← Clinical Trials
HER2+ Metastatic Breast Cancer Phase 3 Time-to-Event Analysis NCT02492711

SOPHIA: Complete Statistical Analysis of Margetuximab in HER2+ Metastatic Breast Cancer

An independent statistical review of the randomized phase 3 SOPHIA trial comparing margetuximab plus chemotherapy with trastuzumab plus chemotherapy in patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer, with emphasis on progression-free survival, overall survival, and the trial's time-to-event methodology.

Trial status: Completed  ·  Phase 3  ·  Enrollment: 624  ·  Sponsor: MacroGenics
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the data reported in the ClinicalTrials.gov record.

1. Trial at a Glance

SOPHIA was a randomized, parallel, open-label phase 3 trial evaluating margetuximab plus physician's choice of chemotherapy versus trastuzumab plus physician's choice of chemotherapy in patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer. The registry reports 624 participants, three arms, and primary time-to-event analyses for progression-free survival and overall survival.

624
Enrollment
Phase 3
3
Arms
Parallel design
0.76
PFS HR
95% CI 0.593–0.979
0.950
OS HR
95% CI 0.774–1.165
FeatureSOPHIA
Trial nameSOPHIA
PhasePhase 3
ConditionHER-2 Positive Breast Cancer; Metastatic Neoplasm
DesignRandomized, parallel, unmasked
AllocationRandomized
Primary purposeTreatment
Enrollment624
Primary endpointsProgression-free survival; overall survival; number of patients with Grade 3 or higher infusion-related reactions
Primary statistical method reportedLog-rank test
Primary effect measureHazard ratio
Hypothesis typeSuperiority
ClinicalTrials.govNCT02492711
Registry timing: the trial started on August 24, 2015 and reached primary completion on August 11, 2021. The registry describes the study as completed.

2. Clinical Question

The central statistical question was whether margetuximab plus chemotherapy differed from trastuzumab plus chemotherapy with respect to time to disease progression or death and time to death from any cause.

Population

Patients enrolled in the phase 3 SOPHIA study with HER-2 positive breast cancer and metastatic neoplasm.

Intervention

Margetuximab plus physician's choice of chemotherapy.

Comparator

Trastuzumab plus physician's choice of chemotherapy.

Primary question

Does margetuximab plus chemotherapy improve the prespecified time-to-event outcomes relative to trastuzumab plus chemotherapy?

3. Trial Design

01
Randomize 624 enrolled
02
Treatment Margetuximab or trastuzumab
03
Chemotherapy Physician's choice
04
Assessment PFS / OS / safety
05
Analysis Log-rank / hazard ratio
Allocation
Randomized
Design model
Parallel
Masking
None
Primary purpose
Treatment
Hypothesis
Superiority
Statistical comparison
Margetuximab plus chemotherapy vs trastuzumab plus chemotherapy
TREATMENT COMPARISON

Margetuximab Plus Chemotherapy

  • Margetuximab, classified in the registry as a biological intervention.
  • Physician's choice of chemotherapy.
  • Primary efficacy comparison against trastuzumab plus chemotherapy.
COMPARATOR

Trastuzumab Plus Chemotherapy

  • Trastuzumab, classified in the registry as a biological intervention.
  • Physician's choice of chemotherapy.
  • Comparator for the primary efficacy analyses.
Three-arm design: the registry reports three study arms overall. The posted primary PFS and OS statistical analyses compare the margetuximab-plus-chemotherapy group with the trastuzumab-plus-chemotherapy group. The 88 participants in the infusion substudy were not part of the randomized study efficacy population for those primary time-to-event analyses.

4. Endpoints

The registry lists three primary endpoints. Two are time-to-event outcomes with formal statistical analyses posted; the third concerns Grade 3 or higher infusion-related reactions during Cycle 2 of margetuximab treatment.

EndpointRegistry definitionTime frameEndpoint type
Progression-free Survival (PFS) as Determined by Independent Radiological Review. PFS is measured from the time of randomization until first documented disease progression or death from any cause, whichever is first. Tumor assessments are conducted every 6 weeks for the first 24 weeks and then every 24 weeks until progression of cancer, up to 6.5 years. Time-to-event
Overall Survival (OS) Defined as the Number of Days From Randomization to the Date of Death (From Any Cause). Overall survival is the time from randomization until death from any cause Throughout the study, average 21 months Time-to-event
Number of Patients With Grade 3 or Higher Infusion Related Reactions Incidence of Grade 3 or higher infusion-related reactions for patients receiving 60-minute or 30-minute infusions of margetuximab in Cycle 2 of treatment 22 days Other / unclear

5. Statistical Methodology

Primary time-to-event framework

The registry reports the log-rank test as the method for both posted primary efficacy analyses. The corresponding effect measure is the hazard ratio (HR), with two-sided 95% confidence intervals.

The analysis notes specify a stratified log-rank test and a stratified Cox proportional model. Thus, the statistical comparison has two complementary components: the log-rank procedure evaluates the time-to-event distributions between the randomized groups, while the Cox model supplies the hazard-ratio estimate and its confidence interval.

Conceptual relationship
HR = estimated hazard in margetuximab + chemotherapy ÷ estimated hazard in trastuzumab + chemotherapy

An HR below 1 indicates a lower estimated instantaneous event rate in the margetuximab group relative to the trastuzumab group under the fitted time-to-event model. It is a relative measure, not an absolute probability.

Analysis populations

For both primary PFS and OS, the registry states that the outcome measure was calculated only for the randomized study efficacy population. The 88 participants in the sub-study were not part of this efficacy population.

EndpointAnalysis population reported by the registryPosted method
Independent-review PFS Randomized study efficacy population; 88 sub-study participants excluded from the efficacy population Stratified log-rank test; stratified Cox proportional model
OS Randomized study efficacy population; 88 sub-study participants excluded from the efficacy population Stratified log-rank test; stratified Cox proportional model
Investigator-assessed PFS Randomized study population; analysis population consisted of patients who had investigator-assessed responses to treatment as of the interim analysis Stratified log-rank test; stratified Cox proportional model

Stratified analysis

The registry identifies stratified analysis as an additional concept in all three posted statistical analyses. The ClinicalTrials.gov record does not identify the specific stratification variables, so this page does not infer them.

Interim analysis and alpha spending

The secondary investigator-assessed PFS analysis explicitly includes interim analysis / alpha spending among its statistical concepts. This indicates that the interpretation of that analysis involves an interim-analysis framework rather than treating the reported p-value as if it arose from an isolated single final look.

Important limitation: the ClinicalTrials.gov record does not specify the alpha-spending function, information fractions, efficacy boundaries, or the numerical alpha allocated at the interim analysis. Those details should therefore not be inferred from the reported p-value.

6. Results: Primary Progression-Free Survival

The registry reports a formal superiority analysis of progression-free survival as determined by independent radiological review. The comparison was margetuximab plus chemotherapy versus trastuzumab plus chemotherapy.

Hazard ratio for progression or death

0.76

95% CI: 0.593–0.979   ·   P = 0.0334

Two-sided confidence interval; stratified log-rank test and stratified Cox proportional model.

FeaturePrimary PFS analysis
EndpointProgression-free Survival (PFS) as Determined by Independent Radiological Review.
ComparisonMargetuximab Plus Chemotherapy vs Trastuzumab Plus Chemotherapy
Analysis populationRandomized study efficacy population
Effect measureHazard ratio
Estimate0.76
95% CI0.593–0.979
P-value0.0334
HypothesisSuperiority
Clinical Biostats interpretation

The reported HR of 0.76 means that the estimated instantaneous rate of progression or death was approximately 24% lower in the margetuximab-plus-chemotherapy group than in the trastuzumab-plus-chemotherapy group under the fitted hazard model. The arithmetic interpretation follows directly from 1 − 0.76 = 0.24.

The HR does not mean that 24% of patients avoided progression, that each patient had exactly a 24% lower probability of progression, or that median PFS was reduced or increased by 24%. It is a relative time-to-event measure.

The two-sided 95% CI of 0.593–0.979 describes uncertainty around the estimated hazard ratio under the statistical model and sampling framework. It is narrower than a very imprecise estimate would be, but it still spans a range of plausible relative treatment effects rather than identifying one exact effect.

The P-value of 0.0334 addresses the evidence against the null hypothesis in the prespecified statistical comparison. It does not measure the size of the treatment effect, the probability that the treatment works, or the clinical importance of the effect.

Because the analysis is based on a Cox proportional-hazards model, interpretation of one HR also depends on the model's proportional-hazards framework. The ClinicalTrials.gov record does not provide diagnostics for that assumption, so the HR should be interpreted as the model-based summary reported by the trial rather than as a complete description of how the treatment effects behaved at every point in time.

7. Results: Primary Overall Survival

The second formal primary efficacy analysis evaluated overall survival, defined as the number of days from randomization to the date of death from any cause.

Hazard ratio for death

0.950

95% CI: 0.774–1.165   ·   P = 0.6204

Two-sided confidence interval; stratified log-rank test and stratified Cox proportional model.

FeaturePrimary OS analysis
EndpointOverall Survival (OS) Defined as the Number of Days From Randomization to the Date of Death (From Any Cause).
ComparisonMargetuximab Plus Chemotherapy vs Trastuzumab Plus Chemotherapy
Analysis populationRandomized study efficacy population
Effect measureHazard ratio
Estimate0.950
95% CI0.774–1.165
P-value0.6204
HypothesisSuperiority
Clinical Biostats interpretation

The reported HR of 0.950 is close to 1.00. Under the fitted time-to-event model, the estimated instantaneous rate of death in the margetuximab-plus-chemotherapy group was approximately 95% of that in the trastuzumab-plus-chemotherapy group.

This does not mean that the two treatments have identical survival for every patient. The estimate is subject to statistical uncertainty, and individual patients can experience very different event times.

The two-sided 95% CI of 0.774–1.165 is particularly important here because it includes 1.00. The interval indicates that the observed estimate is compatible with a range of relative hazard values on both sides of the null value under the model and sampling framework.

The P-value of 0.6204 is not a measure of how large or small the treatment effect is. Rather, it quantifies the compatibility of the observed test statistic with the null hypothesis under the specified statistical test. A large p-value does not prove that the treatment effects are identical.

The analysis was designed as a superiority comparison. Therefore, this result should not be reinterpreted as a formal non-inferiority test or as proof of equivalence. A superiority analysis and a non-inferiority analysis answer different statistical questions and use different decision rules.

8. Primary Infusion-Related Reaction Endpoint

The third registered primary endpoint was the number of patients with Grade 3 or higher infusion-related reactions. The registry defines this as the incidence of Grade 3 or higher infusion-related reactions among patients receiving 60-minute or 30-minute infusions of margetuximab in Cycle 2 of treatment, with a time frame of 22 days.

What the ClinicalTrials.gov record reports: the endpoint is listed as a primary endpoint and results are marked as posted. However, the posted results include no formal statistical analysis, estimate, confidence interval, or p-value for this endpoint. Accordingly, this page does not manufacture a comparison or infer a numerical result that is not present in the ClinicalTrials.gov record.

For a binary safety endpoint of this type, an analysis could ordinarily summarize the number and proportion of patients experiencing the event and, when a randomized comparison is intended, compare event risks using an appropriate exact or asymptotic method. The appropriate method depends on the actual analysis population, event counts, and prespecified statistical plan. None of those additional numerical details are reported here for this endpoint.

9. Secondary Endpoint Result: Investigator-Assessed PFS

The registry also reports a formal secondary analysis of progression-free survival as assessed by study investigators. The analysis population consisted of patients who had investigator-assessed responses to treatment as of the interim analysis, and the outcome was calculated only for the randomized study population.

Investigator-assessed PFS hazard ratio

0.70

95% CI: 0.556–0.870   ·   P = 0.0014

Two-sided confidence interval; stratified log-rank test and stratified Cox proportional model.

FeatureSecondary investigator-assessed PFS analysis
ComparisonMargetuximab Plus Chemotherapy vs Trastuzumab Plus Chemotherapy
Analysis populationRandomized study population; patients with investigator-assessed responses as of the interim analysis
Effect measureHazard ratio
Estimate0.70
95% CI0.556–0.870
P-value0.0014
HypothesisSuperiority
Additional statistical conceptsInterim analysis / alpha spending; stratified analysis
Clinical Biostats interpretation

An HR of 0.70 corresponds to an estimated instantaneous rate of progression or death approximately 30% lower in the margetuximab-plus-chemotherapy group under the fitted model.

The estimate does not imply that 30% of patients experienced a benefit, that each patient had a 30% lower probability of progression, or that survival time increased by a fixed 30%. Those interpretations would require different measures.

The 95% CI of 0.556–0.870 quantifies uncertainty around the estimated relative hazard. It remains entirely below 1.00, although the width of the interval demonstrates that the exact magnitude of the treatment effect is not known with certainty.

The P-value of 0.0014 is evidence against the null hypothesis under the reported test. It is not an effect-size metric and should not be read as a probability that the treatment effect is real.

Because this analysis is explicitly associated with an interim analysis / alpha-spending framework, its p-value must be interpreted in the context of the trial's sequential monitoring plan. The ClinicalTrials.gov record does not identify the exact alpha-spending function or boundary, so no additional numerical inference is made here.

10. Comparing the Two PFS Analyses

The registry provides two different PFS analyses: one based on independent radiological review as a primary endpoint and one based on study-investigator assessment as a secondary endpoint. Both use the same broad time-to-event framework but have different assessment sources and analysis roles.

FeatureIndependent-review PFSInvestigator-assessed PFS
Endpoint rolePrimarySecondary
AssessmentIndependent radiological reviewStudy investigators
HR0.760.70
95% CI0.593–0.9790.556–0.870
P-value0.03340.0014
Statistical methodStratified log-rank test; stratified Cox proportional modelStratified log-rank test; stratified Cox proportional model
Interim-analysis conceptNot specified in the ClinicalTrials.gov recordInterim analysis / alpha spending explicitly identified

The two hazard ratios should not be treated as competing estimates in which one must be selected as the "true" treatment effect. They arise from different PFS assessment frameworks and occupy different roles in the statistical hierarchy. The primary endpoint should retain its prespecified role when describing the main efficacy analysis, while the investigator-assessed result provides a related secondary assessment.

11. Statistical Methods Explained

Why was a log-rank test used?

Both primary efficacy endpoints are time-to-event outcomes. A log-rank test is designed to compare event-time distributions between groups while incorporating information from patients who have not yet experienced the event at the time of analysis. This is important because simply comparing the proportion of patients who have progressed or died would discard information about when events occurred and how long patients were followed without an event.

What does an HR of 0.76 mean?

An HR of 0.76 is a relative model-based comparison of instantaneous event rates. It corresponds to an estimated 24% lower instantaneous rate in the margetuximab group relative to the trastuzumab group under the fitted model. It is not a 24-percentage-point difference in the probability of progression and does not describe an individual's treatment effect.

Why does the confidence interval matter?

A point estimate such as 0.76 is only one estimate from the observed data. The 95% CI of 0.593–0.979 communicates the statistical uncertainty surrounding that estimate. The same principle applies to the OS estimate of 0.950 and its interval of 0.774–1.165. A confidence interval therefore adds information that a point estimate alone cannot provide.

Why doesn't the p-value measure effect size?

The p-value concerns the evidence against a specified null hypothesis under the statistical model. It depends on the effect estimate, its variability, and the amount of information in the analysis. Consequently, a smaller p-value does not automatically represent a larger clinical effect, and a larger p-value does not establish that there is no effect.

Why use a stratified analysis?

The registry identifies the primary analyses as stratified log-rank tests with stratified Cox proportional models. Stratification allows the time-to-event comparison to account for prespecified strata rather than treating all participants as though the relevant stratification structure were absent. The ClinicalTrials.gov record does not identify the specific strata, so this page does not name them.

Why does interim analysis matter?

The secondary investigator-assessed PFS analysis is explicitly associated with interim analysis and alpha spending. When accumulating trial data are examined more than once, the statistical design must account for repeated looks if the overall type I error is to remain controlled according to the prespecified plan. The ClinicalTrials.gov record identifies the concept but do not specify the exact spending function or boundary.

Why does the analysis population matter?

The primary PFS and OS outcomes were calculated only for the randomized study efficacy population, excluding the 88 participants in the sub-study. Analysis populations define which observations contribute to an estimate. Mixing participants from different study components could change the estimand and make a reported result difficult to interpret.

12. Understanding the Hazard Ratio More Deeply

Relative event-rate interpretation
HR < 1  →  lower estimated instantaneous event rate in the margetuximab group

The distance of the HR from 1 describes the relative treatment effect estimated by the model. It does not directly provide a median survival difference, absolute risk difference, or number needed to treat.

PFS HR = 0.76

The estimated instantaneous rate of progression or death was approximately 76% of the comparator rate under the fitted model.

OS HR = 0.950

The estimated instantaneous rate of death was approximately 95% of the comparator rate under the fitted model.

Investigator PFS HR = 0.70

The estimated instantaneous rate of progression or death was approximately 70% of the comparator rate under the fitted model.

HR is not a probability

A hazard ratio should not be interpreted as the probability that a particular patient will experience progression, death, or benefit.

The three HRs illustrate why endpoint definition matters. PFS and OS are different event processes, and independent-review PFS and investigator-assessed PFS use different assessment frameworks. Even though all three analyses use a hazard ratio, their estimates should not be collapsed into one overall statistic.

13. P-Values and Confidence Intervals in SOPHIA

AnalysisHR95% CIP-valueNull value inside CI?
Primary independent-review PFS0.760.593–0.9790.0334No
Primary OS0.9500.774–1.1650.6204Yes
Secondary investigator-assessed PFS0.700.556–0.8700.0014No

For a hazard ratio, the null value is 1.00. A confidence interval that excludes 1.00 is consistent with evidence against the null hypothesis at the corresponding two-sided confidence level, assuming the interval and test are based on compatible procedures. That statistical relationship should not be confused with clinical importance.

Do not rank p-values: 0.0014 being smaller than 0.0334 does not mean that the corresponding treatment effect is necessarily larger or more clinically important. The analyses concern different endpoint roles and assessment frameworks.

14. Interim Analysis and Alpha Spending

The registry specifically identifies interim analysis / alpha spending as a concept in the secondary investigator-assessed PFS analysis. This is an important feature of clinical-trial statistics because repeated examination of accumulating data can affect the probability of a false-positive result if the design does not account for those repeated looks.

Why alpha spending is used

An alpha-spending framework distributes the allowable type I error across planned analyses or information times rather than treating every interim look as though it were the only analysis.

What is not reported here

The trial data provided do not specify the spending function, information fractions, stopping boundaries, or exact alpha allocated to the interim analysis.

Consequently, the reported p-value of 0.0014 should be read as the registry-reported result within the documented interim-analysis framework, not as a basis for reconstructing an unreported sequential-testing design.

15. Stratified Survival Analysis

Stratification appears explicitly in the statistical-analysis descriptions for all three posted efficacy analyses. The primary analyses are described as stratified log-rank tests with stratified Cox proportional models.

Why stratification can matter
Compare treatment groups within strata → combine information across strata

The purpose is to preserve the analysis structure associated with the trial design and avoid ignoring known stratification factors. The ClinicalTrials.gov record does not state which variables define the strata.

A stratified Cox model generally estimates a common treatment hazard ratio across the strata while allowing the baseline hazard to differ between strata. That description explains the statistical role of stratification without assuming unreported details about the SOPHIA protocol.

16. Safety Results

The ClinicalTrials.gov record reports serious adverse events by study arm as affected patients divided by patients at risk. These data are presented exactly as reported in the registry rather than converted into additional derived statistics.

Study groupSerious adverse events, affected / at risk
Margetuximab Plus Chemotherapy47 / 264
Trastuzumab Plus Chemotherapy51 / 266
Margetuximab Infusion Substudy17 / 88

The serious-adverse-event counts should be kept distinct from the primary efficacy outcomes. They answer a safety question rather than a time-to-progression or overall-survival question.

Safety interpretation: the ClinicalTrials.gov record identifies the number affected and the number at risk, but do not provide a formal comparative statistical analysis for serious adverse events. This page therefore does not assign a p-value, hazard ratio, risk ratio, or confidence interval to these safety counts.

17. Analysis Population and the 88-Participant Substudy

The registry makes an explicit distinction between the randomized efficacy population and an 88-participant substudy. This distinction is statistically important because a trial can contain multiple study components with different purposes and populations.

Population componentRole in the ClinicalTrials.gov record
Randomized study efficacy populationUsed for primary PFS and OS outcome measures
88-participant substudyNot part of the efficacy population for primary PFS and OS
Infusion substudy safety group17 / 88 reported for serious adverse events

This distinction prevents a common statistical mistake: treating every participant in a clinical trial record as though every participant contributes to every endpoint. The estimand for an endpoint is determined not only by the outcome definition but also by the population included in its analysis.

18. What the PFS Result Does — and Does Not — Mean

Statistical interpretation

The primary independent-review PFS analysis reported an HR of 0.76. Under the fitted time-to-event model, the estimated instantaneous rate of progression or death was approximately 24% lower with margetuximab plus chemotherapy than with trastuzumab plus chemotherapy.

This does not mean that 24% of patients were protected from progression, that PFS time increased by 24%, or that every patient experienced the same relative reduction.

Precision

The 95% CI of 0.593–0.979 communicates uncertainty around the HR estimate. The point estimate is not a complete description of the statistical evidence; the interval shows how broad the compatible range of relative hazard values is under the model and sampling framework.

P-value

The P-value of 0.0334 evaluates the observed statistical evidence against the relevant null hypothesis under the reported test. It does not quantify the magnitude of benefit or the probability that an individual patient will benefit.

19. What the OS Result Does — and Does Not — Mean

Statistical interpretation

The primary OS analysis reported an HR of 0.950. Under the fitted model, the estimated instantaneous rate of death in the margetuximab-plus-chemotherapy group was approximately 95% of that in the trastuzumab-plus-chemotherapy group.

The estimate does not establish that the treatments are identical. It is an estimate with uncertainty, reflected by the 95% CI of 0.774–1.165.

Confidence interval

Because the interval crosses the HR null value of 1.00, the reported data are compatible with relative hazard values below and above 1.00 under the model. The interval therefore provides more information than the point estimate alone.

Superiority framework

The registry identifies the hypothesis type as superiority. Therefore, an OS result that does not provide evidence of superiority should not be relabeled as a non-inferiority or equivalence result. Those are separate statistical hypotheses with separate design requirements.

20. Missing Data, Censoring, and Time-to-Event Interpretation

Time-to-event analysis differs from an analysis of a simple binary endpoint because patients can contribute follow-up even when they have not yet experienced the event. A patient who remains progression-free at the time their observation ends is not equivalent to a patient who progressed immediately; the timing of observation contributes information to the analysis.

The ClinicalTrials.gov record defines PFS as time from randomization until first documented progression or death, whichever occurs first, and OS as time from randomization until death from any cause. These definitions imply that time-to-event methods are central to the analysis.

The ClinicalTrials.gov record does not report median PFS, median OS, Kaplan-Meier survival probabilities, event counts for the efficacy analyses, censoring distributions, or missing-data/imputation procedures. Those quantities are therefore not added to this page.

For censored observations, Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox regression are commonly used because they can incorporate differing follow-up durations. The registry's posted methodology identifies the log-rank and Cox approaches but does not provide a complete censoring or missing-data analysis plan in the ClinicalTrials.gov record.

21. Limitations

22. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

SOPHIA is a useful teaching example because it combines randomized treatment allocation with multiple time-to-event analyses, stratified log-rank testing, Cox proportional-hazards modeling, two-sided confidence intervals, p-values, an interim-analysis concept, and a distinct infusion-related safety endpoint.

ConceptHow it appears in SOPHIA
RandomizationThe registry identifies the allocation as randomized.
Parallel designThe registry identifies a parallel design model.
Time-to-event endpointsPFS and OS are both primary time-to-event outcomes.
Log-rank testReported for the primary PFS and OS analyses and the secondary investigator-assessed PFS analysis.
Hazard ratioUsed as the reported effect measure for the posted efficacy analyses.
Confidence intervalTwo-sided 95% CIs accompany all three posted efficacy estimates.
Stratified analysisIdentified in the analysis descriptions for PFS and OS.
Cox modelStratified Cox proportional model reported for the efficacy analyses.
Interim analysisExplicitly identified for the investigator-assessed PFS analysis.
Alpha spendingIdentified as an analysis concept for the secondary investigator-assessed PFS endpoint.
Superiority testingThe posted analyses are identified as superiority hypotheses.
Analysis populationsThe primary efficacy analyses exclude the 88 substudy participants from the randomized efficacy population.
Safety endpointGrade 3 or higher infusion-related reactions are registered as a primary endpoint.

23. Related Tutorials

Learn more about the methods used in this trial:

24. Related Calculators

25. Sources

Continue through the Clinical Biostats statistical pathway

Use the trial's endpoints and methods as a starting point for deeper study of survival analysis, hazard ratios, confidence intervals, interim analyses, and clinical-trial methodology.

26. Record Summary

SOPHIA provides a clear example of how randomized clinical-trial evidence can be expressed through time-to-event statistics. The ClinicalTrials.gov record reports a primary independent-review PFS hazard ratio of 0.76 with a two-sided 95% CI of 0.593–0.979 and P = 0.0334, alongside a primary OS hazard ratio of 0.950 with a two-sided 95% CI of 0.774–1.165 and P = 0.6204. A secondary investigator-assessed PFS analysis reported an HR of 0.70, 95% CI 0.556–0.870, and P = 0.0014.

The statistical story is not contained in the hazard ratios alone. Interpretation also depends on the endpoint definitions, the randomized efficacy population, the use of stratified log-rank and Cox methods, the interim-analysis and alpha-spending context of the secondary PFS analysis, and the distinction between efficacy and safety endpoints. The registry data also make clear that the 88-participant substudy was excluded from the primary efficacy population.

Clinical Biostats methodology: A trial-results page should distinguish reported statistical evidence from educational interpretation. For SOPHIA, the ClinicalTrials.gov record supports a focused analysis of randomized time-to-event methodology, hazard ratios, confidence intervals, p-values, stratification, interim analysis, and the relationship between efficacy and safety populations without adding unreported trial results.