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HIV Infections Phase not stated Registry Results NCT00042289

Pharmacokinetic Study of Antiretroviral Drugs and Related Drugs During and After Pregnancy: Complete Statistical Analysis

This prospective pharmacokinetic study followed antiretroviral and tuberculosis drug exposures during pregnancy and postpartum, with additional postpartum assessments involving hormonal contraceptives. The primary outcome was the median AUC12 for the drugs studied, but its numerical results are not reported in the registry record.

Trial start: 2003-06-09  ·  Enrollment: 1578  ·  Sponsor: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Pharmacokinetic Study of Antiretroviral Drugs and Related Drugs During and After Pregnancy (NCT00042289), a registered phase not stated study. The primary outcome is PK Parameter: Area Under the Curve From 0 to 12 Hours (AUC12) With Median (IQR) for ARVs and TB Drugs.

1578
Enrollment
Phase not stated
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT00042289
PhasePhase not stated
ConditionHIV Infections
AllocationNot Stated
Design modelNot Stated
MaskingNot Stated
Enrollment1578
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The study included pregnant women taking a range of antiretroviral or tuberculosis drugs, as well as their infants for some assessments. Some groups included HIV-infected women; the record also describes HIV-uninfected women receiving tuberculosis treatment. Postpartum assessments involved HIV-infected women starting hormonal contraceptives. The primary outcome population was mothers with intensive pharmacokinetic results who were taking the dose under study at the relevant period.

Intervention

The record describes a prospective Phase IV study of drug concentrations and pharmacokinetic parameters. It covers multiple antiretroviral regimens, tuberculosis drugs, and postpartum combinations involving oral contraceptives or an etonogestrel implant. The study also assessed drug levels in blood and/or vaginal secretions.

Comparator

There is no single control group or common comparator. The registry states that this was not a randomized comparison and that allocation was not stated. The listed arms represent different drug exposures and populations, so comparisons between them are not like-for-like controlled comparisons.

Primary question

The primary outcome describes the area under the plasma concentration curve from 0 to 12 hours, reported as a median and interquartile range for antiretroviral and tuberculosis drugs. Measurements were planned at pregnancy and postpartum periods, with timing depending on the study arm. The central question was how these pharmacokinetic measurements were characterized across the periods and drug exposures studied, not whether one treatment outperformed a randomized control.

3. Trial Design

This was a prospective Phase IV clinical study, identified as IMPAACT P1026s. The registry describes its purpose as evaluating pharmacokinetics of antiretroviral and tuberculosis medications in pregnant women and their infants. It also evaluated pharmacokinetics of certain antiretrovirals in postpartum women before and after starting hormonal contraceptives. Drug concentrations were assessed in blood and/or vaginal secretions.

The registry reports enrollment of 1578 and status COMPLETED. The study start date was 2003-06-09 and the primary completion date was 2020-09-30. The sponsor was the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID). The listed arms encompass a wide range of drugs and dosing regimens, and include women with different HIV and tuberculosis treatment circumstances. Some assessments concern infants, while postpartum arms include hormonal contraceptive exposures.

The primary outcome was AUC12, expressed in mg*hour/L and summarized by median and interquartile range. Measurements were described for the 2nd trimester, the 3rd trimester, and postpartum; the exact postpartum interval differed by study arm. Participants could enter at different periods under the study design, so the registry does not expect every participant to contribute measurements at every period.

The registry identifies this as not a randomized comparison, and allocation is not stated. The listed treatment groups therefore should not be read as randomized treatment arms or as equivalent groups assigned to provide a direct control comparison. Further details about the protocol, site structure, and statistical analysis plan are not reported in the registry record.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Only the first 6 of 47 groups are shown.

Overall Study

StageDRV/RTV 600 or 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/100mg b.i.d.DTG 50mg q.d.TAF 25mg q.d.TAF 10mg q.d. w/COBITAF 25mg q.d. w/COBI or RTV BoostingEVG/COBI 150/150mg q.d.
STARTED263027332931
Infant Started253027322831
Infant Completed212827292625
COMPLETED192927252625
NOT COMPLETED710836

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonDRV/RTV 600 or 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/100mg b.i.d.DTG 50mg q.d.TAF 25mg q.d.TAF 10mg q.d. w/COBITAF 25mg q.d. w/COBI or RTV BoostingEVG/COBI 150/150mg q.d.
Lost to Follow-up300133
Other reason000200
Severe debilitation, unable to continue000000
Site closed000000
Participant not willing to adhere to requirements000300
Protocol Violation000001
Withdrawal by Subject410202

Analysis population for the primary outcome, as defined in the registry: All mothers with intensive pharmacokinetic (PK) results taking the dose under study at that time period (2nd trimester, 3rd trimester or postpartum). Because participants could enter the study at different time period per the study design, they are not expected to have results at every time period.

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

Population: The baseline analysis population is all mothers enrolled. Each study arm was designed as a separate single-arm evaluation. Participants were able to enroll in multiple arms, simultaneously; thus, the reporting groups are not mutually exclusive and totals do not represent the number of unique participants. There were 1037 unique mothers, including 8 who enrolled in 3 arms and 60 who enrolled in 2 arms.

Only the first 6 of 48 groups are shown.

CharacteristicUnitDRV/RTV 600 or 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/100mg b.i.d.DTG 50mg q.d.TAF 25mg q.d.TAF 10mg q.d. w/COBITAF 25mg q.d. w/COBI or RTV BoostingEVG/COBI 150/150mg q.d.
Participants analysed263027332931
Age, Continuousyears28.8 (21.3 to 34.1)31.8 (26.7 to 33.8)29.3 (24.0 to 35.1)33.6 (26.6 to 35.2)30.8 (25.3 to 36.1)32.1 (26.3 to 34.6)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants263027332931
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants000000
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: White Non-HispanicParticipants034313
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Black Non-HispanicParticipants13218201422
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Hispanic (Regardless of Race)Participants1241410135
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: Asian, Pacific IslanderParticipants111001
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: American Indian, Alaskan NativeParticipants010000
Race/Ethnicity, Customized: More Than One RaceParticipants000010

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as PK Parameter: Area Under the Curve From 0 to 12 Hours (AUC12) With Median (IQR) for ARVs and TB Drugs, measured over Measured in 2nd trimester (20-26 wks gestation), 3rd trimester (30-38 wks gestation), and either 2-3 wks, 2-8 wks, or 6-12 wks postpartum depending on study arm. Blood samples were drawn pre-dose and at 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 hrs post dosing..

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeMedian
Measure of spreadInter-Quartile Range
Unitmg*hour/L
Endpoint classificationnot reduced to a single comparison

The primary outcome is the area under the plasma concentration-time curve from 0 to 12 hours, or AUC12, reported as a median with an interquartile range for antiretroviral and tuberculosis drugs. It is expressed in mg*hour/L. The registry says pharmacokinetic parameters were determined from plasma concentration-time profiles using noncompartmental methods, with AUC12 calculated by the linear trapezoidal rule.

As a general statistical concept, an area under a concentration-time curve represents integrated drug exposure over the measured interval. It incorporates concentration information across the interval rather than describing only a single blood draw. The registry describes blood sampling before dosing and at 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 hours after dosing. The AUC12 endpoint therefore characterizes exposure over the specified 12-hour period, not exposure over an entire day or a clinical outcome.

Reporting a median and interquartile range describes the central value and spread of the observed pharmacokinetic measurements without requiring a normal-shaped distribution. The endpoint can help characterize whether measured exposure differs across pregnancy and postpartum periods, but the registry record does not report the numerical AUC12 estimates or their interquartile ranges. It also does not report a single overall comparison of these measurements across all drugs and arms.

A pharmacokinetic measurement is not by itself evidence of clinical benefit, harm, or comparative effectiveness. Interpreting exposure in relation to a clinical target would require information that is not reported in the registry record.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Not a randomized comparison (allocation: not stated); arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry describes a broad pharmacokinetic study rather than a single randomized treatment comparison. Its primary endpoint is a descriptive summary of drug exposure: median AUC12 and interquartile range for each drug and relevant study period. The record explains how the measurements were collected and calculated, but the numerical primary-outcome results are not reported in the registry record. Consequently, the stated information does not establish the direction or magnitude of exposure changes during pregnancy or postpartum.

The study covered multiple antiretroviral and tuberculosis drug regimens and included maternal, infant, and postpartum contraceptive assessments. These groups are defined by different drugs, dosing schedules, eligibility circumstances, and measurement periods. A contrast between two listed arms could reflect differences in more than the drug itself. Since the registry says the study was not randomized and allocation was not stated, the arms should not be interpreted as exchangeable groups created to estimate a causal treatment effect.

The primary outcome population consists of mothers with intensive pharmacokinetic results who were taking the dose under study at the relevant period. The record notes that participants could enter at different periods and were not expected to have data at every period. Thus, any period-specific summaries may describe different subsets of participants. The registry does not report the number with evaluable AUC12 results for each drug and period in the registry record for this analysis, nor does it report how missing measurements were handled.

The record lists 43 outcome measures and 126 analyses. This indicates that the study report covers many endpoints and analysis records, but it does not identify the multiplicity procedure or explain which analyses were designated confirmatory. The number of analyses alone cannot establish how evidence should be weighted or whether any reported finding would remain persuasive after accounting for multiple testing.

Safety information is organized by regimen and maternal or infant group. Those figures describe events recorded within each listed group; they are not a randomized safety comparison. The record includes some groups with small numbers at risk, and individual group counts should be read in that context. No single pooled safety estimate should be inferred by combining groups.

Overall, the registry supplies study purpose, outcome definitions, sampling procedures, and group-level safety counts, but not numerical AUC12 outcome estimates. The available record therefore supports understanding what was measured and how the design constrains interpretation, not conclusions about the size or clinical importance of pharmacokinetic differences.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The primary outcome is a pharmacokinetic summary, not a binary clinical endpoint or a time-to-event outcome. The registry says the parameter was calculated from plasma concentration-time profiles using noncompartmental methods. AUC12 was determined with the linear trapezoidal rule. In general, this rule approximates the area between observed concentration measurements by joining adjacent points with straight segments and combining the segment areas. The method depends on the observed sampling schedule and does not, by itself, establish a clinical consequence of the measured exposure.

What does AUC12 represent?

As a general concept, AUC summarizes concentration over a time interval, capturing exposure across multiple measurements rather than at a single moment. Here the specified interval runs from 0 to 12 hours, and the unit is mg*hour/L. The registry describes samples taken before dosing and at 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 hours post dosing. AUC12 should not be treated as a measure of exposure outside that interval. The record does not state a clinical threshold or target against which the AUC12 values should be judged.

Why report a median and interquartile range?

The primary outcome is summarized by median and interquartile range. In general, the median gives the middle of an ordered set of measurements, while the interquartile range describes the spread of the middle portion of those measurements. This form of summary can be useful when values are skewed or when extreme observations make a mean and standard deviation less representative. It does not describe every individual value, and the interquartile range is not a confidence interval for the median. Numerical medians and interquartile ranges for the primary outcome are not reported in the registry record.

How should the study periods be understood?

The stated measurement periods are the 2nd trimester, the 3rd trimester, and postpartum. The postpartum window varies by study arm and is described as either 2-3 weeks, 2-8 weeks, or 6-12 weeks postpartum. These differing windows matter when interpreting summaries: a postpartum measurement at one interval is not automatically comparable to a measurement at another interval. The record also states that participants could enter at different periods, so not every participant was expected to have results at every period. The analysis population is mothers with intensive pharmacokinetic results taking the dose under study at that period.

As a general principle, summaries based on different participants or different assessment times can be influenced by the composition of the observed groups. A within-person comparison may control for stable individual characteristics when the same person contributes measurements at multiple periods, but the registry does not describe a specific paired analysis or state that every period comparison used the same participants. The analytic handling of incomplete or irregular measurements is not reported in the registry record.

What do the arms allow researchers to compare?

The study includes numerous drug regimens and groups, rather than one shared intervention and a single common control. The registry characterizes the trial as not randomized, with allocation not stated. In general, random assignment helps balance measured and unmeasured participant characteristics between treatment groups. Without randomized allocation, observed differences between arms can reflect differences in participants, regimen, site, eligibility, or assessment timing as well as drug exposure. The listed arms should therefore not be interpreted as a like-for-like control comparison.

Comparisons across pregnancy and postpartum may be scientifically informative as descriptions of pharmacokinetic patterns, but causal interpretation requires a defined comparison and appropriate analysis. The registry does not provide an analysis model, adjustment variables, or a complete statistical analysis plan. Whether estimates were adjusted for covariates, and how repeated measurements were incorporated, are not reported in the registry record.

How should planning illustrations be read?

Any sample-size illustrations use the stated planning assumptions: two-sided significance level 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, normal approximation, and an effect defined as a stated fraction of the observed effect. For time-to-event illustrations, the total number of events is used; other illustrations are expressed as participants per arm. These are planning illustrations, not the study’s own design justification and not observed power. Equal allocation is an assumption for illustration, not evidence that the actual study groups were balanced or randomized. No sample-size justification or power calculation from the study protocol is reported in the registry record.

No recalculated treatment-effect estimate is described in the registry record. Accordingly, there is no recalculated estimate to set against a sponsor analysis, and no basis to infer a result from sample-size planning alone. Planning calculations concern hypothetical future designs and do not show that a study had adequate precision for every drug, period, or outcome.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry lists 43 outcome measures and 126 analyses. With many drugs, maternal and infant groups, pregnancy and postpartum periods, and pharmacokinetic outcomes, the study entails a broad set of reported measurements. As a general statistical issue, testing or examining many outcomes can increase the chance that some findings appear notable by chance, especially if analyses are selected after results are known. The record does not report a multiplicity adjustment, hierarchy of outcomes, or distinction between confirmatory and exploratory analyses. The number of analyses alone does not reveal how multiplicity was handled.

For the primary outcome, the stated analysis population is mothers with intensive pharmacokinetic results who were taking the dose under study at that time period. Participants could enter at different periods, and the registry does not expect each participant to have results at every period. Therefore, the sets contributing data may vary by period and regimen. The registry record does not report period-specific missingness, reasons for missing measurements, or the method used to address incomplete data.

The listed outcome descriptions also include cord-to-maternal blood concentration ratios and infant plasma washout measures. Their presence does not specify how missing samples or values below a measurement threshold were treated; those procedures are not reported in the registry record. A complete statistical analysis plan, interim analysis procedures, and sample-size justification are likewise not reported in the registry record.

These omissions limit assessment of how much the analysis plan anticipated the range of outcomes and how representative each analysis population was. They do not show that a particular method was absent from the study itself; they mean that the method is not reported in the registry record.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
ABC 300mg b.i.d. MOTHER0260.0%
ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. INFANT31225.0%
ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. MOTHER31225.0%
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. INFANT0220.0%
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. MOTHER1224.5%
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 400/100mg q.d. Then 300/100mg q.d. INFANT63815.8%
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 400/100mg q.d. Then 300/100mg q.d. MOTHER0380.0%
ATV/RTV/TFV 300/100/300mg q.d. With 30-35ug EE MOTHER2287.1%
ATV/RTV/TFV 300/100/300mg q.d. With ENG MOTHER0250.0%
At Least Two 2nd Line TB Drugs w/ or w/Out ARVs INFANT81457.1%
At Least Two 2nd Line TB Drugs w/ or w/Out ARVs MOTHER41330.8%
DDI 400mg or 250mg q.d. INFANT040.0%
DDI 400mg or 250mg q.d. MOTHER0180.0%
DRV/COBI 800/150 mg q.d. INFANT72725.9%
DRV/COBI 800/150 mg q.d. MOTHER52817.9%
DRV/COBI 800/150mg q.d. or ATV/COBI 300/150mg q.d With 30-35ug EE MOTHER020.0%
DRV/COBI 800/150mg q.d. or ATV/COBI 300/150mg q.d With ENG MOTHER060.0%
DRV/RTV 600 or 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/100mg b.i.d. INFANT0250.0%
DRV/RTV 600 or 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 800 or 900/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/100mg b.i.d. MOTHER32611.5%
DRV/RTV 600/100mg b.i.d. INFANT1911.1%
DRV/RTV 600/100mg b.i.d. MOTHER0360.0%
DRV/RTV 800/100mg q.d. MOTHER0320.0%
DTG 50mg q.d. INFANT73023.3%
DTG 50mg q.d. MOTHER33010.0%
EFV 600 mg q.d. (Outside THA) INFANT82630.8%
EFV 600 mg q.d. (Outside THA) MOTHER52718.5%
EFV 600mg q.d. INFANT0210.0%
EFV 600mg q.d. MOTHER0250.0%
EFV 600mg q.d. and at Least One 1st Line TB Drug INFANT72330.4%
EFV 600mg q.d. and at Least One 1st Line TB Drug MOTHER62425.0%
EFV 600mg q.d. With 30-35ug EE MOTHER32910.3%
EFV 600mg q.d. With ENG MOTHER0280.0%
ETR 200mg b.i.d. INFANT1616.7%
ETR 200mg b.i.d. MOTHER1166.2%
EVG/COBI 150/150mg q.d. INFANT53116.1%
EVG/COBI 150/150mg q.d. MOTHER53116.1%
FPV/RTV 700/100 b.i.d. INFANT2922.2%
FPV/RTV 700/100 b.i.d. MOTHER0300.0%
FTC 200mg q.d. INFANT050.0%
FTC 200mg q.d. MOTHER1214.8%
IDV/RTV 400/100mg q.d. (Only THA) INFANT0260.0%
IDV/RTV 400/100mg q.d. (Only THA) MOTHER0260.0%
IDV/RTV 800/100mg b.i.d. MOTHER010.0%
LPV/RTV 400/100 b.i.d. With 30-35ug EE MOTHER0270.0%
LPV/RTV 400/100 b.i.d. With ENG MOTHER0270.0%
LPV/RTV 400/100mg b.i.d. MOTHER0170.0%
LPV/RTV 400/100mg b.i.d. Then 533/133mg b.i.d. MOTHER0290.0%
LPV/RTV 400/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/150mg b.i.d. Then 400/100mg b.i.d. (Only African Sites) INFANT32512.0%
LPV/RTV 400/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/150mg b.i.d. Then 400/100mg b.i.d. (Only African Sites) MOTHER32512.0%
LPV/RTV 400/100mg b.i.d. Then 600/150mg b.i.d. Then 400/100mg b.i.d. MOTHER1352.9%
LPV/RTV 800/200mg b.i.d. and at Least One 1st Line TB Drug INFANT22100.0%
LPV/RTV 800/200mg b.i.d. and at Least One 1st Line TB Drug MOTHER020.0%
MVC 150 or 300mg b.i.d. INFANT040.0%
MVC 150 or 300mg b.i.d. MOTHER0120.0%
NFV 1250mg b.i.d. MOTHER0290.0%
NFV 1250mg b.i.d. Then 1875mg b.i.d. Then 1250mg b.i.d. MOTHER21811.1%
NVP 200mg b.i.d. MOTHER0120.0%
No ARVs and at Least Two 1st Line TB Drugs INFANT72725.9%
No ARVs and at Least Two 1st Line TB Drugs MOTHER62722.2%
RAL 400mg b.i.d. INFANT1616.7%
RAL 400mg b.i.d. MOTHER0430.0%
RPV 25mg q.d. INFANT33010.0%
RPV 25mg q.d. MOTHER2326.2%
TAF 10mg q.d. w/COBI INFANT103231.2%
TAF 10mg q.d. w/COBI MOTHER73321.2%
TAF 25mg q.d. INFANT42714.8%
TAF 25mg q.d. MOTHER42714.8%
TAF 25mg q.d. w/COBI or RTV Boosting INFANT52817.9%
TAF 25mg q.d. w/COBI or RTV Boosting MOTHER52917.2%
TFV 300mg q.d. MOTHER0280.0%
TFV/ATV/RTV 300/300/100mg q.d. INFANT2219.5%
TFV/ATV/RTV 300/300/100mg q.d. MOTHER1254.0%
TFV/ATV/RTV 300/300/100mg q.d. Then 300/400/100mg q.d Then 300/300/100mg q.d. INFANT2355.7%
TFV/ATV/RTV 300/300/100mg q.d. Then 300/400/100mg q.d Then 300/300/100mg q.d. MOTHER0350.0%
TPV/RTV 500/200mg b.i.d. MOTHER010.0%
Participants with at least one serious adverse event
Serious adverse events by armABC 300mg b.i.d. MOTHER0.0%ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. INFA…25.0%ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. MOTH…25.0%ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. INFANT0.0%ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. MOTHER4.5%ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 4…15.8%ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 4…0.0%ATV/RTV/TFV 300/100/300mg q.d…7.1%% of participants with at least one serious adverse event

Deaths

ArmDeaths (participants affected of at risk)
ABC 300mg b.i.d. MOTHER0 of 26
ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. INFANT0 of 12
ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. MOTHER0 of 12
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. INFANT0 of 22
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. MOTHER0 of 22
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 400/100mg q.d. Then 300/100mg q.d. INFANT0 of 38

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 5% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
ABC 300mg b.i.d. MOTHER21 of 26
ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. INFANT9 of 12
ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. MOTHER11 of 12
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. INFANT8 of 22
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. MOTHER21 of 22
ATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 400/100mg q.d. Then 300/100mg q.d. INFANT23 of 38

Most frequent serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemABC 300mg b.i.d. MOTHERATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. INFANTATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. MOTHERATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. INFANTATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. MOTHERATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 400/100mg q.d. Then 300/100mg q.d. INFANT
CryptorchismCongenital, familial and genetic disorders0 of 260 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 222 of 38
HyperbilirubinaemiaHepatobiliary disorders0 of 260 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 222 of 38
Respiratory distressRespiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders0 of 262 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 220 of 38
DysmorphismCongenital, familial and genetic disorders0 of 260 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 221 of 38
LaryngomalaciaCongenital, familial and genetic disorders0 of 260 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 221 of 38
Aspartate aminotransferase increasedInvestigations0 of 260 of 120 of 120 of 221 of 220 of 38
HaemangiomaNeoplasms benign, malignant and unspecified (incl cysts and polyps)0 of 260 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 221 of 38
Neonatal seizureNervous system disorders0 of 261 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 220 of 38
Pre-eclampsiaPregnancy, puerperium and perinatal conditions0 of 260 of 121 of 120 of 220 of 220 of 38
Premature babyPregnancy, puerperium and perinatal conditions0 of 261 of 120 of 120 of 220 of 220 of 38

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemABC 300mg b.i.d. MOTHERATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. INFANTATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. MOTHERATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. INFANTATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. MOTHERATV/RTV 300/100mg q.d. Then 400/100mg q.d. Then 300/100mg q.d. INFANT
Blood bilirubin increasedInvestigations4 of 263 of 124 of 123 of 2218 of 222 of 38
Haemoglobin decreasedInvestigations6 of 262 of 123 of 120 of 225 of 229 of 38
Blood sodium decreasedInvestigations10 of 260 of 122 of 120 of 2212 of 220 of 38
Blood glucose decreasedInvestigations3 of 263 of 120 of 120 of 2210 of 224 of 38
Blood alkaline phosphatase increasedInvestigations6 of 260 of 122 of 120 of 2210 of 220 of 38
Blood calcium decreasedInvestigations9 of 260 of 122 of 120 of 226 of 220 of 38
Jaundice neonatalPregnancy, puerperium and perinatal conditions0 of 262 of 120 of 121 of 220 of 2214 of 38
Amylase increasedInvestigations3 of 260 of 120 of 120 of 229 of 220 of 38
Aspartate aminotransferase increasedInvestigations2 of 260 of 122 of 121 of 222 of 225 of 38
Blood glucose increasedInvestigations3 of 260 of 121 of 120 of 227 of 220 of 38

Serious events with the highest arm-level rate: cerebral palsy (50.0%), hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy (50.0%), premature baby (50.0%), kidney duplex (16.7%), umbilical hernia (16.7%).

Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry reports serious adverse events, other adverse events, and deaths separately for maternal and infant groups defined by regimen. The figures are group-level counts: the number affected is listed alongside the number at risk for that group. They should be read within each listed group, not pooled across regimens or interpreted as a randomized comparison. Because the arms include different drugs, populations, and circumstances, raw counts cannot isolate a drug effect.

For example, the ATV/COBI 300/150 mg q.d. mother group lists 3 serious adverse events among 12 at risk, while the corresponding infant group also lists 3 among 12 at risk. The DRV/RTV 600/100mg b.i.d. infant group lists 1 death, and its mother group lists none. Other infant groups with deaths include EFV 600mg q.d. and at least one 1st line TB drug, with 1; LPV/RTV 400/100mg b.i.d. then 600/150mg b.i.d. then 400/100mg b.i.d. at African sites, with 1; and no ARVs and at least two 1st line TB drugs, with 2. These are separate group records, not estimates of comparative risk.

Seriousness is distinct from the count of other adverse events. The record does not provide an adjusted comparison, a causal attribution, or enough context to combine these groups into an overall treatment estimate. The listed counts describe reported events and should not be used alone to judge a regimen’s safety.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The study addresses an important measurement question: how antiretroviral and tuberculosis drug concentrations and pharmacokinetic parameters are characterized during pregnancy and postpartum. Its primary endpoint, median AUC12 with interquartile range, provides a summary of drug exposure over the specified sampling interval. The study also includes infant and postpartum contraceptive assessments. This scope is reflected in the many drug regimens and outcome measures recorded.

The registry entries do not include numerical AUC12 estimates or interquartile ranges. As a result, they do not establish whether exposure increased or decreased over a particular period, how large a change might have been, or how precisely such a change was estimated. Those findings are not reported in the registry record. The endpoint definition explains what was measured, but it is not a substitute for the outcome results.

Even with numerical pharmacokinetic summaries, interpretation would need to account for the study’s design. It was not a randomized comparison, and allocation was not stated. The arms are heterogeneous and do not form a common control comparison. Differences among them cannot be attributed to the drug alone from these registry entries. The assessment windows vary by arm, and participants were not expected to contribute measurements at every period.

The pharmacokinetic outcome is also distinct from a clinical endpoint. As a general concept, an exposure measure describes concentration over time; it does not by itself demonstrate a health benefit, harm, or treatment effectiveness. The registry does not identify a clinical target for AUC12 or report a link between the AUC12 measurements and clinical outcomes in the registry record for this analysis.

The safety counts describe reported events within regimen-specific maternal and infant groups. They are useful for understanding what the registry records, but they do not provide a controlled comparison or causal assessment. The defensible conclusion is therefore about the nature and scope of the measurements and the limitations of their interpretation, not about whether a particular treatment works or does not work.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

Pregnancy and postpartum involve distinct assessment periods, and the registry records pharmacokinetic measurements across these periods for a wide range of antiretroviral and tuberculosis drugs. Statistically, this creates challenges beyond calculating an exposure summary. Researchers must define which participants contribute to each period, how measurements taken at different times are compared, and how the variability of drug concentrations is represented. The record’s use of medians and interquartile ranges makes the outcome’s distributional summary explicit.

The study also illustrates why a detailed analysis population matters. Participants could enter at different times and were not expected to have results at every period. A change in a period-specific summary could reflect a change within participants, a difference in who contributed data, or both. Without period-specific sample counts and the analysis method, readers cannot determine from the registry record how these possibilities were addressed.

The many regimens and outcomes make multiplicity and careful interpretation relevant. The registry lists 43 outcome measures and 126 analyses, but does not report a multiplicity procedure or a confirmatory hierarchy. Readers should distinguish the breadth of descriptive measurement from evidence in a single, prespecified comparison.

Finally, the study demonstrates that pharmacokinetic endpoints answer a different question from clinical outcome endpoints. AUC12 describes measured exposure, calculated from concentration-time profiles. It can characterize drug exposure, but clinical meaning depends on additional context, such as a relevant target or relationship with clinical outcomes, which is not reported in the registry record. The distinction is especially important when a study has no randomized comparator and its groups are not like-for-like.

14. Limitations

The principal limitation for interpreting the primary endpoint is that the registry record does not report numerical AUC12 medians or interquartile ranges. The definition and calculation method are described, but there is no outcome estimate in the registry record for this analysis. The size, direction, and precision of pharmacokinetic differences therefore cannot be assessed.

The design is not a randomized comparison, and allocation is not stated. The many arms cover different drugs, dosing regimens, populations, and settings. Comparisons between them may be confounded by these differences and are not equivalent to randomized treatment contrasts. The registry does not describe adjustment methods or a complete analysis model.

Timing and participant availability also vary. Measurements are described for the 2nd trimester, the 3rd trimester, and postpartum periods that differ by arm. Participants could enter at different periods and were not expected to have results at every period. Period-specific sample counts, reasons for absent measurements, and missing-data procedures are not reported in the registry record. The record also does not clarify whether period comparisons used the same participants.

The broad set of outcomes and analyses adds interpretive complexity. A multiplicity strategy and outcome hierarchy are not reported in the registry record. The study’s protocol-level sample-size justification, interim analyses, and full statistical analysis plan are also not reported in the registry record. Safety counts are presented by group and do not support a pooled or causal comparison. These limitations concern what can be concluded from the registry information; they do not establish that relevant procedures were not used in the study.

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18. Record Summary

NCT00042289 is a completed prospective Phase IV pharmacokinetic study sponsored by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID). The registry reports enrollment of 1578, a start date of 2003-06-09, and a primary completion date of 2020-09-30. The study evaluated antiretroviral and tuberculosis drug pharmacokinetics in pregnant women and infants, as well as certain postpartum antiretroviral assessments before and after hormonal contraceptive use.

The primary outcome was median AUC12 with interquartile range, calculated from plasma concentration-time profiles using noncompartmental methods and the linear trapezoidal rule. Numerical primary-outcome estimates are not reported in the registry record. The registry lists 43 outcome measures and 126 analyses, and reports safety counts by maternal and infant regimen groups. It identifies the study as not randomized, with allocation not stated; the listed arms are not a like-for-like control comparison.

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