Tutorials › Stochastic Processes › Joint Exit Side and Exit-Time Transforms

Brownian Motion as a Martingale and Markov Process · Tutorial 863 of 994

Joint Exit Side and Exit-Time Transforms

Learn to compute and interpret the Laplace transform of the exit time jointly with the event that Brownian motion leaves through a specified endpoint.

Advanced 10 min read

What You'll Learn

  • Define the upper- and lower-endpoint exit-time transforms for Brownian motion in a bounded interval.
  • Solve the associated boundary-value problem for zero and positive transform parameters.
  • Verify the probabilistic representation using Itô's formula and almost-sure finiteness of the exit time.
  • Recover transforms conditional on exiting through a specified endpoint.
  • Check formulas using symmetry, endpoint values, and the zero-parameter exit probabilities.

Keeping Track of Both the Exit Time and the Exit Side

For Brownian motion in a bounded interval, the exit time and the endpoint of exit are related: a long path that exits at the upper endpoint contributes differently from one that exits at the lower endpoint. A single transform can record both pieces of information. It weights an exit at time \(\tau\) by \(e^{-s\tau}\), but counts that weight only when the specified endpoint is reached.

Let \((B_t)_{t\ge0}\) be standard Brownian motion on a probability space \((\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)\), with its Brownian filtration \((\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0}\). For a starting point \(x\in(a,b)\), where \(a<b\), set \(X_t=x+B_t\) and \(\mathbb E_x=\mathbb E\) under this construction. Define the exit time \(\tau=\inf\{t\ge0:X_t\notin(a,b)\}\). This is a stopping time. By continuity, when \(\tau\) is finite, \(X_\tau\) is either \(a\) or \(b\).

Definition: For \(s\ge0\), the upper- and lower-exit transforms are \(u_s(x)=\mathbb E_x[e^{-s\tau}\mathbf 1_{\{X_\tau=b\}}]\) and \(\ell_s(x)=\mathbb E_x[e^{-s\tau}\mathbf 1_{\{X_\tau=a\}}]\). At \(s=0\), these are the respective exit probabilities. The condition \(s\ge0\) ensures the weights are at most \(1\).

The key is to encode the exit side in the boundary values. The upper-exit transform has value \(0\) at \(a\) and \(1\) at \(b\); the lower-exit transform reverses those values. The discount in time supplies the term \(s u\) in the differential equation.

The Boundary-Value Problem and Its Solution

Theorem: For \(x\in(a,b)\), \(u_s\) is the unique solution on \([a,b]\) of \(\tfrac12u''=su\), \(u(a)=0\), \(u(b)=1\). Explicitly,
$$ u_s(x)= \begin{cases} \dfrac{x-a}{b-a},&s=0,\\[6pt] \dfrac{\sinh(\sqrt{2s}\,(x-a))}{\sinh(\sqrt{2s}\,(b-a))},&s>0. \end{cases} $$
The lower-exit transform is
$$ \ell_s(x)= \begin{cases} \dfrac{b-x}{b-a},&s=0,\\[6pt] \dfrac{\sinh(\sqrt{2s}\,(b-x))}{\sinh(\sqrt{2s}\,(b-a))},&s>0. \end{cases} $$

Proof. First, \(\tau\) is finite almost surely. Write \(L=b-a>0\), and let \(c=\mathbb P(B_1\ge L)>0\). On \(\{\tau>n\}\), the position \(X_n\) lies in \((a,b)\). If \(B_{n+1}-B_n\ge L\), then \(X_{n+1}>b\), so continuity forces an exit by time \(n+1\). The increment is independent of \(\mathcal F_n\) and has the same distribution as \(B_1\). Therefore \(\mathbb P_x(\tau>n+1)\le(1-c)\mathbb P_x(\tau>n)\). Iteration gives \(\mathbb P_x(\tau>n)\le(1-c)^n\), which tends to zero.

We solve the differential equation and verify its probabilistic meaning. For \(s>0\), put \(\kappa=\sqrt{2s}\). The equation becomes \(u''=\kappa^2u\), whose solutions are linear combinations of \(\sinh(\kappa(x-a))\) and \(\cosh(\kappa(x-a))\). The boundary condition at \(a\) removes the cosine term; the condition at \(b\) fixes the remaining coefficient as \(1/\sinh(\kappa(b-a))\). This gives the displayed formula. For \(s=0\), \(u''=0\), so the solution is affine, and the two boundary values give \((x-a)/(b-a)\). These calculations also prove uniqueness: the boundary conditions determine both coefficients in each case.

Let \(u\) be the solution just found. Itô's formula, applied up to \(t\wedge\tau\), gives

$$ e^{-s(t\wedge\tau)}u(X_{t\wedge\tau}) =u(x)+\int_0^{t\wedge\tau}e^{-sr}u'(X_r)\,dB_r +\int_0^{t\wedge\tau}e^{-sr}\left(\tfrac12u''(X_r)-su(X_r)\right)\,dr. $$
The last integral is zero by the differential equation. On \([a,b]\), \(u'\) is bounded, and for fixed \(t\) the stochastic-integral integrand is bounded. The stochastic integral therefore has expectation zero. Taking expectations yields \(\mathbb E_x[e^{-s(t\wedge\tau)}u(X_{t\wedge\tau})]=u(x)\).

As \(t\to\infty\), \(\tau<\infty\) almost surely, so the random variable inside the expectation converges to \(e^{-s\tau}u(X_\tau)\). It is bounded in absolute value by \(\max_{y\in[a,b]}|u(y)|\), so dominated convergence applies. Since \(u(a)=0\) and \(u(b)=1\), the limit is \(e^{-s\tau}\mathbf 1_{\{X_\tau=b\}}\). Thus \(u(x)=u_s(x)\). Applying the same argument to the solution with boundary values \(1\) at \(a\) and \(0\) at \(b\) proves the formula for \(\ell_s\). \(\square\)

The proof gives more than a way to guess a formula: it verifies that the boundary-value solution equals the desired expectation. It also shows why both endpoints matter. Changing which endpoint has boundary value \(1\) changes which exit event is counted.

Worked Transforms and Conditional Interpretation

Worked Example: Zero Discount Gives the Exit Probabilities

Let \(X_t=1+B_t\) and let the interval be \((0,4)\). Find the probability of exiting at the upper endpoint, and check the lower-exit probability.

Here \(s=0\), \(a=0\), \(b=4\), and \(x=1\). The theorem gives

$$ u_0(1)=\frac{1-0}{4-0}=\frac14,\qquad \ell_0(1)=\frac{4-1}{4-0}=\frac34. $$
Check: the two possible exit endpoints have probabilities \(\tfrac14\) and \(\tfrac34\), and \(\tfrac14+\tfrac34=1\). This is the zero-discount case: \(e^{-0\tau}=1\).

Worked Example: A Positive Discount in a Symmetric Interval

Let \(X_t=1+B_t\) start at \(1\) in \((0,2)\), and take \(s=\tfrac12\). Compute the transform for each endpoint and their sum.

Substituting \(s=\tfrac12\) gives \(\sqrt{2s}=\sqrt{2\cdot\tfrac12}=1\). For the upper endpoint,

$$ u_{1/2}(1)=\frac{\sinh(1\cdot(1-0))}{\sinh(1\cdot(2-0))} =\frac{\sinh 1}{\sinh 2}. $$
For the lower endpoint, substituting the same values gives \(\ell_{1/2}(1)=\sinh(1\cdot(2-1))/\sinh(1\cdot(2-0))=\sinh 1/\sinh 2\). Thus the total exit-time transform is \(2\sinh 1/\sinh 2\). Using \(\sinh 2=2\sinh 1\cosh 1\), this sum is \(1/\cosh 1\).

Check: reflection of the interval about its midpoint exchanges the endpoints while leaving the starting point fixed, so the equal upper- and lower-exit transforms agree with the symmetry. Their sum is also the transform without recording the side, since \(\mathbf 1_{\{X_\tau=a\}}+\mathbf 1_{\{X_\tau=b\}}=1\) almost surely.

Proposition: If \(x\in(a,b)\), the conditional Laplace transform of \(\tau\) given upper exit is
$$ \mathbb E_x[e^{-s\tau}\mid X_\tau=b] =\frac{u_s(x)}{u_0(x)} =\frac{b-a}{x-a}\, \frac{\sinh(\sqrt{2s}\,(x-a))}{\sinh(\sqrt{2s}\,(b-a))} \quad (s>0). $$
At \(s=0\), the conditional transform is \(1\). For lower exit, replace \(u_s(x)/u_0(x)\) by \(\ell_s(x)/\ell_0(x)\).

Proof. Since \(x\in(a,b)\), the exit probability \(u_0(x)=(x-a)/(b-a)\) is strictly positive, so conditioning on \(\{X_\tau=b\}\) is meaningful. By the definition of conditional expectation on an event of positive probability, \(\mathbb E_x[e^{-s\tau}\mid X_\tau=b]=\mathbb E_x[e^{-s\tau}\mathbf 1_{\{X_\tau=b\}}]/\mathbb P_x(X_\tau=b)=u_s(x)/u_0(x)\). Substitution of the two formulas from the theorem gives the stated expression. At \(s=0\), the ratio \(u_0(x)/u_0(x)\) equals \(1\). The lower-exit identity follows by the same conditional-expectation formula, with \(\ell_0(x)=(b-x)/(b-a)>0\). \(\square\)

Worked Example: Conditioning on the Upper Exit

Let \(X_t=B_t\) start at \(x=0\) in \((-1,2)\), and take \(s=2\). Find the upper-exit transform and the transform conditional on upper exit. Then check the sum of the two side-specific transforms.

Here \(\sqrt{2s}=\sqrt{2\cdot2}=2\), \(b-a=2-(-1)=3\), and \(x-a=0-(-1)=1\). Hence

$$ u_2(0)=\frac{\sinh(2\cdot1)}{\sinh(2\cdot3)} =\frac{\sinh 2}{\sinh 6}. $$
The upper-exit probability is \(u_0(0)=(0-(-1))/(2-(-1))=1/3\). The conditional transform is therefore
$$ \mathbb E_0[e^{-2\tau}\mid X_\tau=2] =\frac{\sinh 2/\sinh 6}{1/3} =\frac{3\sinh 2}{\sinh 6}. $$
For the lower side, the distance \(b-x=2-0=2\), so \(\ell_2(0)=\sinh(2\cdot2)/\sinh(2\cdot3)=\sinh4/\sinh6\). The sum is \((\sinh2+\sinh4)/\sinh6\). The identities \(\sinh2+\sinh4=2\sinh3\cosh1\) and \(\sinh6=2\sinh3\cosh3\) reduce it to \(\cosh1/\cosh3\), the transform for exit time without specifying a side.

Check: the conditioning denominator is \(1/3\), calculated from the zero-discount formula, not the total exit-time transform. Also, \(\sinh6=3\sinh2+4\sinh^3 2>3\sinh2\), so the conditional transform \(3\sinh2/\sinh6\) is less than \(1\), as it must be for a positive exit time and \(s=2\).

A Common Mistake and a Useful Check

A frequent error is to use the transform for exiting at either endpoint when the question asks for the upper endpoint only. In the symmetric example on \((0,2)\), starting at \(1\) with \(s=\tfrac12\), the total transform is \(2\sinh1/\sinh2\). Reporting this as the upper-exit transform is wrong: it counts lower exits as well. The correction is to impose boundary values \(0\) at the lower endpoint and \(1\) at the upper endpoint, giving \(\sinh1/\sinh2\). Adding the lower-side transform recovers the total, which is a direct check that the endpoint events have been separated correctly.

Boundary values provide another quick diagnostic. For upper exit, the transform must vanish at \(a\) and equal \(1\) at \(b\), because starting at either endpoint gives exit time zero and fixes the exit side. The formula for \(s>0\) satisfies these values: its numerator is zero at \(a\), and at \(b\) its numerator equals its denominator. At \(s=0\), the linear formula has the same endpoint values. Finally, the lower- and upper-side transforms must add to \(\mathbb E_x[e^{-s\tau}]\), since the exit is finite almost surely and occurs at exactly one endpoint.

Check Your Understanding

Use the boundary-value formulas and verify each result by substitution or by checking the endpoint and side conditions.

  1. For Brownian motion started at \(x=2\) in \((0,5)\), find both exit probabilities by setting \(s=0\).
  2. Write the boundary-value problem for the lower-exit transform when \(s>0\). What are its two boundary values?
  3. For \(x\in(a,b)\), explain why conditioning on upper exit has a positive-probability event, and state the ratio that gives its conditional transform.
  4. In the symmetric interval \((-1,1)\), start at \(0\). Explain why the upper- and lower-exit transforms are equal for every \(s\ge0\).
  5. Explain why the sum of the two side-specific transforms is the Laplace transform of \(\tau\) without recording the exit side.