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Adverse Drug Interactions Phase 1 Continuous Endpoint NCT00621309

Sulforaphane as an Antagonist to Human PXR-mediated Drug-drug Interactions: Complete Statistical Analysis

This analysis concerns a completed phase I randomized crossover trial of sulforaphane and rifampicin, with midazolam clearance as the primary measure. The registry record does not report a numerical primary outcome result or an analysis comparing the interventions.

Trial start: 2008-03  ·  Enrollment: 29  ·  Sponsor: University of Washington
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Sulforaphane as an Antagonist to Human PXR-mediated Drug-drug Interactions (NCT00621309), a randomized phase 1 study. The primary outcome is Midazolam Clearance (Pharmacokinetic Measure of Cytochrome P450 3A4 Activity).

29
Enrollment
Phase 1
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT00621309
PhasePhase 1
ConditionAdverse Drug Interactions
AllocationRandomized
Design modelCrossover
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment29
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorUniversity of Washington
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The registry record lists 29 enrolled participants in a phase I trial addressing adverse drug interactions. The brief description refers to human volunteers. Eligibility criteria and participant characteristics are not reported in the registry record.

Intervention

The study descriptions include sulforaphane given with rifampicin and sulforaphane alone. The combination is intended to examine whether sulforaphane can oppose activation of PXR by rifampicin. Doses and schedules for sulforaphane are not reported in the registry record.

Comparator

Rifampicin alone is described as an intervention: the registry says participants receive 300 mg / 7 days to induce CYP3A4, with midazolam clearance measured on the 8th day. The record does not identify a single prespecified comparator for the primary outcome analysis.

Primary question

The study asks whether sulforaphane may alter the effect of rifampicin-related PXR activation on CYP3A4 activity, assessed using midazolam clearance. The record does not report numerical clearance results or a comparison that answers this question.

3. Trial Design

This is a completed phase I study with randomized allocation, no masking, and a crossover model. Enrollment is listed as 29. The registry record gives a start date of 2008-03 and a primary completion date of 2010-06. It identifies the University of Washington as sponsor and lists adverse drug interactions as the condition.

Three intervention descriptions appear in the record: rifampicin; sulforaphane plus rifampicin; and sulforaphane alone. The rifampicin description states that participants receive 300 mg / 7 days to induce CYP3A4 and have midazolam clearance measured on the 8th day. The sulforaphane descriptions characterize it as a putative inhibitor of ligand activation of PXR. The description of the sulforaphane-alone arm says it is given without the PXR ligand rifampicin.

Although the record identifies a crossover model, it does not report the treatment sequence, period structure, washout procedures, or how the three intervention conditions were assigned within the crossover. The record also does not explain how many participants received each condition or whether all enrolled participants completed the study. The brief summary says the project will recruit 24 volunteers, while the enrollment figure is 29; an explanation for the difference is not reported in the registry record. These details matter for understanding the conduct of a crossover study, but they cannot be reconstructed from the information recorded.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Before assignment: 29 participants signed consent form. 23 participants had full measures for data analysis.

Overall Study

StageCross-over Trial -Sequence ABCSequence ACBSequence BACSequence BCASequence CABSequence CBA
STARTED645644
COMPLETED444533
NOT COMPLETED201111

Reasons for not completing this period:

ReasonCross-over Trial -Sequence ABCSequence ACBSequence BACSequence BCASequence CABSequence CBA
Withdrawal by Subject201111

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitCross-Over Trial
Participants analysed23
Age, Continuousyears23.7 (SD 3.6)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants11
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants12
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Hispanic or LatinoParticipants0
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Not Hispanic or LatinoParticipants23
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): American Indian or Alaska NativeParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): AsianParticipants5
Race (NIH/OMB): Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific IslanderParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): Black or African AmericanParticipants1
Race (NIH/OMB): WhiteParticipants17
Race (NIH/OMB): More than one raceParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants0

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Midazolam Clearance (Pharmacokinetic Measure of Cytochrome P450 3A4 Activity), measured over 7 days.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeMean
Measure of spreadStandard Deviation
Unitng*min/ml
Endpoint classificationContinuous Endpoint

The primary outcome is midazolam clearance, described as a pharmacokinetic measure of CYP3A4 activity. Clearance characterizes how quickly a substance is removed from the body, and the study uses midazolam clearance as an indicator of CYP3A4 activity. The stated unit is ng*min/ml, the outcome is a mean of a continuous measure, and the timeframe is 7 days.

In the study’s rationale, rifampicin is used to induce CYP3A4 through PXR activation, while sulforaphane is being examined as a possible antagonist of that pathway. Measuring midazolam clearance is therefore intended to provide a pharmacokinetic readout relevant to the proposed interaction. This describes the study’s measurement strategy; it does not establish that a change in clearance occurred or that sulforaphane altered it.

The registry record gives no numerical means, standard deviations, treatment contrasts, confidence intervals, or p-values for this endpoint. It also does not identify a single comparison or result across the recorded time points and categories. Consequently, the endpoint’s definition and rationale are available, but the magnitude and precision of any observed treatment effect are not reported in the registry record.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Primary outcome has several categories or time points; not reduced to one comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record describes a randomized crossover trial designed around a pharmacokinetic question: whether sulforaphane may modify the effect of rifampicin-mediated PXR activation on CYP3A4 activity. Midazolam clearance is the stated primary measure. The record also identifies the trial as completed and lists 29 enrolled participants. Those design details describe the study, but they do not supply evidence about the size or direction of an outcome difference.

No numerical primary outcome results are reported in the registry record. There are no reported group means or standard deviations, and no estimate of a treatment contrast, confidence interval, or p-value. The outcome listing indicates that it has multiple categories or time points and is not reduced to one comparison. The record lists no analysis records. Thus, a reader cannot determine from this registry entry whether clearance was higher, lower, or similar under any of the intervention conditions, nor how uncertain an estimated contrast might be.

General statistical interpretation: an effect estimate describes the size and direction of a contrast, while a confidence interval describes the range of values compatible with the data and the analysis assumptions. A p-value, when reported, addresses compatibility with a specified null model; it does not by itself describe the clinical or pharmacological importance of a difference. None of these quantities is available for the primary endpoint in this record, so no inferential conclusion can be drawn from it.

The crossover design can make within-participant comparisons relevant because each participant may receive more than one condition. Such comparisons require a clear account of treatment periods, sequence, carryover, and the analysis method. Those details are not reported in the registry record. Without the treatment-level observations or a reported analysis, it is not possible to assess whether the design was analyzed in a way that accounts for its repeated measurements.

The trial’s stated mechanistic rationale is not itself an outcome result. The description explains why sulforaphane and rifampicin were studied together, but it does not show that the proposed pathway was modified in participants. The registry record supports a description of the research question and design only; it does not provide a numerical result with which to quantify the answer.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

What does the design imply?

The record identifies the study as randomized, unmasked, and crossover. Randomization is a method for assigning treatment conditions by chance, which can help limit systematic differences in treatment assignment. The record does not describe the randomization procedure or sequence. Unmasked means the masking field is recorded as none; who knew the assigned condition and whether outcome assessment was masked are not described further.

In general, a crossover design measures participants under more than one treatment condition, allowing comparisons that account for stable differences between participants. This design also makes period and sequence information important. A treatment effect can be difficult to separate from changes over time or effects carried over from an earlier condition if the study’s conduct and analysis do not address them. The registry record does not report the sequence, period structure, washout, or a crossover analysis method. It is therefore not possible to assess those aspects of the design from this entry.

What does the endpoint summary tell us?

The outcome is continuous and summarized as a mean, with standard deviation identified as its dispersion measure. A mean describes the central value of observations, while a standard deviation describes their spread around that mean. These are descriptive statistics. By themselves, they do not provide an estimate of a between-condition effect or its uncertainty. The record names the endpoint and its unit, but it does not contain the numerical means or standard deviations needed to describe the observed outcome.

General statistical explanation: a treatment contrast compares outcome values under conditions of interest. In a crossover study, the contrast may use within-participant information, but the exact method depends on the design and data. A confidence interval conveys uncertainty around an estimate under the model used. Neither a contrast nor a confidence interval is reported for this primary outcome, so the precision of an effect cannot be evaluated.

Can the treatment effect be reconstructed?

No. The registry lists no analysis records, and the primary outcome is not reduced to a single comparison because it has several categories or time points. The record does not give the underlying observations or summary values by condition. A recalculation from posted summary statistics is therefore not available in the information recorded. No direction or magnitude of effect should be inferred from the intervention descriptions alone.

General statistical explanation: an unadjusted recalculation from summary statistics, when possible, is a simple estimate based on those posted summaries and is not a substitute for the sponsor’s analysis. It may not account for design features, covariates, or repeated measures. In this record there are no numerical summaries to recalculate, and there is no sponsor analysis result to compare with a recalculation.

What do the planning assumptions mean?

The registry describes sample-size planning illustrations based on the observed effect, using a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation. It says the effect to detect is expressed as a stated fraction of the observed effect. These are planning assumptions, not a statement of the trial’s own design justification. The registry record does not report the trial’s sample-size justification.

The planning values themselves, the observed effect on which they depend, and the specific fractions are not reported in the registry record. The illustrations therefore cannot be interpreted as evidence about the study’s achieved power. More generally, sample-size calculations describe hypothetical design requirements under stated assumptions; they do not measure the probability that a completed study has detected a true effect. Any planning figures should be read as illustrations, not observed power.

Why does uncertainty matter?

General statistical explanation: small or variable datasets can yield imprecise estimates, while larger and less variable datasets can sometimes yield more precise estimates, depending on the design and analysis. A confidence interval is useful because it shows a range of plausible effect values rather than reducing interpretation to a threshold. Without the outcome estimate, variability, and interval, the precision of the trial’s primary result cannot be assessed. Enrollment alone is not enough to determine that precision.

10. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The record identifies one primary outcome measure but also indicates that the outcome has several categories or time points and was not reduced to one comparison. The registry record does not describe which time point or contrast was designated as primary for analysis, whether additional comparisons were planned, or how multiplicity was handled. A multiplicity procedure is not reported in the registry record.

General statistical explanation: when multiple outcomes, time points, or comparisons are examined, the chance of finding an apparently notable result can differ from that in a single prespecified test. A statistical plan may define a primary contrast, use an adjustment, or treat additional comparisons as exploratory. These methods cannot be presumed in the absence of documentation, and no adjustment method should be attributed to this study.

Missing-data methods and the amount of missing primary outcome data are not reported in the registry record. The entry does not state whether all enrolled participants contributed outcome measurements under every condition, how incomplete periods were handled, or whether any imputation or sensitivity analysis was used. The analysis population is also not described. Enrollment is listed as 29, but that does not establish the number included in any endpoint analysis.

Because the record lists no analysis records and gives no numerical primary outcome results, the reader cannot assess the consequences of missing observations, the exact comparison set, or the handling of repeated measurements. The absence of these details is a limitation of the registry information; it does not establish that a particular method was or was not used outside the information recorded.

11. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Cross-over Trial0290.0%

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 0% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Cross-over Trial0 of 29
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The registry lists a cross-over trial safety group with 29 participants at risk for serious adverse events and 0 affected. It also lists 29 at risk for other adverse events and 0 affected. No serious adverse event terms are listed. These are the adverse event figures recorded for the trial; they are not primary outcome results and do not provide information about midazolam clearance.

The death count is not reported in the registry record. The entry does not provide event descriptions, observation periods, severity breakdowns beyond the serious and other categories, or treatment-condition-specific safety counts. Because the trial is crossover, the listed group-level figures should not be read as separate counts for each intervention condition. The record does not describe how adverse events were attributed across conditions or periods.

General statistical explanation: an observed count of zero is a description of events recorded in the study population. It does not prove that an event cannot occur or establish the rate that would be expected in a broader population. Safety interpretation depends on the size and characteristics of the population, the duration and completeness of observation, and the way events were collected. Those details are not reported in the registry record. The posted figures should therefore be read narrowly as the counts recorded for the listed group, not as a comprehensive estimate of risk.

12. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The registry record establishes that a completed phase I randomized crossover study was conducted, with 29 participants enrolled and midazolam clearance specified as the primary pharmacokinetic measure. It also documents intervention descriptions involving rifampicin, sulforaphane with rifampicin, and sulforaphane alone. Together, these registry entries show the subject of the investigation and the broad design used to examine it.

The record does not report a numerical result for midazolam clearance or an analysis comparing the intervention conditions. It therefore does not establish the size, direction, or precision of any effect. The study description’s proposed mechanism—sulforaphane as a possible antagonist to PXR-mediated induction—should be distinguished from evidence that the mechanism changed in participants. A rationale and a completed trial are not substitutes for reported outcome data.

General interpretation: a result can be considered informative only in relation to its estimate, uncertainty, design, and analysis. Without those outcome details, it is not possible to judge whether the data are compatible with a meaningful increase, decrease, or little difference. The registry entry also does not allow assessment of whether treatment sequence, period effects, or carryover were handled appropriately.

The safety listing records 0 serious adverse events and 0 other adverse events among 29 participants at risk in the cross-over trial group. Those counts describe the registry entry and should not be taken as proof that adverse events are impossible. The death count is not reported in the registry record. Overall, the available information supports a description of the study’s aim and recorded design, but not a conclusion about the primary pharmacokinetic question or a broad claim about safety.

13. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial is statistically interesting because it links a mechanistic hypothesis to a pharmacokinetic measure. The study rationale describes PXR as a regulator involved in CYP3A4 expression and proposes examining sulforaphane in relation to rifampicin-mediated activation. Midazolam clearance is selected as the measure of CYP3A4 activity. This creates a clear conceptual chain from the proposed interaction to a measurable outcome, while leaving the empirical result dependent on the data and analysis.

The crossover design is another important feature. In general, repeated measurements within participants can support comparisons that are less affected by stable differences between people. At the same time, interpretation requires information about sequence, periods, carryover, and the statistical method. Those details are not reported in the registry record, so the potential advantages and risks of the design cannot be evaluated fully from this entry.

The record also illustrates why a study’s question and its reported findings must be kept distinct. The intervention descriptions and endpoint rationale explain what investigators set out to examine. They do not indicate whether the hypothesized effect was observed. Because no numerical primary outcome analysis is recorded, effect magnitude and precision remain unknown from this registry entry.

Finally, the safety counts and enrollment figure have narrow meanings. They describe recorded participants and adverse event counts, but they do not answer the pharmacokinetic question or replace outcome estimates. The central statistical lesson is that a biologically motivated design can identify a relevant comparison, yet interpretation still depends on complete reporting of the comparison, its uncertainty, and the analysis population.

14. Limitations

The main limitation for interpreting this trial from the registry record is the absence of numerical primary outcome results. Although midazolam clearance is named as the primary measure, no condition-specific means, standard deviations, contrasts, confidence intervals, or p-values are reported. The record lists no analysis records and says the outcome has multiple categories or time points rather than one reduced comparison.

Important design details are also absent. The crossover model is identified, but the treatment sequence, period structure, washout, handling of possible carryover, and analysis method are not reported in the registry record. The analysis population, completeness of outcome measurements, missing-data handling, and multiplicity approach are likewise not reported. These omissions prevent evaluation of how the study’s repeated measurements were incorporated into its primary analysis.

The intervention descriptions are incomplete for assessing exposure. The rifampicin description gives a regimen of 300 mg / 7 days and measurement on the 8th day, but sulforaphane doses and schedules are not reported in the registry record. The record does not explain the discrepancy between the brief summary’s stated plan to recruit 24 volunteers and the listed enrollment of 29. It also does not report participant characteristics or eligibility criteria.

The adverse event entry provides group-level counts, but not event observation details or condition-specific counts. The death count is not reported in the registry record. These limits constrain what can be inferred from the safety listing as well as from the primary outcome.

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18. Record Summary

The registry identifies NCT00621309 as a completed phase I randomized, unmasked crossover trial sponsored by the University of Washington. Enrollment is listed as 29, with a start date of 2008-03 and primary completion date of 2010-06. The study concerns adverse drug interactions and describes conditions involving rifampicin, sulforaphane with rifampicin, and sulforaphane alone.

The primary outcome is mean midazolam clearance, a pharmacokinetic measure of CYP3A4 activity, with a stated timeframe of 7 days. The record does not report numerical outcome results or a primary comparison. It lists 0 serious and 0 other adverse events among 29 participants at risk in the cross-over trial group; the death count is not reported in the registry record. The treatment sequence, analysis population, missing-data approach, and statistical analysis method are not reported.

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