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Typhoid Fever Phase 2 Binary Endpoint NCT00342628

Safety, Immunogenicity and Compatibility With DTP of a Typhoid Fever Vaccine in Infants: Complete Statistical Analysis

This randomized phase 2 trial evaluated adverse reactions and antibody responses after Vi-rEPA or Hib-TT was given with routine DTP vaccination to infants in Vietnam. The registry record describes the study design and safety counts but does not report primary-outcome analyses.

Trial start: 2006-07  ·  Enrollment: 301  ·  Sponsor: Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD)
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Safety, Immunogenicity and Compatibility With DTP of a Typhoid Fever Vaccine in Infants (NCT00342628), a randomized phase 2 study. The primary outcome is Number of Infants With Adverse Reactions After Vaccination.

301
Enrollment
Phase 2
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT00342628
PhasePhase 2
ConditionTyphoid Fever
AllocationRandomized
Design modelParallel
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment301
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorEunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD)
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

Infants in Vietnam were enrolled in a study of vaccine safety and immunogenicity. The registry describes the intended population as full-term healthy newborns. Total enrollment was 301; the brief summary proposed recruiting 300 infants. The record does not report further eligibility details or the characteristics of the infants who enrolled.

Intervention

One group received Vi-rEPA with DTP at 2, 4, and 6 months, followed by Vi-rEPA at 12 months. The study examined adverse reactions after injections and antibody responses, including IgG anti-Vi levels.

Comparator

A second group received Hib-TT with DTP at 2, 4, and 6 months, followed by Hib-TT at 12 months. A third group received DTP at 2, 4, and 6 months. The registry describes randomized allocation but does not report the allocation procedure or the number assigned to each group as a separate result.

Primary question

The primary outcome was the number of infants with specified adverse reactions after vaccination, assessed at 2, 4, 6, and 12 months. The categories included fever, local induration and erythema, and inconsolable crying. The registry also lists secondary antibody outcomes. It does not report comparative estimates or statistical analyses for these outcomes.

3. Trial Design

This was a randomized, parallel-group phase 2 study with no masking. The registry lists 301 participants as enrolled and the study status as completed. The start is recorded as 2006-07 and primary completion as 2008-04. The sponsor was the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD).

The three groups differed in the vaccine schedule. Infants in the Vi-rEPA group received Vi-rEPA and DTP at 2, 4, and 6 months, then Vi-rEPA at 12 months. Infants in the Hib-TT group received Hib-TT and DTP at 2, 4, and 6 months, then Hib-TT at 12 months. The DTP group received DTP at 2, 4, and 6 months. The brief summary describes Hib-TT as not yet used in Vietnam at the time of the study.

The registry describes observation of reactions at 6, 24, and 48 hours after each injection. It also describes maternal and cord blood collection and infant blood sampling at 7 and 12 months, with an additional sample at 13 months for infants given Vi-rEPA or Hib-TT at 12 months. The listed antibody measures include responses to Vi, Hib, diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis antigens.

The brief summary says the infant IgG anti-Vi response was to be compared with responses in 2 to 5 year-olds in an efficacy trial in Dong Thap Province, Vietnam. The registry record does not report a result for that comparison. It also does not report the randomization method, allocation concealment, detailed eligibility criteria, or a statistical analysis plan.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Overall Study

StageVi-rEPA Plus DTPHib-TT Plus DTPDTP Vaccines
STARTED100101100
COMPLETED808081
NOT COMPLETED202119

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonVi-rEPA Plus DTPHib-TT Plus DTPDTP Vaccines
Withdrawal by Subject191918
Death110
moved residence011

Analysis population for the primary outcome, as defined in the registry: The number of infants injected in each group for each injection was used to determine the rate of adverse reactions.

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitVi-rEPA Plus DTPHib-TT Plus DTPDTP VaccinesTotal
Participants analysed100101100301
Age, Customized: Age at 1st injectionDays77 (61 to 92)76 (61 to 92)76 (61 to 92)77 (61 to 92)
Age, Customized: Age at 2nd injectionDays137 (121 to 151)137 (120 to 154)137 (121 to 151)137 (120 to 154)
Age, Customized: Age at 3rd injectionDays197 (181 to 212)198 (182 to 211)197 (181 to 211)197 (181 to 212)
Age, Customized: Age at 4th injectionDays382 (365 to 420)381 (365 to 406)NA (NA to NA)382 (365 to 420)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants525346151
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants484854150

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Number of Infants With Adverse Reactions After Vaccination, measured over at 2, 4, 6 and 12 months.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeNumber
Measure of spreadnot applicable
Unitparticipants
Endpoint classificationBinary Endpoint

The primary endpoint is the number of infants with specified adverse reactions after vaccination. The registry lists fever of at least 38.0 C; induration of at least 2.5cm at the DTP site or the Vi-rEPA/Hib-TT site; erythema of at least 2.5cm at either site; and inconsolable crying lasting less than 4hr or at least 4hr. The outcome timeframe is 2, 4, 6, and 12 months.

The registry says the number of infants injected in each group for each injection was used to determine the rate of adverse reactions. That denominator is relevant because the number of infants receiving an injection can vary across visits. The endpoint concerns the occurrence of reactions; it does not, by itself, describe their severity beyond the listed definitions, duration beyond the crying categories, or relationship to vaccination.

Monitoring reactions is one way to describe the safety experience of a vaccine schedule in a study population. The endpoint’s multiple reaction categories and assessment times also mean that a single count cannot fully represent the safety profile. The registry record does not report results for each reaction category and time point, nor does it report a single combined primary-outcome estimate or a comparative analysis. Thus the endpoint is defined, but its primary analysis and findings are not available in the registry record.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Primary outcome has several categories or time points; not reduced to one comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record identifies the study as completed and reports a randomized comparison of three vaccine schedules. It describes the primary outcome and provides group-level serious and other adverse-event counts. However, it reports zero analyses and does not provide results for the primary endpoint’s listed reaction categories and time points. There are no reported comparative estimates, confidence intervals, or p-values for the primary outcome in the registry record.

The posted safety counts should be read as descriptive entries rather than as a complete comparison of the schedules. The record lists 1 serious adverse event among 100 participants at risk in the Vi-rEPA Plus DTP group, 1 among 101 in the Hib-TT Plus DTP group, and 0 among 100 in the DTP Vaccines group. For other adverse events, it lists 0 affected participants in each group, with the corresponding numbers at risk also recorded. These group-level entries do not give the reaction categories, timing, clinical details, or statistical uncertainty for each count. The serious-event term listing and missing death counts require particular caution, as described in the safety discussion.

The study’s planned antibody assessments are described, including IgG anti-Vi and responses to other vaccine antigens. The registry does not report numerical antibody results or analyses of those outcomes. It therefore cannot establish from the posted results how antibody responses compared among the groups or against the older children mentioned in the brief summary.

Randomization is a design feature intended to support fair comparisons between assigned groups, but it does not replace reporting of the results and analysis. The record does not describe allocation procedures, baseline group characteristics, adherence, withdrawals, or analysis populations. Without those details and outcome-specific results, readers cannot assess the extent to which the enrolled groups were comparable at baseline, how many participants contributed data at each visit, or how missing observations were handled.

Accordingly, the posted information documents the study’s purpose, schedules, outcome definitions, and limited adverse-event counts. It does not report enough primary-outcome or antibody results to quantify the comparative effects of the vaccine schedules. No conclusion about a difference between groups can be drawn from the registered counts alone.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The design is described as randomized, parallel, and unmasked. In a parallel-group trial, participants are assigned to one group and followed under that group’s schedule. Randomization is intended, in general, to reduce systematic differences between groups at the time of assignment. Whether it achieved that balance in this study cannot be assessed from the registry record because allocation details and baseline characteristics are not reported. The record also does not say whether allocation was concealed before assignment.

What does the primary outcome count?

The primary outcome is a count of infants with specified reactions after vaccination, rather than a continuous measurement such as an antibody concentration. The listed reaction definitions include fever at or above 38.0 C, induration and erythema at or above 2.5cm at named injection sites, and two duration categories for inconsolable crying. Results would need to preserve the distinction among those outcomes and the scheduled assessments at 2, 4, 6, and 12 months. Combining categories or visits could obscure differences in what was measured. The registry’s record of zero analyses means that such outcome-specific results are not reported there.

How should counts and rates be understood?

A count records how many participants experienced an event; a rate or proportion relates that count to a defined number at risk. The registry says the number of infants injected in each group for each injection was used to determine adverse-reaction rates. This matters when the number receiving an injection differs across visits. In general, a count without its denominator can be difficult to interpret, while a rate without a clear definition of the observation period can also be misleading. The posted serious and other adverse-event summaries include numbers at risk, but do not provide the primary reaction outcomes by category and visit.

For binary outcomes such as whether an infant had a specified reaction, a group comparison can be expressed in several ways, including a difference in proportions or a relative measure. These answer different questions and should be accompanied by uncertainty estimates. A confidence interval, in general, describes a range of values compatible with the observed data under the statistical model and its assumptions; it is not a guarantee that the true value lies within that particular interval. The registry does not report comparative estimates or confidence intervals for the primary endpoint, so no measure of precision for those comparisons can be interpreted.

What does the registry say about the analysis?

The record lists no analyses. It does not identify a statistical test, regression model, adjustment variables, handling of repeated assessments, or method for combining reactions across visits. Because infants could be assessed at more than one scheduled time, a full analysis might need to account for repeated observations if it estimates an overall pattern across visits. This is a general methodological consideration, not a claim about the analysis used in the trial. The registry record does not report whether repeated observations were analyzed together or separately.

The record also does not report a sample-size justification, target power, interim analyses, stopping rules, or a prespecified hierarchy for the primary and secondary outcomes. The enrollment number alone does not reveal how the study’s design was chosen or how precise its comparisons were expected to be. No sample-size conclusion can be drawn from enrollment alone.

Why do multiple outcomes matter?

The primary endpoint includes several kinds of reaction and multiple scheduled assessment times. Secondary outcomes include IgG anti-Vi levels and antibody responses to tetanus toxoid, diphtheria toxoid, pertussis toxin, and Hib capsular polysaccharide. When many outcomes or comparisons are examined, the chance of at least one apparently unusual result can increase. In general, multiplicity procedures can control or describe that issue, but the appropriate approach depends on the planned questions and analysis. No multiplicity strategy is reported in the registry record, and no outcome analyses are posted.

The record therefore supports a description of the intended methods and outcome definitions, but not an evaluation of statistical significance, effect magnitude, or precision. Those interpretations require outcome-specific results and a clear account of the analysis population and methods.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The primary endpoint contains multiple reaction categories and is assessed at 2, 4, 6, and 12 months. The registry also lists several secondary antibody outcomes. This creates multiple possible comparisons across groups, outcomes, and assessment times. In general, examining many comparisons can increase the chance of observing an apparently notable result by chance. A prespecified hierarchy or multiplicity adjustment can address some of this concern, but the registry record does not report whether either was planned or used.

The record lists zero analyses. It does not give outcome-specific denominators by visit, participant flow, withdrawals, or the number of infants included in each analysis. It also does not report how missing measurements, missed visits, or incomplete antibody samples were handled. No imputation method, sensitivity analysis, or missing-data assumption is reported in the registry record.

The analysis population is also not specified. The record does not say whether results were intended to include all randomized infants, only those who received a vaccine, or participants with measurements available at each visit. These choices can affect the interpretation of estimates, particularly when follow-up or data availability differs between groups. The registry’s safety counts should not be treated as a substitute for a clearly defined analysis population or a complete account of missing data.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Vi-rEPA Plus DTP11001.0%
Hib-TT Plus DTP11011.0%
DTP Vaccines01000.0%
Participants with at least one serious adverse event
Serious adverse events by armVi-rEPA Plus DTP1.0%Hib-TT Plus DTP1.0%DTP Vaccines0.0%% of participants with at least one serious adverse event

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 5% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Vi-rEPA Plus DTP0 of 100
Hib-TT Plus DTP0 of 101
DTP Vaccines0 of 100

Most frequent serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemVi-rEPA Plus DTPHib-TT Plus DTPDTP Vaccines
DeathGeneral disorders1 of 1001 of 1010 of 100

Serious events with the highest arm-level rate: death (1.0%).

Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry lists serious adverse events separately from other adverse events. For serious events, it records 1 affected participant among 100 at risk in the Vi-rEPA Plus DTP group, 1 among 101 in the Hib-TT Plus DTP group, and 0 among 100 in the DTP Vaccines group. For other adverse events, it records 0 affected participants in each group. These are descriptive counts; the registry record does not provide comparative statistical analyses or uncertainty estimates for them.

The serious-event summary also lists “Death” as a top serious term at 1.0%, while the group-level death counts are recorded as missing. The record does not explain this discrepancy or provide enough detail to determine how the term listing relates to the group counts. The death entry should therefore not be interpreted as a complete account of deaths by group. The registry record does not report event timing, participant-level descriptions, causality assessments, or outcomes for the serious events.

These entries do not establish whether an event was caused by a vaccine, and they do not capture the primary endpoint’s individual reaction categories. Their interpretation is limited to what the registry records, with the missing details and the death-count inconsistency kept in view.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The registered study is a randomized evaluation of Vi-rEPA and Hib-TT schedules given alongside DTP in infants in Vietnam. Its stated aims included safety, immunogenicity, and compatibility with DTP. The record defines a primary safety endpoint and lists secondary antibody outcomes. It also records limited group-level adverse-event counts.

What the record does not provide is equally important: it reports no primary-outcome analyses, no reaction results by type and assessment time, and no numerical antibody findings. There are no comparative effect estimates, confidence intervals, or p-values for those outcomes. The serious-event counts are descriptive and are accompanied by incomplete detail, including missing group-level death counts despite a serious-term listing for Death.

In general, a randomized design can support comparisons between groups, but interpretation depends on complete outcome reporting, clear denominators, analysis methods, and information about missing observations. Here, the registry record does not report those elements in enough detail to evaluate comparative effects or their precision. The enrollment figure and the description of scheduled assessments do not fill that gap.

Therefore, the posted information documents what investigators intended to study and gives some safety entries, but it does not establish how the groups compared on the defined primary endpoint or antibody outcomes. The absence of reported analyses is not evidence that the groups were the same, nor is it evidence of a difference. It means that the comparative questions cannot be answered from the registry results reported.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial is statistically notable for the way its primary endpoint combines several clinically distinct reaction definitions with repeated assessment times. Fever, injection-site findings, and crying are not interchangeable outcomes, and their patterns may differ across visits. Clear reporting by category and time point is important for readers to understand what was counted and how the groups were compared.

The study also illustrates why outcome definitions are only one part of a statistical report. The registry describes the reaction thresholds and says the number of infants injected at each visit was used to determine rates. But without reported outcome counts by category and visit, analysis methods, and uncertainty estimates, readers cannot quantify the differences or assess their precision.

Another statistical issue is the breadth of the intended assessment: a primary safety outcome, several antibody outcomes, and comparisons across three schedules. Multiplicity and analysis-population choices can influence how results are interpreted. The registry record does not report a strategy for these issues, and it lists no analyses.

Finally, the serious-event entries show why data completeness and internal consistency matter. The group counts, risk denominators, serious-term listing, and missing death counts need to be interpreted together rather than reduced to a simple conclusion. In this record, the design and outcome definitions are documented more fully than the numerical analysis results. That distinction is central to sound statistical interpretation.

14. Limitations

The most important limitation for interpreting the registry record is the absence of reported primary-outcome analyses. Although the endpoint specifies reaction types and assessment times, no corresponding results are given by category or visit. The antibody outcomes are also listed without numerical findings. This prevents assessment of comparative effect magnitude and precision.

The record does not report participant flow, group baseline characteristics, adherence to the schedules, withdrawals, or visit-specific denominators for the primary reactions. It therefore does not show how many participants contributed data at each assessment or whether data availability differed between groups. Missing-data methods and analysis populations are not reported.

There is also limited detail on adverse events. The registry provides group-level serious and other event counts, but does not describe event timing, clinical features, relatedness, or outcomes. The “Death” serious-term entry is accompanied by missing group-level death counts, and the record does not explain the relationship between them.

Other design details are not reported, including the randomization procedure, allocation concealment, blinding of outcome assessment, sample-size justification, interim analyses, and statistical analysis plan. The record states that the study was unmasked, but does not explain whether reaction assessment was independently blinded. These omissions limit assessment of possible bias and of the planned statistical interpretation.

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18. Record Summary

NCT00342628 is a completed randomized, parallel-group phase 2 study sponsored by the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD). The record lists enrollment of 301 and evaluates Vi-rEPA with DTP, Hib-TT with DTP, and DTP alone in infants in Vietnam.

The primary outcome is the number of infants with specified adverse reactions after vaccination at 2, 4, 6, and 12 months. Secondary outcomes include antibody responses to Vi, Hib, diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis antigens. The registry describes the schedules and sample collection but lists zero analyses. It does not report primary-outcome results, comparative estimates, uncertainty intervals, or antibody findings. Serious and other adverse-event counts are recorded, with limited event detail and missing group-level death counts.

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