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Lung Cancer NA Binary Endpoint NCT05021133

Tele-Navigation of Lung Cancer Screening (Tele-Navi LCS): Complete Statistical Analysis

This analysis concerns a completed, single-group pilot of telehealth navigation for lung cancer screening follow-up. The registry record describes the study’s aims and endpoints but does not report outcome results or statistical analyses.

Trial start: 2023-06-05  ·  Enrollment: 22  ·  Sponsor: University of Massachusetts, Worcester
Scope of this record

This page provides an independent statistical analysis and educational interpretation of publicly reported results. ClinicalTrials.gov provides the official trial registry record. Numerical trial results on this page are restricted to the results posted in the ClinicalTrials.gov record; calculations added by Clinical Biostats are labelled as such.

1. Trial at a Glance

This page covers the registry results for Tele-Navigation of Lung Cancer Screening (Tele-Navi LCS) (NCT05021133), a na na study. The primary outcome is Completion of Tele-Navi LCS.

22
Enrollment
NA
n/a
Arms
In the primary outcome
n/a
Effect
No re-analysis shown
n/a
95% CI
See limitations
FeatureRegistry value
ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT05021133
PhaseNA
ConditionLung Cancer
AllocationNot applicable (single group)
Design modelSingle Group
MaskingNone (open label)
Enrollment22
Arms in the primary outcomen/a
Lead sponsorUniversity of Massachusetts, Worcester
Results postedYes

2. Clinical Question

Population

The registry record identifies lung cancer as the condition and describes a pilot sample of patients receiving lung cancer screening. The enrollment is recorded as 22. Further eligibility criteria, participant characteristics, and details of the primary care setting are not reported in the registry record. The record’s brief summary frames the study around the challenge of adherence to annual screening follow-up in real-world care, but it does not report how participants were recruited or whether the enrolled group represents a broader patient population.

Intervention

The intervention is Tele-Navi LCS, described as telehealth coaching from a Tele-Navigator for patients undergoing lung cancer screening. The investigators aimed to co-create the intervention with patients and lung cancer screening stakeholders, then implement it in a primary care setting to evaluate feasibility. Detailed coaching procedures, the number or duration of contacts, and the specific materials or support offered are not reported in the registry record.

Comparator

There is no separate comparator group. The registry describes a single-group study, with allocation recorded as not applicable. Consequently, the study does not provide a like-for-like comparison of Tele-Navi LCS against usual care or another intervention. The record does not describe a control condition or a before-and-after comparison.

Primary question

The primary endpoint is the count of participants who completed Tele-Navi LCS, with a timeframe of 30 days. The broader study aim is to evaluate feasibility and measure completion of Tele-Navi LCS and follow-up lung cancer screening within 180 days from Tele-Navi LCS. Completion of follow-up screening is listed as a secondary outcome. The registry record does not report the observed completion counts or the operational definitions used to determine completion. Therefore, the central statistical question can be framed as whether the intervention was completed by participants, but its observed frequency cannot be assessed from the results recorded.

3. Trial Design

This is a completed, single-group behavioral intervention study of Tele-Navi LCS, a telehealth coaching approach for patients undergoing lung cancer screening. The sponsor is the University of Massachusetts, Worcester. The phase is listed as not applicable, allocation is listed as not applicable, and masking is recorded as none. The registry lists enrollment as 22. These design details describe a pilot evaluation rather than a randomized comparison between intervention and control groups.

The study dates recorded in the registry are 2023-06-05 for study start and 2023-08-11 for primary completion. Its status is completed. The brief summary says the investigators planned to co-create Tele-Navi LCS with patients and lung cancer screening stakeholders, then implement it with a pilot sample in primary care to evaluate feasibility. The record does not describe the co-creation process, recruitment approach, eligibility rules, or whether all enrolled participants received the intervention.

The primary outcome is completion of Tele-Navi LCS, measured as a count of participants, with a 30-day timeframe. The brief summary also describes measuring completion of follow-up lung cancer screening within 180 days from Tele-Navi LCS; completion of follow-up screening is listed among the secondary outcomes. The registry lists two outcome measures, but detailed results for either are not reported. The registry record does not report a statistical analysis plan, methods for handling missing outcome data, or a planned comparison against a benchmark.

Because there is no control group, the study can describe completion and feasibility within the enrolled group if those results are reported. It cannot, by design, isolate the intervention’s effect from other explanations through a concurrent randomized comparison. The record does not report a formal causal-effect estimate.

4. Participant Flow and Accounting

The registry reports how participants moved through each stage of the study. All counts below are exactly as posted; missing counts are not inferred from other stages.

Before assignment: Of 22 enrolled participants, 2 withdrew prior to the baseline survey.

Overall Study

StageTele-Navi LCS
STARTED20
COMPLETED20
NOT COMPLETED0

5. Baseline Characteristics

The table reproduces the baseline characteristics posted in the registry, which describe the participants analysed at baseline and help show whether the randomized groups were comparable.

CharacteristicUnitTele-Navi LCS
Participants analysed20
Age, Continuousyears60.5 (58.5 to 68.5)
Sex: Female, Male: FemaleParticipants12
Sex: Female, Male: MaleParticipants8
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Hispanic or LatinoParticipants4
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Not Hispanic or LatinoParticipants16
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): American Indian or Alaska NativeParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): AsianParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific IslanderParticipants1
Race (NIH/OMB): Black or African AmericanParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): WhiteParticipants17
Race (NIH/OMB): More than one raceParticipants0
Race (NIH/OMB): Unknown or Not ReportedParticipants2
Region of Enrollment: United Statesparticipants20

6. Primary Endpoint

The registry lists the primary outcome as Completion of Tele-Navi LCS, measured over 30 days.

ElementRegistry entry
Result typeCount Of Participants
Measure of spreadnot applicable
UnitParticipants
Endpoint classificationBinary Endpoint

The primary endpoint is titled “Completion of Tele-Navi LCS.” It is expressed as a count of participants and has a 30-day timeframe. In plain terms, this endpoint is intended to count participants who completed the telehealth navigation intervention within the stated timeframe. The endpoint description says “Number of participants completed Tele-Navi LCS,” but further operational detail about how completion was defined or verified is not reported in the registry record.

Counting completion is relevant to a feasibility study because it describes whether participants engaged with and completed the intervention being piloted. It is a process measure: it concerns delivery or uptake of the program, rather than a direct measure of lung cancer screening outcomes or clinical benefit. The study’s broader summary also focuses on completion of follow-up screening, which is listed as a secondary outcome and described in the summary as occurring within 180 days from Tele-Navi LCS. A specific secondary-outcome timeframe and observed count are not reported in the registry results.

The registry record does not report the number completing the primary endpoint. It therefore does not permit a numerical assessment of completion, nor does it establish how completion compares with another care approach. An endpoint can be appropriate for assessing feasibility while still leaving questions about its measurement rules, missing observations, and relationship to later outcomes. Those details are not reported in the registry record.

7. Why No Re-analysis Is Shown

Reported as posted, not recalculated. Not a randomized comparison (allocation: NA); arms are not a like-for-like control comparison. A result is recalculated only when the posted data support a clean two-arm comparison, so no result is shown beyond what the sponsor posted.

8. Statistical Interpretation

Clinical Biostats interpretation

The registry record provides the study’s design, aims, and endpoint labels, but it does not report results for the primary endpoint. In particular, no observed count of participants completing Tele-Navi LCS within 30 days is reported. The record also does not report a result for completion of follow-up lung cancer screening. As a result, the posted information does not support a numerical description of intervention completion or follow-up screening completion.

The study is single-group, with no separate comparator. Even if completion results were available, they would describe the enrolled group rather than estimate a difference from usual care or another intervention. Without a comparison group, changes or outcomes cannot be attributed to Tele-Navi LCS through a randomized contrast. The registry record does not report a benchmark against which feasibility was judged.

There are no analysis results listed in the registry record. No effect estimate, confidence interval, or hypothesis test is reported. A confidence interval, in general, expresses the uncertainty around an estimated quantity under the statistical method used; without a reported estimate and analysis, there is no interval to interpret. The registry record also does not report the methods needed to assess whether an estimate would account for missing outcomes or other design considerations.

The enrollment entry is 22, but that figure is not an outcome count and does not show how many participants completed the intervention or screening follow-up. It should not be interpreted as the number completing either endpoint. Likewise, the absence of reported results is not evidence that no participants completed the intervention. It means the registry record does not provide the outcome data needed to determine that.

The study’s stated purpose is a feasibility evaluation of telehealth navigation in primary care. The stated motivation is the importance of adherence to annual lung cancer screening follow-up and concern that real-world adherence is suboptimal. That rationale describes why the study was undertaken; it is not itself a finding from this pilot. The posted record does not establish whether Tele-Navi LCS improved adherence, whether it was feasible according to a prespecified criterion, or whether it affected clinical outcomes.

9. Statistical Methods Explained

The registry describes a single-group study with a count-based primary outcome. This design and outcome determine what statistical conclusions the record could support if results were available. Here, the registry record does not list outcome counts or analysis results, so no numerical estimate of completion or its uncertainty can be interpreted.

What a count endpoint represents

A count of participants completing an activity records how many meet the endpoint definition. It is a direct summary of observed completion, not a comparison of outcomes between randomized groups. For a count to be interpretable, the endpoint definition needs to specify what qualifies as completion, how completion is documented, and the period over which it is assessed. The registry gives the primary endpoint title, count unit, and 30-day timeframe, but does not report further measurement rules.

Counts are often presented alongside the number of participants assessed for the endpoint. That context helps readers understand the population to which the count refers and how missing observations were handled. The registry record does not report a primary-outcome count, endpoint-specific denominator, or missing-data approach. The enrollment entry alone cannot substitute for those details.

What a single-group design can show

A single-group study can describe what happened among the participants who received or were offered an intervention, depending on the study procedures and analysis population. It does not create a concurrent control group for estimating what would have happened without the intervention. In general, a comparison with an external expectation or historical experience requires a clearly stated benchmark and careful consideration of whether the groups and measurement conditions are comparable. Such a benchmark or comparison is not reported in the registry record.

For Tele-Navi LCS, allocation is listed as not applicable and the study model is single group. Therefore, there is no randomized intervention-versus-control contrast to interpret. The registry record does not report an alternative comparative design or a statistical model for adjusting comparisons.

Uncertainty and estimation

Statistical estimation is not limited to reporting a point estimate. In general, a confidence interval communicates the range of values reasonably compatible with the observed data under the chosen method and its assumptions. Its width reflects precision: wider intervals indicate greater uncertainty, while narrower intervals indicate greater precision. The registry record reports no completion estimate or confidence interval, so precision cannot be assessed.

For count outcomes, the appropriate uncertainty method depends on the quantity being estimated and the design. A count might be considered directly, or related to a defined group size to express a completion proportion. That choice requires an endpoint denominator and a stated analysis approach. No such proportion or method is reported in the registry record, and no new estimate can be recovered from the enrollment entry alone.

Planning illustrations versus observed results

Any sample-size illustration is a planning exercise, not evidence about what the study observed. The planning assumptions described for this record use a two-sided significance level of 0.05, equal allocation between two arms, and a normal approximation, with the effect to detect expressed as a stated fraction of an observed effect. These are illustration assumptions, not the design of this single-group study; the registry record does not report that the trial used two arms or was designed around those calculations. Such planning quantities should not be interpreted as observed power. The registry record does not report the trial’s own sample-size justification or a statistical plan.

Over-dispersion is a general concern when count data vary more than a chosen statistical model expects. If a model assumes less variation than the data contain, its uncertainty estimates may be too small and its inferential conclusions too confident. Whether over-dispersion is relevant depends on the endpoint and model. No model or count-distribution assessment is reported in the registry record, so there is no basis to say whether it was considered in this study.

Analysis results available for interpretation

The registry lists no analyses and does not report inferential results for the two outcome measures. Accordingly, there is no reported model, test statistic, p-value, estimate, or confidence interval to explain. The absence of these results limits the statistical interpretation to the design and endpoint descriptions. It does not reveal whether analyses were performed outside the registry record, and no such analyses should be assumed.

10. Exact Estimates for Each Arm

No two-arm comparison is shown for this trial, but each arm's result can still be summarized with exact interval estimates computed from the posted counts. The Clopper-Pearson interval is exact and conservative; the Wilson interval is a common closer-to-nominal alternative; the Bayesian credible interval uses a uniform Beta(1, 1) prior. For small groups the three can differ noticeably.

ArmParticipantsEventsObserved %Clopper-Pearson 95% CIWilson 95% CIBayesian 95% credible interval
Tele-Navi LCS2020100.0%83.2% to 100.0%83.9% to 100.0%83.9% to 99.9%

R code and output

arm    <- c("Tele-Navi LCS")
n      <- c(20)
events <- c(20)
for (i in seq_along(n)) {
  ci <- binom.test(events[i], n[i])$conf.int          # Clopper-Pearson exact interval
  cr <- qbeta(c(0.025, 0.975), 1 + events[i], 1 + n[i] - events[i])   # Bayesian, uniform Beta(1,1) prior
  wi <- (function(x, n) { p <- x / n; z <- qnorm(0.975); d <- 1 + z^2 / n
    c((p + z^2 / (2 * n) - z * sqrt(p * (1 - p) / n + z^2 / (4 * n^2))) / d, (p + z^2 / (2 * n) + z * sqrt(p * (1 - p) / n + z^2 / (4 * n^2))) / d) })(events[i], n[i])
  cat(sprintf("ARM|%s|%d|%d|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f|%.1f\n", arm[i], n[i], events[i], 100 * events[i] / n[i],
              100 * ci[1], 100 * ci[2], 100 * wi[1], 100 * wi[2], 100 * cr[1], 100 * cr[2]))
}
ARM  Tele-Navi LCS  20  20  100.0  83.2  100.0  83.9  100.0  83.9  99.9

11. Multiplicity, Missing Data and Analysis Populations

The registry lists two outcome measures: completion of Tele-Navi LCS as the primary outcome and completion of follow-up lung cancer screening as a secondary outcome. It does not report analysis results for either. The registry record does not report whether the outcomes were tested statistically, whether a hierarchy was specified, or whether any adjustment for multiple comparisons was planned or used.

Multiplicity is a general issue that can arise when several outcomes or hypotheses are assessed. If multiple statistical tests are conducted, interpreting each without considering the overall testing strategy can increase the chance of a chance-positive finding. The appropriate approach depends on the purpose of the analyses and the prespecified plan. Because no statistical analysis plan or test results are reported, the impact of multiplicity cannot be evaluated for this study. The two listed outcomes should not be treated as evidence of multiple positive findings; no outcome findings are reported.

Missing-data handling is also not reported in the registry record. The record does not state how participants without an observed endpoint, incomplete intervention data, or unavailable follow-up screening information were handled. It does not report an analysis population definition or say whether all enrolled participants were included in each endpoint assessment. The enrollment entry of 22 does not resolve these questions.

In general, missing outcome information can affect interpretation when the likelihood of missingness is related to participants’ outcomes or experiences. Analyses may use different assumptions about missingness, and those choices can influence estimates. Without reported counts of missing observations and a stated method, those assumptions cannot be assessed. The lack of detail is a limitation of the registry record, not proof that data were missing or mishandled.

12. Safety Results

The registry reports serious adverse events as affected participants divided by participants at risk.

ArmParticipants with serious adverse eventsParticipants at riskPercentage
Tele-Navi LCS0200.0%

Deaths

ArmDeaths (participants affected of at risk)
Tele-Navi LCS0 of 20

Other (non-serious) adverse events

Participants with at least one non-serious event at or above the registry's 0% reporting threshold.

ArmParticipants affected of at risk
Tele-Navi LCS0 of 20
Do not overextend the safety comparison. Serious-adverse-event counts are safety observations, not efficacy outcomes, and should not be combined with the primary result into a single benefit-risk number.

The serious adverse event figures list the Tele-Navi LCS group with 20 participants at risk and 0 participants affected by serious adverse events. The record also lists 20 participants at risk and 0 affected for the other adverse-event count, and deaths are recorded as 0. No serious adverse event terms are listed.

These are the safety figures recorded in the registry. The at-risk count shown for these entries is 20, while the overall enrollment entry is 22. The registry record does not explain the relationship between those figures, so they should not be treated as interchangeable denominators. The record also does not report additional detail about safety monitoring, event collection methods, or attribution of events to the intervention.

A zero count in a registry entry means no events are recorded in that category in the posted results; it does not establish that the intervention has no risk. Safety counts describe events observed and recorded under the study’s methods, and their interpretation depends on how events were defined, collected, and followed. Further safety details are not reported in the registry record. These figures should be read as descriptive counts, not as a comparative safety analysis, because the study has no separate control group.

13. What the Result Does, and Does Not, Mean

The registry record shows that Tele-Navi LCS was evaluated in a completed, single-group pilot whose stated purpose was to assess feasibility in primary care. It identifies completion of Tele-Navi LCS within 30 days as the primary endpoint and follow-up lung cancer screening completion as a secondary outcome. It also states a broader aim of measuring follow-up screening within 180 days from Tele-Navi LCS.

However, the record does not report the observed results for these outcomes. It therefore does not show how many participants completed Tele-Navi LCS, how many completed follow-up screening, or how precise any estimate might be. The record also does not state a criterion for judging feasibility. Its enrollment entry is not a substitute for outcome counts.

The study’s motivation is that adherence to annual follow-up is considered important to lung cancer screening and that real-world adherence is described as suboptimal. This context explains the research question, but does not establish that Tele-Navi LCS changed adherence. With no comparator group and no reported outcome analyses, the registry record cannot support a causal conclusion about the intervention’s effect relative to usual care or another approach.

Nor does the record report clinical outcomes such as cancer detection, mortality, or cost-effectiveness results. The brief summary mentions the importance of mortality benefits and cost-effectiveness as part of the rationale for follow-up, but those are not reported as findings of this pilot. The record does not establish clinical benefit or lack of benefit.

The proper interpretation is therefore bounded: the registry documents a feasibility-focused intervention study and its intended measures, while leaving the actual endpoint results unreported. That distinction matters. An absent result cannot be read as either successful completion or failure to complete, and the study’s rationale should not be mistaken for evidence of an intervention effect.

14. Why This Trial Matters Statistically

This trial is statistically useful to examine because it separates a feasibility question from an effectiveness question. Tele-Navi LCS was piloted as a telehealth coaching intervention, and the primary endpoint counts completion of the intervention. Such process outcomes can help describe whether an intervention is being delivered and taken up, which is important when deciding whether a larger evaluation is worth considering. The registry record, however, does not report the completion result needed to make that assessment.

The single-group design also clarifies the limits of interpretation. Descriptive information from participants receiving an intervention can inform how the program was implemented in that group. It cannot, by itself, establish what would have happened to comparable participants without the intervention. A later comparative evaluation would address a different question, but the registry record does not report such a design or any plans for one.

The study also highlights the need to report endpoint definitions and denominators. A completion count is easier to interpret when readers know the criteria for completion, how observations were collected, who was eligible for each assessment, and how missing information was handled. The registry lists endpoint titles and timeframes, but those supporting details and the outcome counts are not reported.

Finally, the study rationale concerns follow-up behavior, while the reported primary endpoint concerns completion of the navigation intervention. Keeping those concepts distinct prevents a process measure from being mistaken for evidence about screening adherence or clinical benefit. The record’s design and stated aims are informative, but the lack of posted outcome analyses sharply limits conclusions about feasibility and impact.

15. Limitations

The main limitation for statistical interpretation is that outcome results are not reported in the registry record. There is no primary completion count, no reported follow-up screening count, and no estimate of uncertainty. As a result, readers cannot assess the observed frequency of completion or the precision of any estimate.

The single-group design provides no concurrent comparator. Even if descriptive outcome counts were available, the design would not support a randomized comparison of Tele-Navi LCS with usual care. The registry does not report a benchmark or a comparative analysis. It also does not report whether the pilot had prespecified feasibility criteria.

Details needed to assess measurement and analysis are limited. The registry gives a primary endpoint title, count unit, and 30-day timeframe, and its summary describes follow-up screening within 180 days from Tele-Navi LCS. Further operational definitions, endpoint-specific denominators, participant eligibility details, missing-data procedures, and analysis-population definitions are not reported in the registry record. The statistical analysis plan and sample-size justification are also not reported.

The safety entries list 20 participants at risk, while enrollment is recorded as 22; the registry does not explain the relationship between those figures. The posted safety counts are descriptive and do not provide a control-group comparison. Finally, the record’s stated focus on feasibility does not establish effects on screening adherence, mortality, or cost-effectiveness. Those outcomes are not reported as findings of this study.

16. Related Tutorials

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18. Sources

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19. Record Summary

The registry record describes Tele-Navi LCS, a behavioral telehealth coaching intervention for patients undergoing lung cancer screening. The study is completed, single group, and lists enrollment as 22. The sponsor is the University of Massachusetts, Worcester. Study start is recorded as 2023-06-05 and primary completion as 2023-08-11.

The primary endpoint is completion of Tele-Navi LCS, measured as a participant count within 30 days. Completion of follow-up lung cancer screening is listed as a secondary outcome, and the study summary describes measuring it within 180 days from Tele-Navi LCS. The stated purpose is to evaluate feasibility in primary care.

Outcome counts and statistical analyses are not reported in the registry record. Safety entries list 0 serious adverse events and 0 deaths, with 20 participants at risk in the listed group. The record does not provide a separate comparator group or a statistical analysis plan.

Clinical Biostats