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CLINICAL BIOSTATS

Simon’s Two Stage Design Calculator

Simon's Two Stage Design

This program calculates optimal two-stage designs based on Simon’s methodology (Simon, 1989) and admissible designs as proposed by Jung et al. (2004) for Phase II single-arm clinical trials.

Inputs:

  • Null hypothesis proportion (p0): Specify the expected proportion under the null hypothesis.
  • Alternative hypothesis proportion (pA): Define the expected proportion under the alternative hypothesis.
  • Type II error rate (beta): Set the desired maximum probability of failing to detect a true treatment effect.
  • Type I error rate (alpha): Determine the desired level of significance or the probability of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.

Outputs:

  • Sample size at Stage 1 (n1): Obtain the optimal sample size for the first stage of the clinical trial.
  • Sample size at Stage 2 (n): Determine the optimal sample size for the second stage of the clinical trial.
  • Decision boundaries at Stage 1 (r1): Identify the criterion for early termination or continuation of the trial at the first stage based on observed response rates.
  • Decision boundaries at Stage 2 (r): Establish the criterion for early termination or continuation of the trial at the second stage based on observed response rates.
  • Expected sample size under the null hypothesis (EN(p0)): Calculate the expected sample size assuming the null hypothesis is true.
  • Probability of early termination under the null hypothesis (PET (p0)): Determine the probability of early termination assuming the null hypothesis is true.
  • Range of admissible probability values (qLo and qHi): Identify the range of probability values for which the particular design is considered admissible.

Note: Click the ‘Download the data’ button to save the results as a .CSV file.
Add ‘.csv’ to the end of the file name to save as a .CSV.