Confidence and Tolerance Intervals

Normal Tolerance Interval Factors (k)

Factors k for tolerance intervals x̄ ± k·s that contain a stated proportion of the population with a stated confidence.

  • n = 2 to 1000
  • Exact values
  • Any coverage and confidence

Tolerance Factors (k)

Two tables: two-sided intervals and one-sided bounds. Rows: sample size n · Columns: confidence level and coverage P · Cells: factor k.

Two-sided tolerance intervals: x̄ ± k·s

Two-sided tolerance intervals: x̄ ± k·s
95% confidence · coverage P99% confidence · coverage P
n90%95%99%90%95%99%
231.09236.51946.944155.57182.72234.88
38.3069.78912.64718.78222.13128.586
45.3686.3418.2219.41611.11814.405
54.2915.0776.5986.6557.87010.220
63.7334.4225.7585.3836.3738.292
73.3904.0205.2414.6585.5207.191
83.1563.7464.8894.1894.9686.479
92.9863.5464.6333.8604.5815.980
102.8563.3934.4373.6174.2945.610
112.7543.2734.2823.4294.0735.324
122.6703.1754.1563.2793.8965.096
132.6013.0934.0513.1563.7514.909
142.5423.0243.9623.0543.6314.753
152.4922.9653.8852.9673.5294.621
162.4492.9133.8192.8933.4414.507
172.4102.8683.7612.8283.3644.408
182.3762.8283.7092.7713.2974.321
192.3462.7933.6632.7203.2374.244
202.3192.7603.6212.6753.1844.175
212.2942.7313.5832.6353.1364.113
222.2722.7053.5492.5983.0924.056
232.2512.6813.5182.5643.0534.005
242.2322.6583.4892.5343.0173.958
252.2152.6383.4622.5062.9843.915
262.1992.6193.4372.4802.9533.875
272.1842.6013.4152.4562.9253.838
282.1702.5853.3932.4342.8983.804
292.1572.5693.3732.4132.8743.772
302.1452.5553.3552.3942.8513.742
352.0942.4953.2762.3142.7563.618
402.0552.4483.2162.2532.6843.524
452.0242.4123.1682.2052.6273.450
501.9992.3823.1292.1662.5803.390
601.9602.3353.0682.1062.5093.297
701.9312.3003.0232.0622.4573.228
801.9082.2742.9882.0282.4163.175
901.8902.2522.9592.0012.3843.133
1001.8752.2342.9361.9782.3573.098
1501.8262.1762.8591.9062.2712.985
2001.7982.1432.8161.8662.2232.921
3001.7672.1062.7671.8202.1692.850
5001.7372.0702.7211.7772.1172.783
10001.7092.0362.6761.7362.0682.718

One-sided tolerance bounds: x̄ + k·s or x̄ − k·s

One-sided tolerance bounds: x̄ + k·s or x̄ − k·s
95% confidence · coverage P99% confidence · coverage P
n90%95%99%90%95%99%
220.58126.26037.094103.03131.43185.62
36.1557.65610.55313.99517.37023.896
44.1625.1447.0427.3809.08312.387
53.4074.2035.7415.3626.5788.939
63.0063.7085.0624.4115.4067.335
72.7553.3994.6423.8594.7286.412
82.5823.1874.3543.4974.2855.812
92.4543.0314.1433.2403.9725.389
102.3552.9113.9813.0483.7385.074
112.2752.8153.8522.8983.5564.829
122.2102.7363.7472.7773.4104.633
132.1552.6713.6592.6773.2904.472
142.1092.6143.5852.5933.1894.337
152.0682.5663.5202.5213.1024.222
162.0332.5243.4642.4593.0284.123
172.0022.4863.4142.4052.9634.037
181.9742.4533.3702.3572.9053.960
191.9492.4233.3312.3142.8543.892
201.9262.3963.2952.2762.8083.832
211.9052.3713.2632.2412.7663.777
221.8862.3493.2332.2092.7293.727
231.8692.3283.2062.1802.6943.681
241.8532.3093.1812.1542.6623.640
251.8382.2923.1582.1292.6333.601
261.8242.2753.1362.1062.6063.566
271.8112.2603.1162.0852.5813.533
281.7992.2463.0982.0652.5583.502
291.7882.2323.0802.0472.5363.473
301.7772.2203.0642.0302.5153.447
351.7322.1672.9951.9572.4303.334
401.6972.1252.9411.9022.3643.249
451.6692.0922.8981.8572.3123.180
501.6462.0652.8621.8212.2693.125
601.6092.0222.8071.7642.2023.038
701.5811.9902.7651.7222.1532.974
801.5591.9642.7331.6882.1142.924
901.5421.9442.7061.6612.0822.883
1001.5271.9272.6841.6392.0562.850
1501.4781.8702.6111.5661.9712.740
2001.4501.8372.5701.5241.9232.679
3001.4171.8002.5221.4761.8682.608
5001.3851.7632.4751.4301.8142.540
10001.3541.7272.4301.3851.7622.475

Tip: click any value to highlight its row and column.

How to read this table

  1. Choose the coverage P (the proportion of the population the interval should contain) and the confidence level.
  2. Find k for your sample size n.
  3. The two-sided tolerance interval is x̄ − k·s to x̄ + k·s. A one-sided bound is x̄ + k·s (upper) or x̄ − k·s (lower), using the one-sided table.

Worked example

Twenty batches of a drug product have a mean assay of 100.2% and SD 1.4%. For an interval containing 99% of batches with 95% confidence, row 20 of the two-sided table gives k = 3.621, so the interval is 100.2 ± 3.621 × 1.4 = 95.1% to 105.3%. If this falls inside the specification limits, the process can be expected to produce conforming batches.

Click the underlined links to highlight the value in the table.

Calculator

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Formula and how the values were computed

Two-sided: x̄ ± k·s  ·  One-sided: k = t′γ; n−1, zP√n / √n

Two-sided factors are exact solutions of the Odeh-Owen integral equation; one-sided factors are exact quantiles of the noncentral t distribution. Many printed tables use Howe's or Wald and Wolfowitz's approximations, which differ slightly (for example 3.379 against the exact 3.393 for n = 10, 95% coverage, 95% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Tolerance interval or confidence interval?

A confidence interval covers a parameter such as the mean. A tolerance interval covers a proportion of individual values, which is what matters for specifications and reference ranges.

Is normality important?

Yes. Tolerance intervals depend on the tails of the distribution, so check normality first or use a transformation or a nonparametric tolerance interval.

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