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Tracheal Intubation Morbidity Phase not stated Registry Results NCT01215422

Success of Pediatric Anesthesiologists in Learning to Use Videolaryngoscopes: Complete Statistical Analysis

The registry record describes a study of anesthesiologists learning to use videolaryngoscopes in children, with success classified by intubation attempts and timing. The primary outcome result and the registry’s detailed statistical analysis plan are not reported in the registry record.

Trial start: 2007-01  ·  Enrollment: 646  ·  Sponsor: University of Alberta
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Success of Pediatric Anesthesiologists in Learning to Use Videolaryngoscopes (NCT01215422), a registered phase not stated study. The primary outcome is Success in Learning to Use a Videolaryngoscope(VLS).

646
Enrollment
Phase not stated
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT01215422
PhasePhase not stated
ConditionTracheal Intubation Morbidity
AllocationNot Stated
Design modelNot Stated
MaskingNot Stated
Enrollment646
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorUniversity of Alberta
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The study concerned anesthesiologists intubating children. For the primary outcome, only anesthesiologists who completed a minimum of 18 intubations with either laryngoscope were analyzed. The registry does not report the number who met this criterion or describe the children’s ages or other eligibility details; these are not reported in the registry record.

Intervention

The registry describes children intubated with Glidescope and children intubated with DCI. The study assessed how readily anesthesiologists learned to use videolaryngoscopes, with timed intubation listed as the intervention. The detailed use procedures beyond the learning criteria are not reported in the registry record.

Comparator

The record names the two laryngoscope arms, but does not describe a randomized allocation or establish that the arms form a like-for-like control comparison. Allocation is not stated. The intended comparator structure and any adjustment for differences between groups are not reported in the registry record.

Primary question

The primary question was what percentage of anesthesiologists achieved rapid or delayed success in learning to use a videolaryngoscope, according to criteria based on failed attempts and intubation time. The registry describes the criteria but does not report the observed percentage or the results by laryngoscope. The primary outcome result is not reported in the registry record.

3. Trial Design

This completed study, NCT01215422, is titled “Success of Pediatric Anesthesiologists in Learning to Use Videolaryngoscopes.” The registry lists the University of Alberta as sponsor, an enrollment of 646, a start of 2007-01, and primary completion in 2011-07. The study concerned tracheal intubation morbidity and the learning process for videolaryngoscopes in children.

The record describes children intubated with Glidescope and children intubated with DCI. Timed intubation is listed as a procedure. The primary outcome is expressed as a percentage of anesthesiologists, rather than as a child-level clinical outcome. The registry says that anesthesiologists were to perform 20 intubations with each videolaryngoscope. The first 1-10 were designated for practice, followed by assessment of success using later attempts.

This is not described as a randomized comparison, and allocation is not stated. The record therefore does not establish that the two arms can be interpreted as exchangeable treatment groups. Further details about assignment, masking, study setting, eligibility criteria beyond the primary analysis population, and any concurrent or sequential use of the devices are not reported in the registry record.

The registry lists six outcome measures and three analyses. Secondary outcomes include Cormack & Lehane Score, time to intubation analyzed by order of laryngoscopes used, time to intubation stratified by patient weight, mean years since completion of anesthesiology residency, and the number of intubation attempts to reach the “Best Obtainable Time to Intubation.” The outcome results and detailed analysis descriptions are not reported in the registry record.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Before assignment: Patients with anticipated difficult airways were excluded.

Overall Study

StageOverall AnesthesiologistsBaseline Intubation ParticipantsKS Intubation ParticipantsGS Intubation Participants
STARTED14249196201
COMPLETED6249193193
NOT COMPLETED8038

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonOverall AnesthesiologistsBaseline Intubation ParticipantsKS Intubation ParticipantsGS Intubation Participants
Relocation1000
Failed intubations0038
Did not complete all intubations7000

Analysis population for the primary outcome, as defined in the registry: Only anesthesiologists who completed minimum 18 intubations with either laryngoscope were analyzed for the primary outcome.

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitOverall AnesthesiologistsBaseline Intubation ParticipantsKS Intubation ParticipantsGS Intubaton ParticipantsTotal
Participants analysed13249196201659
Age, Categorical: <=18 yearsParticipants0249196201646
Age, Categorical: Between 18 and 65 yearsParticipants1300013
Age, Categorical: >=65 yearsParticipants00000
Sex/Gender, Customized: Unknownparticipants0249196201646
Sex/Gender, Customized: Maleparticipants60006
Sex/Gender, Customized: Femaleparticipants70007

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Success in Learning to Use a Videolaryngoscope(VLS), measured over Up to 5 minutes per intubation.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeNumber
Measure of spreadnot applicable
Unitpercent of anesthesiologists
Endpoint classificationnot reduced to a single comparison

The primary endpoint is the percentage of anesthesiologists classified as achieving success in learning to use a videolaryngoscope. The registry defines rapid success as having no failed intubation attempts on attempts 11-20 and a median time to intubation no more than 50% longer than the operator’s baseline median time on attempts 11-15. Delayed success uses those same parameters on attempts 16-20 if they were not achieved on attempts 11-15. Operators who met neither definition were classified as having no success.

This endpoint combines a measure of procedural reliability, failed attempts, with a measure of speed, time to intubation. A combined classification can describe whether learning met both stated criteria, rather than treating speed alone as adequate performance. The listed timeframe is up to 5 minutes per intubation. The registry does not report the observed percentages for rapid, delayed, or no success, or how those categories were distributed between the laryngoscopes; these results are not reported in the registry record.

The primary analysis population was restricted to anesthesiologists who completed a minimum of 18 intubations with either laryngoscope. The record does not report how many operators qualified or how incomplete attempts were handled. Because the endpoint is operator-level, it should not be read as the percentage of children with a particular outcome.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Not a randomized comparison (allocation: not stated); arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record gives the primary endpoint definition but not its observed result. It therefore does not establish what percentage of anesthesiologists achieved rapid, delayed, or no success, and it does not permit a numerical comparison between Glidescope and DCI on the primary outcome. The record also does not report estimates of uncertainty, such as confidence intervals, or a test of a difference between groups. Those results are not reported in the registry record.

The outcome is a rule-based classification. It requires both no failed attempts in the designated assessment attempts and a median time meeting the stated threshold relative to baseline. An operator could therefore fail the classification by not meeting either component. The separate contributions of failed attempts and time are not given in the record. Without those component results, the classification cannot reveal whether any difference arose mainly from reliability, speed, or both.

The study’s question is about anesthesiologist learning, but the listed arms are framed as children intubated with the respective devices. The primary measure is instead expressed as a percentage of anesthesiologists. That difference in unit matters: an operator-level learning result is not interchangeable with a child-level outcome, and the record does not provide an analysis linking the two levels.

The record identifies the minimum completion requirement for the primary outcome, but does not state how many anesthesiologists fulfilled it. The enrollment figure of 646 is not a substitute for the number in this analysis population. It also does not indicate how many children or intubations contributed to the primary endpoint, nor whether all enrolled participants contributed to any outcome.

The registry identifies secondary outcomes involving airway view, intubation timing, operator experience, and attempts to reach a best obtainable time. Their numerical results, uncertainty, and analysis details are not reported in the registry record. Consequently, no conclusion about these outcomes or their relationship to the learning classification can be drawn from the available record.

Any planning illustrations based on an observed effect should be distinguished from the trial’s results. Such illustrations are not observed power and do not fill the gap left by the missing outcome estimates. The assumptions stated for the planning illustration are a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation; the record does not include the values needed to interpret a numerical planning result.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The registry describes a learning endpoint based on repeated intubations and a categorical success rule. It does not report the observed primary outcome, the detailed statistical analysis plan, or the numerical analyses for the listed secondary outcomes. General statistical explanations below clarify how such measures are usually interpreted; they are not claims about analyses performed in this study.

What does a percentage of operators describe?

A percentage summarizes the proportion of operators in an analysis population who satisfy a defined category. Here, the endpoint distinguishes rapid success, delayed success, and no success. For a percentage to be interpreted, its denominator and analysis population need to be clear. The registry specifies that the primary analysis included only anesthesiologists completing a minimum of 18 intubations with either laryngoscope, but the number analyzed is not reported in the registry record. Nor are category counts or percentages reported.

Operator-level outcomes should be kept distinct from patient-level outcomes. Multiple intubations may be associated with the same operator, so treating every procedure as though it were an independent operator-level observation could misrepresent uncertainty. General statistical methods can account for clustering when outcomes are analyzed at more than one level. The registry’s detailed approach to repeated procedures and operator clustering is not reported in the registry record.

Why does the success rule use both attempts and time?

The definition makes success depend on two features: failed attempts and median time to intubation. Combining criteria can make the endpoint more informative than either feature alone, but it also creates a threshold-based classification. Results near the time threshold may be classified differently from results that clearly meet it, even if their underlying performance is similar. The registry does not report the distribution of times or failed attempts, so the sensitivity of the classification to its thresholds cannot be assessed from the record.

A median describes the middle of an ordered set of observations and is less affected by an unusually long time than a mean. However, medians alone do not describe the full spread or shape of a time distribution. A confidence interval, when reported, conveys statistical uncertainty around an estimate under the assumptions of the analysis; it does not show the full range of individual experiences. No confidence intervals or distributions for the primary outcome are reported in the registry record.

How should time-to-intubation outcomes be understood?

Time to intubation is a duration measure. The registry lists analyses by order of laryngoscopes used and by patient weight, but does not give the corresponding estimates or specify the statistical models. General analysis of duration data may use means, medians, or models depending on the distribution and study design. If the analysis concerns time until an event, methods may also need to account for observations where the event is not observed within the available follow-up. The registry does not state that such methods were used in this trial.

Order of device use may be important in a learning study because experience can change performance over successive attempts. A comparison that ignores order could mix device differences with learning or sequence effects. Conversely, a stratified or adjusted analysis can address such features only if the relevant design and analysis details are known. The registry lists an outcome analyzed by order, but the analysis method and results are not reported in the registry record.

What does over-dispersion mean in general?

For count outcomes, a simple statistical model may assume that variability follows a specified relationship to the mean. Over-dispersion means the observed variability is greater than that assumption allows. If it is ignored, uncertainty can be understated and statistical tests can become too optimistic. Alternative models or robust uncertainty estimates may be appropriate in general. This is a general statistical point; the registry does not report whether over-dispersion was assessed or whether count models were used.

What do the planning assumptions mean?

The registry’s planning illustration is described as using a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation, with the target effect expressed as a stated fraction of the observed effect. General sample-size calculations estimate the participants per arm needed to detect an assumed effect under specified assumptions. They are planning illustrations, not observed power, and they are not evidence that the study was designed with those assumptions. The record does not report that these were the trial’s original design assumptions, nor does it provide the numerical effect or planning outputs in the registry record for this account.

Recalculated estimates, when based only on posted summary statistics, are simple unadjusted calculations and should not replace a sponsor’s own analysis. No such recalculated result or discrepancy is described in the registry record. The record’s detailed inferential methods, including model specifications, adjustments, handling of repeated observations, and uncertainty calculations, are not reported in the registry record.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry lists a primary outcome and several secondary outcomes, including airway view, intubation time under different classifications, operator experience, and attempts to reach the best obtainable time. When multiple outcomes or analyses are examined, the chance of at least one apparently notable result can increase. General approaches to multiplicity include designating a primary endpoint in advance, adjusting inference across tests, or treating secondary analyses as exploratory. The registry does not report a multiplicity strategy, a hierarchy among secondary outcomes, or which analyses were confirmatory; these details are not reported in the registry record.

The record identifies the primary analysis population as anesthesiologists who completed a minimum of 18 intubations with either laryngoscope. It does not state how many met that criterion, how missing attempts or incomplete operator records were handled, or whether the analysis followed an intention-to-treat principle. The way missing data were addressed is not reported in the registry record.

Enrollment of 646 does not indicate the size of the primary analysis population. The record does not provide a participant flow, reasons for non-completion, exclusions from particular outcomes, or denominators for the primary success categories. These omissions limit assessment of selection into the analyzed population and of whether incomplete participation could affect the findings.

The registry also does not describe the allocation process, which prevents assessment of baseline comparability or the role of confounding in the arm comparison. The detailed statistical analysis plan, including any pre-specified subgroup analyses or sensitivity analyses, is not reported in the registry record.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Overall Anesthesiologists0130.0%
Baseline Intubation Participants02490.0%
KS Intubation Participants01960.0%
GS Intubaton Participants02010.0%

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 1% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Overall Anesthesiologists0 of 13
Baseline Intubation Participants2 of 249
KS Intubation Participants2 of 196
GS Intubaton Participants4 of 201

Most frequent non-serious adverse event terms

Event termOrgan systemOverall AnesthesiologistsBaseline Intubation ParticipantsKS Intubation ParticipantsGS Intubaton Participants
Traumatic intubationInjury, poisoning and procedural complications0 of 132 of 2492 of 1964 of 201
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry lists serious adverse events as zero in each of the recorded groups: Overall Anesthesiologists, Baseline Intubation Participants, KS Intubation Participants, and GS Intubaton Participants. The corresponding numbers at risk are 13, 249, 196, and 201, respectively, as listed in the record. These are group-specific entries; the record does not clarify whether groups overlap, so they should not be added or treated as independent populations.

The “other” adverse-event entries are 0 for Overall Anesthesiologists, 2 for Baseline Intubation Participants, 2 for KS Intubation Participants, and 4 for GS Intubaton Participants. The specific event terms and their clinical descriptions are not reported in the registry record. These figures should not be interpreted as a complete account of the nature, severity, timing, or relationship of events to a device.

Deaths are not reported in the registry record. The absence of a serious event entry in these listed groups is a description of the registry entries, not proof that no events occurred outside the recorded scope or that the devices are safe. The record does not provide comparative safety estimates or uncertainty around these counts.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The registry record documents a study designed to assess how anesthesiologists learn to use videolaryngoscopes in children. Its primary endpoint is a defined operator-level classification based on failed attempts and median intubation time. The criteria distinguish rapid success, delayed success, and no success, and specify a minimum number of completed intubations for inclusion in the primary analysis.

The record does not report the primary outcome percentages, arm-specific results, uncertainty estimates, or detailed secondary outcome results. It therefore does not support a conclusion about the observed level of learning or about a difference between Glidescope and DCI. The result is not reported in the registry record.

Even if an outcome estimate were available, the endpoint would represent performance under the stated learning criteria, not every aspect of intubation quality or patient experience. It is not itself a measure of morbidity, and the registry does not provide results that connect the learning classification to clinical outcomes in children. The child-level and operator-level questions should not be conflated.

The study is not described as a randomized comparison, and allocation is not stated. Any contrast between the named arms could therefore be affected by design features or differences between groups that the record does not describe. A non-randomized arm comparison cannot automatically be read as a causal estimate of one device’s effect relative to another.

The enrollment figure and completion dates describe the registered study, but do not establish how many operators contributed to the primary analysis or how complete the outcome data were. Missingness, exclusions, and analysis methods are not reported in the registry record. The most defensible interpretation is therefore descriptive: the record defines a learning outcome and lists study arms and safety counts, while leaving the primary efficacy result and important analytical details unavailable.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial is statistically notable because its main question concerns learning over repeated procedures rather than a single procedure outcome. Performance can change with experience, so the order of attempts and the order of laryngoscope use are relevant to interpreting time and success. The registry explicitly lists time to intubation analyzed by order of laryngoscopes used and attempts to reach a best obtainable time, but does not report the results or methods for those analyses.

The primary endpoint also combines a reliability condition with a timing condition. This makes the learning classification clinically interpretable as a threshold-based rule, while making it important to examine the components as well as the overall category. Without component results, a single success percentage would not explain whether failed attempts, time, or both drove the classification. The record does not report those component summaries.

The analysis population is another important statistical feature. Eligibility for the primary analysis required a minimum of 18 completed intubations with either laryngoscope. Learning results among operators who complete that amount of practice may not describe operators with less complete exposure. The number meeting the criterion and the handling of incomplete data are not reported in the registry record.

Finally, the study’s named arms should not be mistaken for a randomized comparison. Allocation is not stated, and the registry does not establish comparability between groups. Statistical interpretation depends not only on the endpoint definition but also on the design, analysis population, and uncertainty around estimates. Here, those elements are incompletely described, and the primary result is not reported in the registry record.

14. Limitations

A central limitation is that the registry record does not report the primary outcome result. It provides the success criteria but no percentage of anesthesiologists in any success category and no comparison by laryngoscope. No confidence intervals or inferential results for the primary endpoint are reported in the registry record.

The design details are limited. The study is not described as randomized, and allocation is not stated. The record does not explain whether each anesthesiologist used both devices, how device order was determined, or whether learning effects were incorporated in the primary analysis. Although secondary outcomes include analysis by order of laryngoscope use, their methods and results are not reported.

The primary analysis population excludes operators who did not complete the minimum of 18 intubations with either laryngoscope. The record does not report how many operators were analyzed, why others may not have qualified, or how missing attempts were treated. This makes it difficult to evaluate selection into the analysis population or the completeness of the data.

The endpoint depends on thresholds for failed attempts and time. The registry does not report component distributions, sensitivity analyses, or how close observations were to the threshold. The extent to which classification depends on the chosen cutoffs cannot be assessed.

Further limitations include the absence of detailed methods for the listed secondary analyses, multiplicity handling, sample-size justification for the original study, and participant flow. These items are not reported in the registry record. The safety entries also lack event descriptions and death information. Together, these gaps constrain both comparison of the devices and assessment of the precision and completeness of the reported findings.

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18. Record Summary

NCT01215422 is a completed University of Alberta study titled “Success of Pediatric Anesthesiologists in Learning to Use Videolaryngoscopes.” The registry lists enrollment of 646, a study start of 2007-01, and primary completion in 2011-07. It describes children intubated with Glidescope and children intubated with DCI, and lists timed intubation as a procedure.

The primary outcome is the percentage of anesthesiologists achieving rapid or delayed success under criteria combining failed attempts and median time. The primary analysis population required a minimum of 18 intubations with either laryngoscope. The primary outcome result, detailed statistical plan, and secondary outcome results are not reported in the registry record.

The record lists zero serious adverse events in each recorded group, alongside “other” adverse-event counts, but does not provide event descriptions. Allocation is not stated, and the study is not described as a randomized comparison.

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