurgical and medical procedures1 of 1590 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Device dislocationGeneral disorders0 of 1590 of 1611 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Face oedemaGeneral disorders1 of 1590 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Laryngeal oedemaRespiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders1 of 1590 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Pulmonary embolismRespiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders0 of 1591 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Cardiac disorderCardiac disorders1 of 1590 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Periorbital oedemaEye disorders1 of 1590 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54
Duodenal ulcerGastrointestinal disorders0 of 1591 of 1610 of 1600 of 540 of 530 of 54

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemDKP/TRAM Followed by DKP/TRAMDKP Followed by DKPTRAM Followed by TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKP/TRAMPlacebo Followed by DKPPlacebo Followed by TRAM
PyrexiaGeneral disorders3 of 1599 of 16111 of 1603 of 542 of 534 of 54
Anaemia postoperativeInjury, poisoning and procedural complications7 of 1596 of 1615 of 1603 of 540 of 530 of 54
NauseaGastrointestinal disorders2 of 1594 of 1619 of 1601 of 540 of 530 of 54
AnaemiaBlood and lymphatic system disorders3 of 1591 of 1611 of 1603 of 540 of 531 of 54

Serious events with the highest arm-level rate: soft tissue infection (1.9%), heart valve replacement (0.6%), vascular graft (0.6%), face oedema (0.6%), laryngeal oedema (0.6%).

Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry reports serious adverse events and other adverse events by treatment sequence. Serious adverse events were reported for 2 of 159 at risk in DKP/TRAM followed by DKP/TRAM, 3 of 161 in DKP followed by DKP, and 1 of 160 in TRAM followed by TRAM. Among the placebo-first sequences, serious adverse events were reported for 1 of 54 in placebo followed by DKP/TRAM, 0 of 53 in placebo followed by DKP, and 0 of 54 in placebo followed by TRAM. The registry record does not report deaths.

Other adverse events were reported for 15 of 159, 18 of 161, and 24 of 160 in the three active-from-the-start sequences, respectively. In the placebo-first sequences, the corresponding counts were 9 of 54, 2 of 53, and 5 of 54. The registry also lists serious-event terms and percentages, including soft tissue infection at 1.9% and several terms at 0.6%.

These counts describe reported events in the registry’s groups; they do not by themselves establish causation, comparative risk, or the clinical seriousness of every event term. The record does not provide event narratives, timing, attribution, or a detailed safety analysis plan. Comparisons should also take account of the different treatment sequences and group sizes.

16. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The posted primary results show higher average SPID8 values in the active-treatment groups than in placebo over 8 hours after the first dose. The mean differences and their confidence intervals describe the size and precision of those observed group contrasts. Because the primary endpoint is a summary of repeated pain-intensity assessments, the result concerns average change over the specified assessment period, not an individual response at every time point.

These findings do not establish that every participant experienced greater relief, or that a particular difference was clinically important. The registry does not report a threshold for clinical importance on SPID8. It also does not provide the sponsor’s complete statistical analysis plan, multiplicity procedures, missing-data methods, or analysis population definitions. Those details are relevant to judging how the posted comparisons relate to all planned analyses.

The primary comparisons are each against placebo. They do not, by themselves, establish a definitive difference between the combination and either individual agent. Similar care is needed with the secondary outcomes: they address other periods and response definitions, and the posted results are unadjusted. The pattern can inform the statistical reading of the study, but it does not supply a single overall ranking of treatments.

The population and context are specific: acute pain after elective primary unilateral total hip arthroplasty, with the registry summary describing eligibility based on moderate to severe pain on the day after surgery. The findings should not be extended automatically to different procedures, pain conditions, dosing circumstances, or patient groups. The registry record does not provide enough detail to characterize those broader settings.

Safety counts are descriptive. They show the serious and other adverse events reported by treatment sequence, but the registry information does not establish whether events were caused by a study treatment or permit a complete comparative safety assessment. Overall, the results are evidence about defined outcomes in this trial record, with uncertainty and reporting limits that should remain part of their interpretation.

17. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial is statistically useful because it illustrates the distinction between a continuous summary outcome and responder outcomes. SPID8 combines pain-intensity differences across repeated assessments, whereas responder measures classify participants according to specified criteria. The resulting estimates have different interpretations and scales. Reading them together requires attention to their time windows and definitions rather than treating them as equivalent measures.

The primary results also show why effect estimates and uncertainty intervals are more informative than a p-value alone. The mean differences describe the scale and direction of the observed contrasts, and the confidence intervals show a range of values compatible with each comparison under its assumptions. The standard deviations separately describe variation in the group outcomes. These statistics answer different questions and are not substitutes for one another.

The registry’s secondary outcomes demonstrate the importance of multiplicity. Multiple outcomes and comparisons can provide a broader picture, but unadjusted results do not automatically preserve an overall error rate across all tests. Without a reported testing strategy, secondary findings should be interpreted with more caution than a prespecified, multiplicity-controlled confirmatory analysis.

Finally, the planning illustrations show how sample-size needs depend on the effect a future study aims to detect. Planning for smaller effects requires more participants under the stated assumptions. The illustrations are distinct from the trial’s original design calculation, which is not reported. Together, these features make the record a useful example of how endpoint definition, uncertainty, multiple comparisons, and planning assumptions shape statistical interpretation.

18. Limitations

The registry entry leaves important design and analysis details unreported. It records randomization, triple masking, and a parallel-group model, but does not describe the randomization method, allocation concealment, or which study roles were masked. The primary analysis description says randomized arms were combined into four groups, but the record does not explain how that grouping relates to the planned analysis or report the sponsor’s full model.

The primary outcome combines repeated pain assessments, yet the exact weighting formula and handling of missing measurements are not reported. The registry also does not define analysis populations, give a participant flow account, or report the extent and reasons for missing outcome data. These gaps constrain assessment of the analysis set and robustness of the estimates.

The primary results include three comparisons with placebo, while the registry does not report a multiplicity plan. Secondary results are also posted as unadjusted comparisons, with no reported analyses listed. The available estimates therefore do not show whether the full family of planned comparisons was controlled or whether other analyses were conducted.

The record does not report a clinically important difference threshold for SPID8, so the clinical relevance of the numerical mean differences cannot be judged against a study-specific threshold. Nor does it report the original sample-size justification. The planning illustrations use observed effects and stated assumptions, and should not be mistaken for the rationale behind the enrollment target.

Safety information is limited to event counts, at-risk counts, and selected serious-event terms. The record does not provide event timing, attribution, narratives, or detailed comparative safety analyses. These limitations describe what cannot be established from the registry record; they do not imply that the omitted analyses or procedures were absent.

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22. Record Summary

The registry describes a completed phase 3 randomized, triple-masked, parallel-group study of oral dexketoprofen, tramadol, their fixed combination, and placebo for moderate to severe acute pain after elective unilateral total hip arthroplasty. Enrollment was 641. The primary endpoint was SPID8 over 8 hours after the first dose; the posted mean differences versus placebo were positive for all three active groups, with unadjusted confidence intervals entirely above zero.

Three secondary outcomes were also posted, including SPID48 and responder measures. Their comparisons are unadjusted and address different outcome periods or definitions. The registry reports adverse-event counts by treatment sequence but does not report deaths. Detailed multiplicity, missing-data, analysis-population, and original sample-size planning methods are not reported in the registry record. Interpretation should therefore remain tied to the posted outcomes, comparisons, and their stated uncertainty.

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