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Wrinkles NA Binary Endpoint NCT02919007

Silk'n HST Device Usability and Self Selection Study: Complete Statistical Analysis

This analysis examines a completed, single-group usability study of the Silk'n HST device involving 25 participants. The registry describes a task-completion endpoint but does not report its result or list an analysis.

Trial start: 2015-12  ·  Enrollment: 25  ·  Sponsor: Home Skinovations Ltd.
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Silk'n HST Device Usability and Self Selection Study (NCT02919007), a na na study. The primary outcome is Usability Assessment.

25
Enrollment
NA
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02919007
PhaseNA
ConditionWrinkles
AllocationNot applicable (single group)
Design modelSingle Group
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment25
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorHome Skinovations Ltd.
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The study enrolled 25 participants in a trial listed under wrinkles. The registry record does not report further eligibility characteristics or describe the participant population in detail. The question therefore concerns the usability assessment in the enrolled group, not a broader population defined by age, clinical history, or other characteristics.

Intervention

Participants received Silk'n HST treatment on the periorbital areas according to the user's manual. The device-use measure concerned the ability to operate the device correctly according to that manual. The registry describes this as a usability study.

Comparator

No comparator group is described. The study is listed as single group, with allocation recorded as NA and masking as none. The registry explicitly notes that this is not a randomized comparison, so the findings cannot be interpreted as a like-for-like comparison between treatment groups.

Primary question

The primary question is whether participants could complete device-related tasks, including applying and operating the device without assistance, within a timeframe of up to 1 hour and with minimal attempts to ask for assistance. The registry defines study success by all subjects completing those tasks. It does not report how many participants met that definition, so the observed result for this question is not reported in the registry record.

3. Trial Design

This was a completed, single-group device usability study of Silk'n HST. The registry lists an enrollment of 25 and identifies wrinkles as the condition. The intervention was Silk'n HST treatment, described as use on the periorbital areas according to the user's manual. Its stated measure was the ability to operate the device correctly according to that manual.

The record lists allocation as NA and masking as none. It also identifies the study as single group and states that it was not a randomized comparison. No control or comparator arm is described. Consequently, the design can address whether participants in the study group completed the specified usability tasks, but it does not provide a randomized between-group contrast.

The study start and primary completion are both listed as 2015-12, and the status is completed. The brief summary describes the purpose as testing Silk'n HST device usability. The official title also refers to self-selection and labeling comprehension, but the listed primary outcome is a usability assessment; results for self-selection or labeling comprehension are not reported in the registry record.

The record lists one outcome measure and zero analyses. It does not report a statistical analysis plan, sample-size justification, interim analyses, or a detailed protocol. These omissions mean that design details beyond the listed registry fields cannot be established from the record. The enrollment figure describes the study size, not the number of participants who completed the endpoint or had usable data; those counts are not reported in the registry record.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Overall Study

StageSilk'h HST Treatment
STARTED25
COMPLETED25
NOT COMPLETED0

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitSilk'h HST Treatment
Participants analysed25
Age, Categorical: <=18 yearsParticipants0
Age, Categorical: Between 18 and 65 yearsParticipants18
Age, Categorical: >=65 yearsParticipants7
Age, Continuousyears49.2 (SD 15.9)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants17
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants8
Region of Enrollment: United StatesParticipants25

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Usability Assessment, measured over 1 hour.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeCount Of Participants
Measure of spreadnot applicable
UnitParticipants
Endpoint classificationBinary Endpoint

The primary endpoint is titled Usability Assessment, measured in participants, with a timeframe of 1 hour. Its description defines success as all subjects completing device-related tasks, including applying and operating the device without assistance within up to 1 hour and with minimal attempts to ask for assistance. This is a binary, participant-count outcome: a participant either meets the stated task-completion criterion or does not, though the record does not give individual outcomes or a total meeting the definition.

For a usability study, a task-completion endpoint can describe whether participants can follow the intended instructions and perform specified device tasks. In general, an operational definition is important because it makes clear what counts as successful use. The criterion combines unaided task completion, a time limit, and minimal requests for assistance. However, the record does not define how many requests qualify as minimal, how task completion was assessed, or how ambiguous performance was classified.

The endpoint is not a measure of change in wrinkles or another clinical outcome. It is a measure of device use under the stated task conditions. Although the study title mentions self-selection and labeling comprehension, the registered primary outcome description is focused on device-related tasks. The actual number of participants meeting the success definition is not reported in the registry record, so the endpoint's observed result cannot be characterized from the listed information.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Not a randomized comparison (allocation: NA); arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record describes a usability study with an enrollment of 25 and a primary endpoint based on completing device-related tasks without assistance. It does not report the number of participants who completed the tasks, the number who met the success definition, or any estimate of the proportion meeting it. As a result, the endpoint's observed finding is not reported in the registry record. The study's stated success criterion can be described, but it cannot be treated as a reported success or failure result.

The record lists one outcome measure and zero analyses. It contains no listed inferential result, confidence interval, or test statistic for the usability endpoint. In general, a confidence interval describes the range of values compatible with an estimate under an analysis model; it helps communicate precision as well as the direction or magnitude of an estimate. Without a reported endpoint estimate and interval, the precision of usability performance cannot be assessed from this record.

The study is single group, with no comparator arm. Its design therefore does not estimate a difference between Silk'n HST and another device, a no-device condition, or usual practice. Even if a task-completion result were available, a single-group usability result would describe performance in the studied setting rather than establish a comparative effect. No causal contrast can be inferred from the listed design.

Safety entries list 25 participants at risk for serious adverse events and 0 affected, and 25 at risk for other adverse events and 0 affected. These are the posted adverse-event counts; the registry does not give further event descriptions in the serious-event terms list. The death count is not reported in the registry record. The adverse-event entries should be read separately from the missing usability result: they do not establish how well participants completed the device tasks.

Overall, the registry provides the study purpose, enrollment, design classification, and the definition of its primary usability endpoint. It does not provide the endpoint outcome or an analysis supporting a statistical conclusion about task completion. The information supports describing what the study intended to assess and how its design was structured, but not claiming that participants did or did not meet the endpoint criterion.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The registry classifies the primary outcome as binary and describes it as a count of participants. In general, a binary outcome places each participant into one of two categories, such as meeting or not meeting a prespecified criterion. A count then records how many participants fall into the category of interest. For this study, the stated success definition concerns all subjects completing the device tasks under the specified conditions. The record does not give the count meeting that definition, so no endpoint proportion or uncertainty estimate can be described.

In general, analysis of a binary outcome depends on clearly defined categories, a stated analysis population, and a consistent approach to participants whose outcome is unavailable or unclear. Those details matter because excluding participants or classifying incomplete assessments differently can change the interpretation of a count. The registry record does not report an analysis population, missing-data method, or rules for incomplete or ambiguous task performance. It also does not report individual participant outcomes.

The design is single group. In general, a single-group study can describe outcomes observed in its participants, but it does not by itself provide a controlled estimate of the difference attributable to an intervention. A randomized comparison would use a control group to help separate the intervention contrast from other explanations for a difference. This study has no listed comparator, and the registry explicitly warns that the arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. No treatment contrast should therefore be inferred.

The registry lists allocation as NA and masking as none. These entries indicate that the record does not describe a randomized allocation or masking. They do not establish whether any particular assessment safeguards were used; such details are not reported in the registry record. In general, masking can reduce the influence of expectations on some assessments, while usability tasks may also depend on how instructions and success criteria are standardized. The record does not give enough procedural detail to assess these considerations.

The record lists one outcome measure and zero analyses. In general, a registry analysis entry may provide estimates, comparisons, and statistical methods, while an outcome measure describes what was intended to be assessed. Here, the outcome definition is available, but no analysis is listed. The statistical plan, including any planned model or uncertainty calculation, is not reported in the registry record. It is therefore not possible to determine whether an analysis was planned but omitted from the record, or whether no formal analysis was conducted.

The sample-size assumptions described for planning illustrations are not the study's own design justification. They describe a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation, with the effect to detect stated as a fraction of the observed effect. The guidance distinguishes total events for time-to-event illustrations from participants per arm for other illustrations. In general, such illustrations show how a hypothetical design might be sized under chosen assumptions; they are not observed power and do not establish that a completed study was adequately powered. In this case, the actual study is single group, and an observed endpoint effect is not reported in the registry record. The study's own sample-size justification is not reported in the registry record.

In general, over-dispersion means that observed variation exceeds what a particular statistical model assumes. It can make standard errors too small if the model does not account for that extra variation. This concept is most relevant where outcomes arise from counts with variability beyond a simple model's assumptions. The listed primary endpoint is a participant count from a binary outcome, but no analysis is reported, so there is no fitted model to assess for over-dispersion.

In general, a p-value summarizes how incompatible observed data are with a specified null model, under the assumptions of the test. It does not measure the probability that a hypothesis is true or quantify the practical importance of an outcome. No p-value or hypothesis test is reported for the usability endpoint. Likewise, no confidence interval or adjusted estimate is listed. There is therefore no inferential result to interpret, and no basis for reconstructing an analysis from the endpoint definition alone.

10. Exact Estimates for Each Arm

No two-arm comparison is shown for this trial, but each arm's result can still be summarized with exact interval estimates computed from the posted counts. The Clopper-Pearson interval is exact and conservative; the Wilson interval is a common closer-to-nominal alternative; the Bayesian credible interval uses a uniform Beta(1, 1) prior. For small groups the three can differ noticeably.

ArmParticipantsEventsObserved %Clopper-Pearson 95% CIWilson 95% CIBayesian 95% credible interval
Silk'n HST Treatment2525100.0%86.3% to 100.0%86.7% to 100.0%86.8% to 99.9%

R code and output

arm    <- c("Silk'n HST Treatment")
n      <- c(25)
events <- c(25)
for (i in seq_along(n)) {
  ci <- binom.test(events[i], n[i])$conf.int          # Clopper-Pearson exact interval
  cr <- qbeta(c(0.025, 0.975), 1 + events[i], 1 + n[i] - events[i])   # Bayesian, uniform Beta(1,1) prior
  wi <- (function(x, n) { p <- x / n; z <- qnorm(0.975); d <- 1 + z^2 / n
    c((p + z^2 / (2 * n) - z * sqrt(p * (1 - p) / n + z^2 / (4 * n^2))) / d, (p + z^2 / (2 * n) + z * sqrt(p * (1 - p) / n + z^2 / (4 * n^2))) / d) })(events[i], n[i])
  cat(sprintf("ARM|%s|%d|%d|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f\n", arm[i], n[i], events[i], 100 * events[i] / n[i],
              100 * ci[1], 100 * ci[2], 100 * wi[1], 100 * wi[2], 100 * cr[1], 100 * cr[2]))
}
ARM  Silk'n HST Treatment  25  25  100.0  86.3  100.0  86.7  100.0  86.8  99.9

11. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The record lists one outcome measure, titled Usability Assessment, and zero analyses. The registered primary endpoint is therefore identifiable, but no additional analyzed outcomes or results are listed. The official title refers to self-selection and labeling comprehension as well as device use; results for those topics are not reported in the registry record.

Multiplicity concerns arise when several outcomes, time points, or comparisons are tested, because the chance of at least one apparently notable finding can increase as the number of tests grows. In general, a prespecified analysis plan can explain which outcomes are primary and how multiple tests will be handled. The registry record does not report a multiplicity plan or adjustment. With no listed analyses, there is no reported set of tests from which to assess multiplicity in practice.

Missing-data handling and the analysis population are also not reported in the registry record. The enrollment is 25, but the record does not state how many participants completed the usability assessment, had an evaluable result, withdrew, or were excluded from analysis. It does not explain how incomplete task attempts or missing assessments were classified. These omissions limit assessment of whether the observed outcome, if reported, would represent all enrolled participants or a subset.

In general, missing-data assumptions matter because an analysis that excludes participants with unavailable outcomes may differ from one that treats them as unsuccessful or uses another justified method. No such method can be attributed to this study from the registry information. The absence of these details is distinct from the adverse-event counts, which are listed for 25 participants at risk in each adverse-event category.

12. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Silk'h HST Treatment0250.0%

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 0% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Silk'h HST Treatment0 of 25
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The adverse-event record lists 25 participants at risk for serious adverse events, with 0 affected. It separately lists 25 participants at risk for other adverse events, with 0 affected. These are the posted counts and should be read as registry entries for this study, not as a substitute for a detailed safety report.

The death count is not reported in the registry record. No top serious adverse event terms are listed. The record does not provide descriptions of how adverse events were collected, the duration of safety follow-up, event definitions, or whether any participants had incomplete safety reporting. Those details should not be inferred from the zero counts.

In general, an observed count of zero does not establish that an event is impossible or that risk is absent. The extent to which a zero count informs safety depends on factors such as the number of people assessed, follow-up, and completeness of reporting. The registry entries can be reported as recorded, but they do not establish a broader safety profile or answer the primary usability question.

13. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

This record documents a completed usability study of Silk'n HST, with 25 enrolled participants and a primary task-completion endpoint. The endpoint definition specifies completing device-related tasks without assistance within up to 1 hour and with minimal attempts to ask for assistance. These details clarify what the study intended to assess.

The record does not report the number of participants who met the task-completion criterion. It therefore does not show whether the study's stated success condition was achieved, nor does it provide an estimate of the frequency of successful completion or its precision. The record also lists zero analyses, so there is no reported statistical analysis to interpret.

The study's single-group design and lack of a comparator mean that it cannot provide a randomized comparison with another approach. In general, a usability result from one study group describes performance in that study's setting and among its participants; it does not by itself establish how performance would compare under another device or condition. The registry does not describe the participant characteristics or detailed testing procedures needed to judge how broadly any result might apply.

The title refers to self-selection and labeling comprehension, but the registered primary endpoint focuses on device tasks, and results for self-selection or labeling comprehension are not reported in the registry record. The listed adverse-event counts are 0 affected among 25 at risk for serious adverse events and 0 affected among 25 at risk for other adverse events. The death count is not reported in the registry record. Those safety entries do not fill the gap in the usability outcome.

In short, the record supports a description of the trial's purpose, design, enrollment, endpoint definition, and posted adverse-event counts. It does not support a conclusion about whether participants could use the device successfully, because that endpoint result is not reported. It also does not support a comparative efficacy claim, a broad safety conclusion, or a conclusion about outcomes not reported in the registry record.

14. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

Usability studies ask a distinct kind of question from trials designed to compare clinical outcomes. This study's primary endpoint is about whether participants could carry out specified device tasks under instructions from the user's manual. That focus makes the endpoint definition central: the time condition, lack of assistance, and minimal requests for help all shape what counts as successful use.

Statistically, clear criteria are useful because they make an outcome more reproducible and interpretable. In general, a binary endpoint is straightforward to summarize as a count, but its meaning still depends on the assessment rules, the participants included, and how missing or incomplete performance is treated. The registry describes the task criterion but does not report those additional analysis details or the observed count.

The study also illustrates why design and result reporting need to be read together. A single-group design can be appropriate for describing device-use performance, but it cannot estimate a randomized contrast with a control group. The record explicitly notes that this is not a randomized comparison. In addition, an endpoint definition without an endpoint result cannot answer whether the study's usability criterion was met.

The record's limited reporting is therefore statistically meaningful in itself: it shows which questions are answerable and which remain unresolved. Enrollment, study status, endpoint framing, and adverse-event counts are available, while the primary outcome result, analysis, and analysis population are not reported in the registry record. Separating these registry entries prevents a stated study aim from being mistaken for a demonstrated result.

15. Limitations

The most direct limitation is that the registry does not report the primary usability result. Although the success criterion is described, the number of participants who completed tasks according to that definition is not reported in the registry record. This prevents assessment of the endpoint's observed magnitude or precision.

The study has a single-group design and no listed comparator. The record states that it was not a randomized comparison, so it cannot support a controlled comparison of device use. The registry also does not report a detailed protocol, participant characteristics, or the task-assessment procedures beyond the endpoint description and reference to the user's manual. These omissions limit evaluation of how the assessment was conducted and how applicable the findings might be elsewhere.

The number of participants who completed the endpoint assessment and the analysis population are not reported in the registry record. Missing-data rules, handling of incomplete tasks, and reasons for any unavailable results are also not reported. The statistical analysis plan and the study's own sample-size justification are not reported, and the record lists zero analyses. Consequently, no inferential result can be checked or interpreted.

Although the official title mentions self-selection and labeling comprehension, results for those aspects are not reported in the registry record. Safety details are also limited: the record lists the adverse-event counts but does not report follow-up duration, event-collection procedures, or a death count. These limitations mean the registry information supports a narrow description of the study design and recorded counts, not a complete evaluation of usability or safety.

16. Related Tutorials

17. Related Statistical Calculators

18. Sources

Continue through the Clinical Biostats statistical pathway

Use this trial's endpoint as a starting point for deeper study of effect measures, confidence intervals, and sample-size planning.

19. Record Summary

NCT02919007 is a completed, single-group usability study sponsored by Home Skinovations Ltd. The listed enrollment is 25; the condition is wrinkles, and the intervention is Silk'n HST treatment on the periorbital areas according to the user's manual. The study start and primary completion are both listed as 2015-12.

The primary outcome is a participant-count usability assessment with a timeframe of 1 hour. Success is described as all subjects completing device-related tasks without assistance within up to 1 hour and with minimal attempts to ask for assistance. The record lists one outcome measure and zero analyses. The number meeting the endpoint definition is not reported in the registry record.

The study is not a randomized comparison and has no listed comparator group. The posted safety entries report 0 affected among 25 at risk for serious adverse events and 0 affected among 25 at risk for other adverse events. The death count is not reported in the registry record.

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