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Aspergillus Infections Phase 1 Continuous Endpoint NCT02631954

Phase I Clinical Trial for Comparison of Pharmacokinetic Characteristics of Vorico Injection 200mg(Voriconazole) and Vfend® IV 200mg for Single Dose Crossover Intravenous Infusion in Healthy Volunteers: Complete Statistical Analysis

This phase I randomized crossover trial compared single-dose pharmacokinetic measures for Vorico Injection and Vfend IV in healthy volunteers. The posted results include the primary Cmax outcome, selected secondary outcomes, and adverse-event counts.

Trial start: 2015-09  ·  Enrollment: 24  ·  Sponsor: Chong Kun Dang Pharmaceutical
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Phase I Clinical Trial for Comparison of Pharmacokinetic Characteristics of Vorico Injection 200mg(Voriconazole) and Vfend® IV 200mg for Single Dose Crossover Intravenous Infusion in Healthy Volunteers (NCT02631954), a randomized phase 1 study. The primary outcome is Cmax of Voriconazole.

24
Enrollment
Phase 1
2
Arms
In the primary outcome
-436.70
Mean difference
Test
-1,454–581.02
95% CI
Two-sided
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02631954
PhasePhase 1
ConditionAspergillus Infections, Candida Infections, Fungal Infections
AllocationRandomized
Design modelCrossover
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment24
Arms in the primary outcome2
Lead sponsorChong Kun Dang Pharmaceutical
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The trial enrolled healthy volunteers. The registry reports 24 participants enrolled, while the posted primary outcome summaries include 23 participants in each treatment group. The characteristics of the volunteers and the reasons that outcome counts differ from enrollment are not reported in the registry record.

Intervention

The test treatment was Vorico Injection 200mg (Voriconazole), given as a single intravenous infusion. Pharmacokinetic measurements were collected from blood samples at the listed timepoints. The registry describes the study as a phase I clinical trial.

Comparator

The reference treatment was Vfend IV 200mg, also given as a single intravenous infusion. Participants were assigned to treatment sequences: one sequence received the test drug before the reference drug, and the other received the reference drug before the test drug. The sequence descriptions specify a 7-day washout.

Primary question

The primary outcome was the mean maximum observed plasma concentration of voriconazole, called Cmax. The statistical comparison describes the difference between the test and reference treatment summaries. The registry record does not report a formal equivalence or non-inferiority margin, so the posted comparison alone does not establish that the treatments meet a predefined equivalence criterion.

In practical statistical terms, the question is whether the concentration summaries after the two products differ, and how precisely that difference is estimated. The posted mean Cmax was 1997 ng/mL for the test group and 2434 ng/mL for the reference group. The recalculated unadjusted mean difference was -436.7 ng/mL, with a 95% confidence interval from -1454.0 to 581.0 ng/mL. The interval includes zero, so these posted data do not establish a clear difference in mean Cmax. That finding is not the same as demonstrating that the products are equivalent: such a conclusion would require a specified margin and an analysis suited to that question, neither of which is reported in the registry record.

3. Trial Design

The registry describes a randomized, unmasked, phase I crossover trial. It lists 24 participants enrolled and healthy volunteers as the study population. The trial compared Vorico Injection 200mg (Voriconazole) with Vfend IV 200mg, with each treatment given as a single intravenous infusion. The registry lists fungal infections, including Aspergillus and Candida infections, among the conditions, but the participants are described as healthy volunteers rather than people being treated for those infections.

A crossover design assigns treatment sequences rather than keeping each participant in just one treatment group throughout. The registry describes a TR sequence in which participants received the test drug, had a 7-day washout, and then received the reference drug. The RT sequence reversed that order: reference drug, 7-day washout, then test drug. The randomized allocation applies to those sequences. This design can allow each participant to contribute observations under both treatments, but the registry record does not report the analysis method used to account for the within-participant structure.

Masking is listed as none. Thus the registry describes the trial as unmasked; it does not report blinding procedures. The trial began in 2015-09, reached primary completion in 2015-10, and is listed as completed. The sponsor was Chong Kun Dang Pharmaceutical.

The primary outcome was Cmax of voriconazole, reported as a mean with standard deviation, in ng/mL. The stated measurement timeframe lists blood-sampling times from 0 through 24 hours. Secondary outcomes listed by name include Tmax, AUCinf, AUCt/AUCinf, Kel, and t1/2. The registry lists seven outcome measures in total. It does not report the original sample-size rationale, detailed eligibility criteria, a formal statistical analysis plan, or the method used to handle the crossover observations. Those details should not be inferred from the sequence description or from the posted summary statistics.

For the primary outcome, the displayed group summaries use 23 participants for each treatment. The registry lists 24 participants enrolled, but does not report participant flow or explain the difference between enrollment and the outcome counts. The summaries therefore describe the posted outcome data rather than a complete account of every participant’s contribution throughout both treatment periods.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Before assignment: Subjects who passed the screening were randomized using IWRS before conducting the clinical trail.

Overall Study

StageTR GroupRT Group
STARTED1212
COMPLETED1212
NOT COMPLETED00

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

Population: 24 subejcts were used for baseline analysis.

CharacteristicUnitTR GroupRT GroupTotal
Participants analysed121224
Age, Categorical: <=18 yearsParticipants000
Age, Categorical: Between 18 and 65 yearsParticipants121224
Age, Categorical: >=65 yearsParticipants000
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants000
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants121224

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Cmax of Voriconazole, measured over 0 , 0.5, 1, 1.25, 1.5, 1.58, 1.67, 1.83, 2, 2.5, 3, 4, 6, 8, 12, 24 hrs.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeMean
Measure of spreadStandard Deviation
Unitng/mL
Endpoint classificationContinuous Endpoint

Cmax is the maximum concentration of a drug measured in blood after administration. It is a pharmacokinetic measure: it describes the observed peak concentration over the sampling period, rather than a clinical outcome such as symptom improvement or prevention of disease. The primary endpoint is reported in ng/mL, with the registry specifying that blood samples were analyzed at the listed timepoints from 0 through 24 hours.

Comparing mean Cmax values can describe whether the observed peak concentration summaries differ between formulations under the study conditions. This is useful in a pharmacokinetic comparison because the peak is one aspect of concentration over time. It does not, by itself, describe the full concentration-time profile. Other listed measures, such as Tmax and AUC, address different aspects: timing of the peak and exposure across time.

The registry reports the primary outcome as a mean and standard deviation. The mean gives the average observed Cmax in each group; the standard deviation describes variation among the observations. The posted summaries do not specify whether the reported comparison was based on a paired crossover analysis. They also do not report an equivalence margin. Consequently, the result can be read as an estimate of the difference in the posted mean summaries, but it cannot alone answer whether a prespecified equivalence criterion was met.

7. Results Posted in the Registry

Mean difference: Test

-436.70

95% CI: -1,454 to 581.02

Recalculated from the posted summary statistics

Primary outcome by arm, with 95% confidence intervals
Primary outcome by arm with 95% confidence intervals1,2291,7112,1932,6753,1573,639Reference (n=23)Test (n=23)ng/mL (95% CI)
Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of mean difference vs control (95% CI)Test-1,617-1,145-673-201272744mean difference vs control (95% CI)

8. Secondary Efficacy Endpoints

The registry also posts results for secondary outcomes. For each outcome below, the endpoint type, the test applied to the posted summary statistics, the result and its interpretation are given in turn. Secondary endpoints are usually not adjusted for multiple testing, so they support rather than confirm the primary finding.

Secondary outcomeTypeEffect measureEstimate (95% CI)Planning size, 80% power
Tmax of VoriconazoleContinuous EndpointMean difference0.01 (-0.01 to 0.03)197 per arm
AUCinf of VoriconazoleContinuous EndpointMean difference472.26 (-2,221 to 3,166)1,529 per arm
AUCt/AUCinfContinuous EndpointMean difference-0.04 (-0.09 to 0.01)89 per arm

Tmax of Voriconazole

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of mean difference vs control (95% CI)Test-0.01-0.000.010.010.020.03mean difference vs control (95% CI)

AUCinf of Voriconazole

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of mean difference vs control (95% CI)Test-2,652-1,402-1531,0972,3473,597mean difference vs control (95% CI)

AUCt/AUCinf

Treatment effect versus the control arm
Forest plot of mean difference vs control (95% CI)Test-0.10-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.000.02mean difference vs control (95% CI)

The registry names five secondary outcomes: Tmax, AUCinf, AUCt/AUCinf, Kel, and t1/2. Numerical summaries are posted for Tmax, AUCinf, and AUCt/AUCinf. Numerical results for Kel and t1/2 are not reported in the registry record. The available secondary measures describe different parts of the pharmacokinetic profile: timing of the peak, overall exposure, and the proportion of exposure observed over the specified period relative to the extrapolated total.

Across the posted secondary comparisons, the estimated mean differences are small in the units of their respective measures, and each unadjusted confidence interval includes zero. This resembles the primary result in the limited sense that none of these summary-based intervals isolates a difference away from zero. It does not establish that all measures are equivalent, nor does agreement among several unadjusted contrasts provide independent confirmation. The outcomes are related aspects of the same concentration-time profile, and the comparisons share the same small trial context.

Multiple secondary outcomes raise a multiplicity issue: when many contrasts are examined, some may appear notable by chance even if no underlying difference exists. The registry record does not report a multiplicity adjustment, a hierarchy among secondary outcomes, or a distinction between confirmatory and exploratory analyses. Consequently, the unadjusted secondary results carry less inferential weight than a prespecified primary analysis would, and they are best treated as descriptive rather than definitive.

The secondary endpoints also cannot compensate for the uncertainty in the primary estimate. AUC measures exposure over time, while Cmax concerns the peak; similar or different patterns across these measures may describe pharmacokinetic features, but they do not answer a clinical outcome question. The healthy-volunteer setting and the absence of reported participant-level or sponsor analyses further constrain broader interpretation. The secondary information adds context, but the registry record does not provide a complete inferential framework for drawing conclusions across all outcomes.

Secondary outcomes registered for this trial, for reference (only those above were recalculated):

9. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The posted primary summaries report mean Cmax of 2434 ng/mL in the reference group and 1997 ng/mL in the test group, each based on 23 participants. The recalculated unadjusted mean difference, test minus reference, is -436.7 ng/mL. Its 95% confidence interval runs from -1454.0 to 581.0 ng/mL, and the unadjusted p-value is 0.4. The interval includes zero and spans both negative and positive differences. The estimate therefore does not precisely distinguish a lower mean in the test group from a higher mean, given this interval.

This is a statement about the posted summaries and their uncertainty, not a conclusion about clinical benefit or harm. Cmax is a pharmacokinetic endpoint, and the trial enrolled healthy volunteers. The registry does not report a clinical treatment outcome. Nor does it report an equivalence or non-inferiority margin. A non-significant difference test is not evidence that two products are equivalent: absence of clear evidence for a difference and affirmative evidence that any difference is acceptably small are different statistical questions.

The group standard deviations are 2457.0 ng/mL for reference and 406.2 ng/mL for test. The marked difference in reported spread is relevant to interpretation because the participant measurements vary considerably in the reference group summary. The posted confidence interval is wide relative to the point estimate. It allows a range of possible mean differences, so the data do not pin down the size or direction of the contrast with much precision.

The trial is described as a crossover, in which treatment order is randomized and each sequence receives both treatments with a 7-day washout. However, the recalculated comparison uses the posted summary statistics and is unadjusted. The participant-level paired observations and the within-person correlation are not reported, so this calculation cannot reproduce a crossover analysis that accounts for paired measurements. The registry record does not report its own inferential analysis; consequently, the recalculated contrast should be treated as a descriptive, unadjusted comparison rather than a substitute for a reported sponsor analysis.

The secondary summaries show a mixed pattern of small estimated contrasts and uncertainty. Their unadjusted intervals include zero, as does the primary interval. These exploratory comparisons should not be treated as independent confirmation of a primary conclusion, particularly because several outcomes were considered and the registry does not report a multiplicity strategy. Numerical summaries are posted for only some of the named secondary outcomes; results for Kel and t1/2 are not reported in the registry record.

Safety counts list no serious adverse events and no deaths in either group. Other adverse events were recorded in both groups. The registry's counts describe events among participants at risk, but do not supply event descriptions or a comparative safety analysis. These counts are descriptive and are not sufficient to characterize uncommon harms or to make a broad safety judgment.

10. Statistical Methods Explained

The posted outcome is a continuous measure summarized using a mean and standard deviation. A mean is the arithmetic average of the recorded values. A standard deviation describes how dispersed individual values are around that average; a larger value indicates greater variability in the observed measurements. These are descriptive summaries. They do not by themselves show how much uncertainty there is in the estimated difference between treatment summaries.

What does the mean difference describe?

The comparison is expressed as the test-group mean minus the reference-group mean. A negative estimate means the posted test mean is lower; a positive estimate means it is higher. For primary Cmax, the estimate is -436.7 ng/mL. This is a contrast between group summaries, not an individual-level change and not a measure of clinical importance. Whether a difference is important for a particular purpose depends on context and, for equivalence questions, on a prespecified margin. No such margin is reported in the registry record.

What does a confidence interval add?

A confidence interval gives a range of values compatible with the data and the calculation method, reflecting sampling uncertainty. In repeated use under the same assumptions, a 95% confidence-interval procedure would capture the underlying quantity in 95% of such intervals. It is not a probability statement that a particular fixed parameter has a 95% chance of lying in this one interval. The primary interval, -1454.0 to 581.0 ng/mL, includes zero and extends in both directions. Its breadth indicates that the posted summary-based estimate is imprecise.

How should the p-value be read?

The unadjusted p-value for the primary contrast is 0.4. In general, a p-value describes how incompatible the observed data, or more extreme data, would be with a specified null model if that model and the calculation assumptions were correct. It is not the probability that the null hypothesis is true, nor does it measure the size or importance of an effect. A p-value above a conventional threshold does not demonstrate equivalence. The registry record does not report the sponsor's inferential analysis or its assumptions, so the posted p-value should be read as an unadjusted summary-based calculation.

Why does the crossover design matter?

In a crossover trial, treatment comparisons can use within-participant contrasts because participants may receive both treatments. Observations from the same participant are generally related, and an analysis can account for that pairing, treatment sequence, period, and other design features when appropriate. The registry describes randomized TR and RT sequences and a 7-day washout. It does not report the analysis model, period effects, sequence effects, or participant-level paired data. The recalculated results are simple unadjusted recalculations from posted summary statistics; they do not reconstruct a paired crossover analysis. Thus they should not be presented as the trial's original sponsor analysis.

Why does variation matter?

Variation affects how precisely a mean and a treatment contrast can be estimated. The primary standard deviations are 2457.0 ng/mL in the reference group and 406.2 ng/mL in the test group. This difference in spread is visible in the posted summaries. In general, unequal variability can make a simple comparison less representative of the actual data structure if it assumes a common spread. The registry does not report enough detail to assess the original modeling choices, and the summary-based calculation should not be interpreted as resolving that issue. A standard deviation describes variation among participants; a standard error describes uncertainty in an estimated mean. They answer different questions.

What do the secondary measures represent?

Tmax is the time at which the observed maximum concentration occurs. AUCinf represents area under the concentration-time curve extrapolated to infinity, and is a measure of exposure over time. AUCt/AUCinf is a ratio comparing the area measured over the stated observation period with the extrapolated total. Kel is listed as an elimination rate constant, and t1/2 as a half-life measure. These endpoints complement Cmax by describing timing, exposure, and elimination rather than peak concentration alone. These are general interpretations of the measures; the registry does not report detailed endpoint calculation rules.

The secondary comparisons are also unadjusted recalculations from posted summary statistics. Their p-values and intervals should be interpreted as individual, exploratory contrasts, not as evidence that accounts for all outcomes considered. No multiplicity procedure is reported. There are no reported sponsor analyses in the registry record for the posted secondary outcomes.

What can and cannot be inferred from these methods?

The summaries permit a description of observed means, spread, and unadjusted contrasts. They do not reveal participant-level distributions, missing-data patterns, or within-person correlations. The registry record does not report the original sample-size justification, analysis populations, handling of incomplete measurements, or detailed statistical plan. Those omissions limit assessment of whether the posted calculations match the planned crossover analysis. Any interpretation should therefore keep the randomized crossover design in view while treating these recalculations as summary-based illustrations rather than a reconstruction of the full trial analysis.

11. Confidence Intervals and Precision

The primary mean-difference estimate is -436.7 ng/mL, with a 95% confidence interval from -1454.0 to 581.0 ng/mL. The interval crosses zero and includes possible differences in either direction. It is also broad, so the result leaves substantial uncertainty about the magnitude of the mean contrast. The estimate is not precise enough to identify a narrow range of plausible differences from the posted summary calculation.

Precision is distinct from whether a result is statistically significant. A confidence interval that includes zero means that a zero difference is compatible with the calculation, but it also contains nonzero values. The p-value of 0.4 does not erase the range represented by the interval. Nor does the interval establish that any possible difference is small enough to meet an equivalence criterion. The registry record does not report such a criterion.

Interpretation of precision also depends on the design and calculation. This was a crossover trial, but participant-level paired data and the within-person correlation are not reported. The posted comparison is an unadjusted recalculation from summary statistics, so its interval does not reproduce a full crossover-model interval. The primary group standard deviations differ substantially, which adds a further reason to read a simple summary-based comparison cautiously.

The endpoint summaries include 23 observations in each treatment group, while enrollment is listed as 24. The registry record does not explain the difference or report the participant flow. Without that information, the impact of incomplete data on precision cannot be assessed. Overall, the interval is a useful description of uncertainty in the posted contrast, but not a complete account of uncertainty under every possible analysis of the trial design.

12. Planning a Similar Trial: Sample Size

This is a planning illustration, not a re-evaluation of the original trial. It asks: if a new study wanted to detect a difference like the one observed, or a smaller one, how large would it need to be? It is deliberately not “observed power” of the finished trial, which is not a meaningful quantity.

Effect to detectParticipants per arm, 80% powerParticipants per arm, 90% power
100% of the observed effect256342
75% of the observed effect454608
50% of the observed effect1,0211,367
Sample size needed versus the size of the effect to detect
Sample size needed versus size of effect to detect2005001,0002,00040%60%80%100%80% power90% powersize of effect to detect, as % of the effect observed (log vertical scale: participants per arm)
Treat these figures cautiously. The observed difference is imprecise: its confidence interval includes no difference at all. A sample size built on a noisy estimate can be far too small or too large, so the smaller-effect rows are the more cautious guide.
Method and assumptions. Two-sided α = 0.05, 1:1 allocation, two-sample comparison of means with the pooled standard deviation. Calculated for the comparison: Test.

The planning figures are illustrations of the number of participants per arm for 80% power and for 90% power under stated assumptions. They are not a report of the trial's original design calculation. The registry record does not report the original sample-size assumptions or justification. The planning calculation uses a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation. It takes the observed effect as a starting point and considers detecting the stated fraction of that effect. For these continuous outcomes, the values are participants per arm, not total event counts.

The 80% power column describes a planning scenario in which the assumed effect would be detected by the specified test in 80% of repeated studies, if the assumptions and effect were correct. The 90% column describes the corresponding 90% planning target. These are design properties under a model, not guarantees about a future study or statements about the current data. The calculations are shown separately for each endpoint because their observed effects and variability differ.

Rows planning for a smaller fraction of the observed effect require more participants: smaller differences are generally harder to distinguish from random variation at the same significance and power targets. The listed counts can therefore rise considerably as the target effect becomes smaller. They are planning illustrations and should not be read as recommendations or as proof that the original trial was adequately or inadequately sized.

This is not observed power. Observed power is not a useful substitute for interpreting the estimated effect and its confidence interval after results are known. The posted trial enrolled 24 participants, while the primary outcome summaries include 23 per treatment. Those observed counts are separate from the hypothetical planning counts.

13. How the Sample Size Is Derived

Power is the probability that a study of a given size rejects the null hypothesis when a specific true effect exists. It depends on four things: the effect to detect, the variability of the outcome, the significance level (here a two-sided α of 0.05, so z1−α/2 = 1.960) and the desired power (z1−β = 0.842 for 80% and 1.282 for 90%).

Formula

n = 2 (z1−α/2 + z1−β)2 σ2 / Δ2

n is the number of participants in each arm, Δ is the difference in means to detect and σ is the common standard deviation.

Worked calculation for this trial

  1. Observed difference Δ = -436.700; pooled standard deviation σ = 1760.874.
  2. n = 2 × (1.96 + 0.842)2 × 1760.8742 / -436.7002 = 255.2, rounded up to 256 participants per arm for 80% power.

The smaller-effect rows in the table above repeat the same calculation with the effect multiplied by 0.75 and 0.5 (for ratios, applied to the logarithm of the ratio).

R code

alpha <- 0.05
z_a   <- qnorm(1 - alpha / 2)          # two-sided
delta <- -436.7                      # observed difference in means
sigma <- 1760.87422180007                     # pooled standard deviation
n_per_arm <- function(power, frac = 1) {
  ceiling(round(2 * (z_a + qnorm(power))^2 * sigma^2 / (delta * frac)^2, 6))
}
for (f in c(1, 0.75, 0.5))
  cat(sprintf("%3.0f%% of observed effect: n per arm = %s (80%% power), %s (90%% power)\n", 100 * f,
              format(n_per_arm(0.80, f), big.mark = ","), format(n_per_arm(0.90, f), big.mark = ",")))

# Check against R's built-in function (t-based, so very slightly larger)
cat("power.t.test:", round(power.t.test(delta = delta, sd = sigma, power = 0.80)$n, 1), "\n")

# Simulation: exact two-sample t-test using simulated means and variances
set.seed(2631954)
n    <- n_per_arm(0.80)
reps <- 20000
m_diff <- rnorm(reps, delta, sigma * sqrt(2 / n))             # difference in sample means
s2     <- sigma^2 * rchisq(reps, 2 * (n - 1)) / (2 * (n - 1))   # pooled sample variance
tstat  <- m_diff / sqrt(s2 * 2 / n)
cat(sprintf("Simulated power at n = %s per arm: %.3f (%d replicates)\n", format(n, big.mark = ","), mean(abs(tstat) > qt(0.975, 2 * (n - 1))), reps))

Output from running the code

100% of observed effect: n per arm = 256 (80% power), 342 (90% power)
 75% of observed effect: n per arm = 454 (80% power), 608 (90% power)
 50% of observed effect: n per arm = 1,021 (80% power), 1,367 (90% power)
power.t.test: 256.2 
Simulated power at n = 256 per arm: 0.798 (20000 replicates)

The simulation draws many sets of group means and variances at the planned sample size and counts how often the two-sample t-test rejects the null. It should land close to the target power; at very small required sample sizes it can fall below it, because the normal approximation is rough there.

14. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

Multiplicity arises when several statistical questions are examined in the same study. The chance of at least one apparently unusual result can increase as more outcomes or comparisons are tested. The registry lists five secondary outcomes in addition to the primary Cmax outcome, and seven outcome measures in total. It does not report a procedure to control multiplicity, a testing hierarchy, or a rule for interpreting secondary findings. The posted secondary p-values are unadjusted, so they should not be interpreted as if they arose from a single isolated test.

The registry record does not report a detailed statistical analysis plan, the sponsor's inferential analyses, or a prespecified equivalence margin. It also does not report the original sample-size justification. Those omissions mean it is not possible to determine from the record which analyses were planned in advance, how the crossover structure was modeled, or how the primary and secondary conclusions were meant to be combined. The posted summary-based recalculations are not a substitute for those missing design and analysis details.

Missing-data handling and analysis populations are also not reported in the registry record. Enrollment is listed as 24, while the posted primary outcome summaries contain 23 observations per treatment. The record does not explain whether this reflects incomplete measurements, a particular analysis population, or another reason. Because the study is a crossover, it would also matter whether participants contributed complete data under both treatments; that information is not reported.

The registry describes randomized treatment sequences and a 7-day washout, but does not report participant-level data, period-specific summaries, sequence-specific results, or the model used to account for within-participant pairing. Nor does it explain how observations affected by missing samples or incomplete periods were handled. These are important omissions for assessing a crossover comparison. They should be treated as unknowns, not filled in by assumptions about usual practice.

15. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Reference0230.0%
Test0240.0%

Deaths

ArmDeaths (participants affected of at risk)
Reference0 of 23
Test0 of 24

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 0% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Reference21 of 23
Test22 of 24

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemReferenceTest
photophobiaEye disorders18 of 2321 of 24
dizzinessVascular disorders3 of 233 of 24
vision blurredEye disorders2 of 230 of 24
visual imparimentEye disorders1 of 231 of 24
headacheNervous system disorders0 of 232 of 24
colour blindness acquiredEye disorders1 of 230 of 24
blood glucose increasedInvestigations0 of 231 of 24
Lymphocyte count decreasedInvestigations0 of 231 of 24
urine oxalate increasedInvestigations0 of 231 of 24
white blood cells urine positiveInvestigations1 of 230 of 24
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The serious adverse-event summary lists 0 affected participants among 23 at risk in the reference group and 0 among 24 at risk in the test group. Deaths are listed as 0 in both groups. The registry therefore reports no serious adverse events or deaths in these posted group counts. The at-risk counts differ between groups, and the record does not explain that difference.

Other adverse events are listed for 21 of 23 participants at risk in the reference group and 22 of 24 at risk in the test group. These counts are descriptive. The registry record does not provide the event terms, severity breakdown, timing, attribution, or a comparative statistical analysis for these other events. It also does not report further detail about how adverse events were collected or classified.

Zero reported serious events in a small phase I study should not be read as proof that serious events cannot occur. The trial involved healthy volunteers and a single-dose comparison, so these counts do not characterize safety in every population or under other treatment conditions. They describe the adverse-event information recorded for this study, without supporting medical advice or a broad conclusion about safety.

16. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The result describes a comparison of pharmacokinetic summaries in healthy volunteers after single intravenous infusions of Vorico Injection and Vfend IV. For the primary Cmax measure, the test-group mean was lower than the reference-group mean in the posted summaries, but the recalculated unadjusted confidence interval includes zero and spans values in both directions. The data therefore do not provide a precise estimate of the difference.

This does not mean that the products have been shown to be the same. A failure to distinguish a difference from zero is not equivalent to demonstrating that any difference is acceptably small. An equivalence conclusion requires a prespecified margin and an analysis designed for that question. The registry record does not report an equivalence margin or the sponsor's inferential analysis.

The result also does not answer whether either treatment improves a clinical outcome. Cmax, Tmax, and AUC measures describe drug concentration and exposure, not recovery from infection or another patient outcome. Although the registry lists fungal infections among the conditions, participants are described as healthy volunteers. The posted findings should not be generalized directly to people receiving treatment for infection.

The crossover design is relevant because the treatment sequences were randomized and each sequence received both products with a 7-day washout. Yet the available recalculation uses group summary statistics and is unadjusted. Without participant-level paired data and the original analysis details, it cannot fully reflect the crossover structure. The registry record also does not explain the difference between 24 enrolled participants and the 23 observations in each primary treatment summary.

In short, the posted data offer a limited description of selected pharmacokinetic measures and adverse-event counts in this phase I study. The primary estimate is uncertain, the secondary results are unadjusted, and several design and analysis details are not reported. These boundaries matter when deciding what the record can support: it describes observed summaries, but does not establish clinical effectiveness, equivalence, or comprehensive safety.

17. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial illustrates why the design and the analysis must be read together. A randomized crossover design can compare two treatments within participants, but the value of that design depends on an analysis that accounts for the paired observations and relevant period or sequence features. The registry supplies the treatment sequences and washout description, yet does not report the inferential model or participant-level information. A summary-based contrast can describe the posted means, but it cannot reveal all the information a crossover analysis would use.

The primary confidence interval also demonstrates the distinction between a point estimate and precision. The estimated mean difference is one value, while the interval shows that the posted summaries are compatible with a broader range of differences. A p-value alone would not convey that range. In a pharmacokinetic comparison, this distinction is especially important when the scientific question may concern similarity rather than simply whether a difference test is statistically significant.

The registry names several related pharmacokinetic outcomes, but secondary results are unadjusted and numerical summaries are not available for every named measure. Considering multiple outcomes without a reported multiplicity plan complicates interpretation. The secondary measures add useful dimensions of the concentration-time profile, but they do not automatically reinforce the primary result.

Finally, the record distinguishes a small phase I study in healthy volunteers from a clinical outcome trial in patients. Its results are relevant as a description of the posted pharmacokinetic and adverse-event summaries under the study conditions. They do not, on their own, answer broader questions about treatment outcomes. This is a useful example of how registry summaries can be informative while still leaving important analysis and interpretation details unreported.

18. Limitations

The most immediate limitation is the small number of posted primary outcome observations: 23 per treatment, compared with 24 participants enrolled. The registry record does not explain this difference or provide participant flow. It is therefore not possible to determine why the outcome counts differ, whether measurements were incomplete, or whether the listed summaries represent a particular analysis population.

The comparison is a summary-based unadjusted recalculation, while the design is crossover. The registry does not report participant-level paired observations, within-person correlation, period-specific outcomes, or the original statistical model. As a result, the recalculated interval and p-value may not reflect the analysis that would make full use of the crossover design. The record also does not report a sponsor analysis for comparison.

Other important statistical details are absent: the original sample-size justification, the formal analysis plan, handling of missing data, multiplicity procedures, and an equivalence or non-inferiority margin. Without an equivalence margin, a non-significant difference test cannot establish equivalence. Without an analysis plan, the record does not show which outcomes or methods were prespecified.

The trial was phase I, unmasked, and conducted in healthy volunteers, with single-dose intravenous infusions. These features limit what the summaries can say about other populations, treatment schedules, or clinical outcomes. The registry lists fungal infections as conditions but does not describe a patient treatment outcome. The adverse-event record provides counts but no event terms or detailed comparative analysis. These limitations concern interpretation of the registry record and do not imply that unreported procedures or results did not exist.

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20. Related Statistical Calculators

21. Sources

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Use this trial's endpoint as a starting point for deeper study of effect measures, confidence intervals, and sample-size planning.

22. Record Summary

NCT02631954 is a completed phase I randomized, unmasked crossover trial sponsored by Chong Kun Dang Pharmaceutical. The registry lists 24 healthy volunteers enrolled. Participants were assigned to treatment sequences comparing single-dose intravenous Vorico Injection 200mg (Voriconazole) and Vfend IV 200mg, with a 7-day washout between treatments.

The primary outcome was mean Cmax of voriconazole. Posted summaries include 23 participants per treatment, and the unadjusted recalculated mean difference is -436.7 ng/mL, with a 95% confidence interval from -1454.0 to 581.0 ng/mL. The interval includes zero and is broad. The registry lists secondary pharmacokinetic outcomes; numerical summaries are not reported for every named outcome.

The record lists no serious adverse events or deaths in either group and reports other adverse events in both groups. The original statistical plan, sample-size justification, analysis populations, missing-data methods, multiplicity procedure, and equivalence margin are not reported in the registry record.

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